← Awesome_Oscillator

Awesome_Oscillator — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: PASSDirectionalgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -4.78% -6.06% -14.78% -22.81% -24.57%
CAGR -44.88% -53.25% -85.71% -95.71% -96.77%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -26.66% -27.94% -36.66% -44.69% -46.46%
Volatility (ann.) 2.96% 9.96% 17.76% 21.74% 23.67%
Sharpe -20.08 -7.58 -10.86 -14.38 -14.38
Sortino -11.31 -6.25 -10.22 -14.71 -15.42
Calmar -9.32 -6.24 -5.13 -3.86 -3.64
Omega 0.76 0.90 0.89 0.87 0.87
Max drawdown 4.81% 8.54% 16.72% 24.82% 26.58%
Ulcer index 0.0280 0.0502 0.0943 0.1429 0.1535
Drawdown episodes 2 16 6 4 4
Longest underwater (days) 29.9 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7
Recovery factor -0.99 -0.71 -0.88 -0.92 -0.92
VaR 95% -0.327% -0.716% -1.540% -2.329% -2.575%
VaR 99% -0.390% -1.277% -1.547% -2.909% -3.233%
CVaR 95% -0.359% -0.996% -1.544% -2.619% -2.904%
Skew 0.48 2.33 1.84 1.56 1.54
Excess kurtosis 0.48 6.12 3.27 2.74 2.77
Best day 0.13% 2.46% 3.06% 3.83% 4.26%
Worst day -0.39% -1.28% -1.55% -2.91% -3.23%
Positive days 2 4 5 5 5
Negative days 28 26 25 25 25
Round trips 486 486 486 486 486
Winning / losing trades 45 / 441 44 / 442 58 / 428 74 / 412 76 / 410
Trades per day 16.20 16.20 16.20 16.20 16.20
Win rate 9.26% 9.05% 11.93% 15.23% 15.64%
Profit factor 0.30 0.59 0.58 0.54 0.54
Payoff ratio 2.93 5.88 4.27 3.03 2.94
Expectancy -0.0983 -0.1247 -0.3041 -0.4693 -0.5056
Average win 0.4534 1.9470 3.4945 3.6678 3.8699
Average loss 0.1546 0.3309 0.8188 1.2124 1.3167
Average trade -0.0983 -0.1247 -0.3041 -0.4693 -0.5056
Max win streak 3 2 2 3 3
Max loss streak 74 58 32 32 32
Time in market 15.75% 20.66% 24.25% 25.38% 25.61%
Turnover 0.09 0.23 0.55 0.77 0.83
Realised P&L -47.78 -60.59 -147.77 -228.08 -245.74
Unrealised P&L 0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00
Fees paid 34.98 70.45 143.42 200.08 216.34
Fee drag 3.50% 7.04% 14.34% 20.01% 21.63%
Final equity 952.22 939.41 852.23 771.92 754.26

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -0.13% 0.50% -1.16% -2.48% -1.83%
CAGR -1.53% 6.24% -13.22% -26.34% -20.16%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.99% -21.36% -23.02% -24.34% -23.69%
Volatility (ann.) 3.40% 8.35% 16.02% 19.82% 21.55%
Sharpe -0.44 0.77 -0.81 -1.44 -0.94
Sortino -0.35 0.62 -0.76 -1.53 -1.01
Calmar -1.13 1.79 -2.21 -3.30 -2.38
Omega 0.99 1.02 0.99 0.98 0.99
Max drawdown 1.35% 3.48% 5.99% 7.97% 8.46%
Ulcer index 0.0065 0.0201 0.0358 0.0459 0.0472
Drawdown episodes 5 11 11 13 12
Longest underwater (days) 13.6 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7
Recovery factor -0.09 0.14 -0.19 -0.31 -0.22
VaR 95% -0.178% -0.355% -0.872% -1.078% -1.187%
VaR 99% -0.450% -0.358% -0.937% -1.437% -1.523%
CVaR 95% -0.314% -0.357% -0.904% -1.258% -1.355%
Skew 2.56 2.64 1.87 1.93 1.90
Excess kurtosis 7.05 6.22 3.14 3.92 3.56
Best day 1.06% 1.83% 2.91% 3.65% 4.06%
Worst day -0.45% -0.36% -0.94% -1.44% -1.52%
Positive days 5 5 6 6 6
Negative days 21 21 22 23 23
Round trips 159 159 159 159 159
Winning / losing trades 19 / 140 17 / 142 22 / 137 30 / 129 31 / 128
Trades per day 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30
Win rate 11.95% 10.69% 13.84% 18.87% 19.50%
Profit factor 0.96 1.09 0.92 0.89 0.92
Payoff ratio 7.05 9.07 5.75 3.81 3.80
Expectancy -0.0080 0.0313 -0.0728 -0.1560 -0.1153
Average win 1.4948 3.7314 6.3121 6.4260 6.8206
Average loss 0.2119 0.4116 1.0982 1.6868 1.7951
Average trade -0.0080 0.0313 -0.0728 -0.1560 -0.1153
Max win streak 1 2 2 3 3
Max loss streak 30 30 22 22 22
Time in market 19.76% 24.29% 26.56% 27.08% 27.09%
Turnover 0.06 0.12 0.29 0.41 0.44
Realised P&L -1.26 4.98 -11.58 -24.81 -18.33
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00
Fees paid 11.33 22.33 49.82 72.75 78.41
Fee drag 1.13% 2.23% 4.98% 7.28% 7.84%
Final equity 998.74 1004.98 988.42 975.19 981.67

