← Accelerator_Oscillator

Accelerator_Oscillator — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: PASSDirectionalgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -20.75% -35.26% -62.33% -81.44% -85.05%
CAGR -94.09% -99.50% -100.00% -100.00% -100.00%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -42.63% -57.14% -84.21% -103.32% -106.93%
Volatility (ann.) 2.81% 5.43% 13.15% 22.91% 25.81%
Sharpe -100.77 -97.44 -90.26 -89.30 -89.47
Sortino -77.46 -76.16 -71.01 -80.20 -84.56
Calmar -4.54 -2.82 -1.60 -1.23 -1.18
Omega 0.47 0.48 0.49 0.55 0.56
Max drawdown 20.75% 35.26% 62.33% 81.44% 85.05%
Ulcer index 0.1206 0.2113 0.3994 0.5515 0.5864
Drawdown episodes 1 1 3 1 1
Longest underwater (days) 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
Recovery factor -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00
VaR 95% -0.979% -1.778% -3.861% -7.067% -7.900%
VaR 99% -0.984% -1.782% -4.366% -7.679% -8.115%
CVaR 95% -0.982% -1.780% -4.114% -7.373% -8.007%
Skew 0.59 1.16 0.98 1.17 1.32
Excess kurtosis -0.26 1.60 1.40 1.75 2.24
Best day -0.46% -0.68% -1.36% -1.09% -1.28%
Worst day -0.98% -1.78% -4.37% -7.68% -8.12%
Positive days 0 0 0 0 0
Negative days 30 30 30 30 30
Round trips 2,578 2,578 2,578 2,578 2,578
Winning / losing trades 195 / 2,383 173 / 2,405 157 / 2,421 284 / 2,294 299 / 2,279
Trades per day 85.93 85.93 85.93 85.93 85.93
Win rate 7.56% 6.71% 6.09% 11.02% 11.60%
Profit factor 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.21 0.22
Payoff ratio 1.48 1.57 2.09 1.72 1.64
Expectancy -0.0805 -0.1367 -0.2417 -0.3159 -0.3299
Average win 0.1464 0.2596 0.6214 0.7754 0.7812
Average loss 0.0990 0.1653 0.2977 0.4510 0.4757
Average trade -0.0805 -0.1367 -0.2417 -0.3159 -0.3299
Max win streak 2 2 2 3 3
Max loss streak 193 193 198 138 138
Time in market 32.83% 34.80% 35.67% 42.58% 46.00%
Turnover 0.26 0.44 0.82 1.25 1.32
Realised P&L -207.44 -352.54 -623.20 -814.32 -850.45
Unrealised P&L -0.02 -0.02 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05
Fees paid 139.47 234.62 419.33 546.92 555.14
Fee drag 13.95% 23.46% 41.93% 54.69% 55.51%
Final equity 792.54 647.43 376.74 185.62 149.50

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -6.33% -10.79% -23.98% -37.26% -41.84%
CAGR -54.87% -75.09% -96.44% -99.66% -99.86%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -28.19% -32.65% -45.84% -59.12% -63.70%
Volatility (ann.) 3.02% 6.24% 13.67% 21.03% 23.78%
Sharpe -26.34 -22.23 -24.34 -26.86 -27.61
Sortino -24.11 -21.46 -22.11 -26.12 -28.25
Calmar -8.67 -6.96 -4.02 -2.67 -2.39
Omega 0.68 0.71 0.69 0.73 0.73
Max drawdown 6.33% 10.79% 23.98% 37.26% 41.84%
Ulcer index 0.0344 0.0571 0.1324 0.2115 0.2371
Drawdown episodes 1 1 1 1 1
Longest underwater (days) 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
Recovery factor -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00
VaR 95% -0.380% -0.689% -1.493% -2.686% -3.164%
VaR 99% -0.386% -0.731% -1.496% -2.840% -3.475%
CVaR 95% -0.383% -0.710% -1.495% -2.763% -3.320%
Skew 2.48 3.34 2.77 2.19 2.02
Excess kurtosis 6.78 12.20 7.77 5.14 4.45
Best day 0.57% 1.74% 2.89% 3.61% 3.66%
Worst day -0.39% -0.73% -1.50% -2.84% -3.48%
Positive days 3 3 3 3 3
Negative days 26 26 26 26 26
Round trips 854 854 854 854 854
Winning / losing trades 111 / 743 98 / 756 80 / 774 135 / 719 144 / 710
Trades per day 28.47 28.47 28.47 28.47 28.47
Win rate 13.00% 11.48% 9.37% 15.81% 16.86%
Profit factor 0.35 0.38 0.36 0.44 0.43
Payoff ratio 2.36 2.93 3.49 2.32 2.12
Expectancy -0.0741 -0.1264 -0.2808 -0.4363 -0.4899
Average win 0.3095 0.6728 1.6938 2.1294 2.1876
Average loss 0.1314 0.2300 0.4849 0.9180 1.0330
Average trade -0.0741 -0.1264 -0.2808 -0.4363 -0.4899
Max win streak 6 4 4 6 5
Max loss streak 76 74 48 32 29
Time in market 34.48% 37.03% 38.00% 44.65% 47.19%
Turnover 0.13 0.24 0.51 0.95 1.05
Realised P&L -63.29 -107.93 -239.82 -372.57 -418.41
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00
Fees paid 47.83 85.82 183.03 293.28 314.51
Fee drag 4.78% 8.58% 18.30% 29.33% 31.45%
Final equity 936.71 892.07 760.18 627.43 581.59

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -4.09% -7.44% -17.25% -26.48% -27.20%
CAGR -39.82% -60.96% -90.01% -97.63% -97.90%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -25.92% -29.27% -39.08% -48.31% -49.03%
Volatility (ann.) 2.69% 5.31% 12.59% 21.20% 24.01%
Sharpe -18.85 -17.69 -18.24 -17.55 -15.97
Sortino -17.29 -16.39 -17.10 -17.85 -17.04
Calmar -9.73 -8.16 -5.21 -3.67 -3.51
Omega 0.71 0.72 0.70 0.77 0.79
Max drawdown 4.09% 7.47% 17.29% 26.62% 27.90%
Ulcer index 0.0220 0.0405 0.0945 0.1468 0.1527
Drawdown episodes 2 3 4 4 5
Longest underwater (days) 29.9 29.9 29.9 29.9 21.7
Recovery factor -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -0.99 -0.97
VaR 95% -0.339% -0.602% -0.995% -2.438% -2.583%
VaR 99% -0.346% -0.634% -1.568% -2.616% -3.880%
CVaR 95% -0.342% -0.618% -1.281% -2.527% -3.232%
Skew 2.55 3.02 3.21 1.83 1.25
Excess kurtosis 7.86 11.07 12.28 3.96 3.46
Best day 0.49% 0.98% 2.32% 3.40% 3.63%
Worst day -0.35% -0.63% -1.57% -2.62% -3.88%
Positive days 3 2 2 4 4
Negative days 27 28 28 26 26
Round trips 511 511 511 511 511
Winning / losing trades 85 / 426 81 / 430 51 / 460 91 / 420 100 / 411
Trades per day 17.03 17.03 17.03 17.03 17.03
Win rate 16.63% 15.85% 9.98% 17.81% 19.57%
Profit factor 0.38 0.36 0.34 0.47 0.50
Payoff ratio 1.89 1.93 3.08 2.16 2.06
Expectancy -0.0800 -0.1456 -0.3375 -0.5183 -0.5322
Average win 0.2906 0.5262 1.7543 2.5574 2.7463
Average loss 0.1539 0.2721 0.5694 1.1847 1.3299
Average trade -0.0800 -0.1456 -0.3375 -0.5183 -0.5322
Max win streak 3 3 2 4 4
Max loss streak 39 45 45 29 29
Time in market 35.53% 38.29% 38.29% 45.28% 48.28%
Turnover 0.09 0.16 0.35 0.73 0.82
Realised P&L -40.88 -74.39 -172.47 -264.84 -271.97
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00
Fees paid 28.78 51.60 111.67 189.94 208.06
Fee drag 2.88% 5.16% 11.17% 18.99% 20.81%
Final equity 959.12 925.61 827.53 735.16 728.03

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard PASS

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.13% 2.01% 2.81% 8.87% 9.86%
CAGR 14.72% 27.34% 40.02% 181.31% 213.87%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -20.75% -19.88% -19.08% -13.01% -12.02%
Volatility (ann.) 3.35% 6.02% 16.60% 28.65% 30.48%
Sharpe 4.12 4.04 2.11 3.75 3.91
Sortino 4.18 4.12 2.06 3.75 3.91
Calmar 25.27 26.83 11.45 28.74 31.43
Omega 1.02 1.02 1.01 1.02 1.02
Max drawdown 0.58% 1.02% 3.50% 6.31% 6.81%
Ulcer index 0.0027 0.0048 0.0139 0.0230 0.0243
Drawdown episodes 55 48 42 73 73
Longest underwater (days) 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.7
Recovery factor 1.95 1.97 0.80 1.41 1.45
VaR 95% -0.175% -0.300% -0.822% -1.523% -1.653%
VaR 99% -0.301% -0.517% -0.905% -1.814% -1.814%
CVaR 95% -0.238% -0.408% -0.864% -1.668% -1.733%
Skew 0.81 0.93 1.03 1.60 1.69
Excess kurtosis 0.30 0.56 0.83 3.06 3.37
Best day 0.49% 0.85% 2.15% 5.43% 5.91%
Worst day -0.30% -0.52% -0.91% -1.81% -1.81%
Positive days 16 16 15 15 16
Negative days 14 14 15 15 14
Round trips 78 78 65 73 72
Winning / losing trades 78 / 0 78 / 0 65 / 0 73 / 0 72 / 0
Trades per day 2.60 2.60 2.17 2.43 2.40
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.2033 0.3575 0.8698 1.9947 2.2316
Average win 0.2033 0.3575 0.8698 1.9947 2.2316
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.2033 0.3575 0.8698 1.9947 2.2316
Max win streak 78 78 65 73 72
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 98.04% 98.02% 98.31% 98.38% 98.31%
Turnover 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.15 0.16
Realised P&L 15.86 27.89 56.53 145.61 160.68
Unrealised P&L -4.51 -7.82 -28.48 -56.88 -62.10
Fees paid 6.10 12.10 26.27 41.11 44.60
Fee drag 0.61% 1.21% 2.63% 4.11% 4.46%
Final equity 1011.35 1020.06 1028.05 1088.73 1098.57

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.62% 3.68% 4.13% 9.44% 9.77%
CAGR 21.61% 55.30% 63.60% 199.53% 210.73%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -20.24% -18.18% -17.73% -12.42% -12.09%
Volatility (ann.) 3.97% 7.78% 22.53% 29.16% 32.15%
Sharpe 4.95 5.70 2.30 3.91 3.69
Sortino 5.21 6.12 2.30 3.93 3.73
Calmar 28.39 35.52 10.27 32.53 31.69
Omega 1.04 1.05 1.02 1.03 1.03
Max drawdown 0.76% 1.56% 6.19% 6.13% 6.65%
Ulcer index 0.0032 0.0066 0.0317 0.0279 0.0303
Drawdown episodes 34 30 32 49 43
Longest underwater (days) 9.7 18.0 21.7 9.7 9.7
Recovery factor 2.13 2.37 0.67 1.54 1.47
VaR 95% -0.259% -0.507% -1.584% -1.958% -2.129%
VaR 99% -0.424% -0.828% -2.551% -3.140% -3.407%
CVaR 95% -0.341% -0.667% -2.067% -2.549% -2.768%
Skew 1.44 2.22 1.26 1.38 1.35
Excess kurtosis 2.93 6.66 2.78 2.51 2.64
Best day 0.93% 2.43% 4.48% 6.50% 6.83%
Worst day -0.42% -0.83% -2.55% -3.14% -3.41%
Positive days 15 15 15 14 14
Negative days 14 14 14 15 15
Round trips 49 45 33 45 39
Winning / losing trades 49 / 0 45 / 0 33 / 0 45 / 0 39 / 0
Trades per day 1.63 1.50 1.10 1.50 1.30
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.4183 0.9858 2.6008 3.3548 4.0935
Average win 0.4183 0.9858 2.6008 3.3548 4.0935
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.4183 0.9858 2.6008 3.3548 4.0935
Max win streak 49 45 33 45 39
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 96.29% 97.01% 97.99% 96.97% 97.58%
Turnover 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.15 0.16
Realised P&L 20.49 44.36 85.83 150.97 159.65
Unrealised P&L -4.29 -7.52 -44.54 -56.62 -61.99
Fees paid 3.67 6.59 13.25 25.29 24.47
Fee drag 0.37% 0.66% 1.32% 2.53% 2.45%
Final equity 1016.21 1036.84 1041.28 1094.35 1097.66

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.05% 2.21% 6.00% 6.95% 7.63%
CAGR 13.53% 30.53% 103.17% 126.61% 144.61%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -20.78% -19.62% -15.83% -14.87% -14.20%
Volatility (ann.) 3.75% 7.15% 20.71% 29.64% 33.57%
Sharpe 3.40 3.76 3.53 2.91 2.83
Sortino 3.57 3.96 3.76 2.98 2.90
Calmar 18.18 20.08 21.61 19.05 20.56
Omega 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.03 1.03
Max drawdown 0.74% 1.52% 4.77% 6.64% 7.03%
Ulcer index 0.0033 0.0064 0.0206 0.0293 0.0309
Drawdown episodes 27 28 32 34 36
Longest underwater (days) 21.7 13.5 21.7 18.0 18.0
Recovery factor 1.41 1.46 1.26 1.05 1.08
VaR 95% -0.252% -0.494% -1.544% -1.908% -2.075%
VaR 99% -0.433% -0.845% -2.605% -3.204% -3.477%
CVaR 95% -0.343% -0.670% -2.074% -2.556% -2.776%
Skew 1.09 1.14 0.98 1.10 0.94
Excess kurtosis 2.43 2.49 1.73 2.07 1.53
Best day 0.72% 1.40% 3.84% 5.51% 5.87%
Worst day -0.43% -0.85% -2.60% -3.20% -3.48%
Positive days 16 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 44 45 38 38 37
Winning / losing trades 44 / 0 45 / 0 38 / 0 38 / 0 37 / 0
Trades per day 1.47 1.50 1.27 1.27 1.23
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.3445 0.6725 2.3981 3.3885 3.8221
Average win 0.3445 0.6725 2.3981 3.3885 3.8221
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.3445 0.6725 2.3981 3.3885 3.8221
Max win streak 44 45 38 38 37
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 94.63% 95.14% 95.83% 95.72% 95.67%
Turnover 0.02 0.03 0.09 0.13 0.14
Realised P&L 15.16 30.26 91.13 128.76 141.42
Unrealised P&L -4.67 -8.12 -31.14 -59.21 -65.13
Fees paid 3.08 6.01 13.89 21.51 22.98
Fee drag 0.31% 0.60% 1.39% 2.15% 2.30%
Final equity 1010.49 1022.14 1059.99 1069.55 1076.29

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.