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.78% 3.62% 6.06% 8.73% 9.04%
CAGR 9.85% 54.09% 104.59% 176.75% 186.64%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.05% -18.21% -15.77% -13.10% -12.79%
Volatility (ann.) 4.25% 9.94% 20.25% 24.23% 26.64%
Sharpe 2.23 4.40 3.64 4.32 4.09
Sortino 1.53 3.99 3.85 4.69 4.34
Calmar 8.49 21.68 20.97 36.69 32.59
Omega 1.07 1.13 1.08 1.09 1.08
Max drawdown 1.16% 2.50% 4.99% 4.82% 5.73%
Ulcer index 0.0069 0.0148 0.0282 0.0276 0.0311
Drawdown episodes 14 10 21 24 25
Longest underwater (days) 13.3 21.7 21.7 13.3 13.3
Recovery factor 0.67 1.45 1.21 1.81 1.58
VaR 95% -0.124% -0.275% -0.866% -0.963% -1.020%
VaR 99% -0.154% -0.501% -0.945% -1.610% -2.284%
CVaR 95% -0.139% -0.388% -0.905% -1.287% -1.652%
Skew 2.57 2.90 2.26 2.02 1.89
Excess kurtosis 6.42 8.61 4.26 3.26 2.95
Best day 0.81% 3.04% 4.71% 5.32% 5.76%
Worst day -0.15% -0.50% -0.94% -1.61% -2.28%
Positive days 7 6 6 8 8
Negative days 21 22 24 22 22
Round trips 98 98 98 98 98
Winning / losing trades 18 / 80 13 / 85 14 / 84 21 / 77 22 / 76
Trades per day 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.27
Win rate 18.37% 13.27% 14.29% 21.43% 22.45%
Profit factor 1.42 1.78 1.46 1.52 1.48
Payoff ratio 6.31 11.64 8.74 5.59 5.12
Expectancy 0.0797 0.3701 0.6201 0.9011 0.9332
Average win 1.4681 6.3642 13.8631 12.2289 12.7773
Average loss 0.2327 0.5466 1.5870 2.1883 2.4953
Average trade 0.0797 0.3701 0.6201 0.9011 0.9332
Max win streak 3 2 2 3 3
Max loss streak 14 19 19 11 11
Time in market 21.35% 25.36% 28.76% 28.91% 28.91%
Turnover 0.05 0.13 0.33 0.43 0.47
Realised P&L 7.81 36.27 60.77 88.31 91.46
Unrealised P&L -0.05 -0.10 -0.17 -1.04 -1.05
Fees paid 7.24 14.44 33.18 48.14 52.73
Fee drag 0.72% 1.44% 3.32% 4.81% 5.27%
Final equity 1007.75 1036.18 1060.60 1087.27 1090.41

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard PASS

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.34% 4.90% 7.34% 10.61% 11.35%
CAGR 17.64% 78.99% 136.68% 240.97% 269.84%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -20.54% -16.98% -14.54% -11.27% -10.53%
Volatility (ann.) 5.37% 12.92% 29.20% 34.22% 37.05%
Sharpe 3.06 4.57 3.10 3.76 3.72
Sortino 2.91 4.76 3.07 3.72 3.68
Calmar 14.81 27.43 22.50 37.93 39.18
Omega 1.01 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.02
Max drawdown 1.19% 2.88% 6.07% 6.35% 6.89%
Ulcer index 0.0059 0.0153 0.0286 0.0295 0.0320
Drawdown episodes 35 50 53 82 80
Longest underwater (days) 21.7 21.7 21.7 9.8 9.8
Recovery factor 1.13 1.70 1.21 1.67 1.65
VaR 95% -0.351% -0.730% -1.830% -1.990% -2.164%
VaR 99% -0.604% -1.251% -3.090% -3.354% -3.638%
CVaR 95% -0.478% -0.991% -2.460% -2.672% -2.901%
Skew 0.44 2.00 1.17 1.33 1.34
Excess kurtosis 0.61 4.52 1.72 2.01 2.03
Best day 0.69% 3.16% 5.33% 6.32% 6.84%
Worst day -0.60% -1.25% -3.09% -3.35% -3.64%
Positive days 16 15 16 16 16
Negative days 14 15 14 14 14
Round trips 30 29 30 39 40
Winning / losing trades 30 / 0 29 / 0 30 / 0 39 / 0 40 / 0
Trades per day 1.00 0.97 1.00 1.30 1.33
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.6816 2.1833 4.2199 4.2137 4.4358
Average win 0.6816 2.1833 4.2199 4.2137 4.4358
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.6816 2.1833 4.2199 4.2137 4.4358
Max win streak 30 29 30 39 40
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 97.69% 98.83% 98.91% 96.50% 96.48%
Turnover 0.02 0.06 0.13 0.16 0.18
Realised P&L 20.45 63.32 126.60 164.34 177.43
Unrealised P&L -7.00 -14.30 -53.22 -58.26 -63.94
Fees paid 4.04 8.20 16.02 23.21 25.97
Fee drag 0.40% 0.82% 1.60% 2.32% 2.60%
Final equity 1013.44 1049.01 1073.38 1106.08 1113.49

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.35% 5.26% 9.80% 11.50% 12.93%
CAGR 17.67% 86.64% 211.79% 276.03% 338.94%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -20.51% -16.60% -12.06% -10.36% -8.93%
Volatility (ann.) 5.08% 10.55% 24.57% 31.51% 35.66%
Sharpe 3.23 5.97 4.75 4.36 4.33
Sortino 3.07 6.30 4.84 4.40 4.34
Calmar 14.22 32.98 36.36 43.14 49.94
Omega 1.03 1.06 1.04 1.04 1.03
Max drawdown 1.24% 2.63% 5.82% 6.40% 6.79%
Ulcer index 0.0071 0.0153 0.0282 0.0294 0.0320
Drawdown episodes 25 34 39 43 44
Longest underwater (days) 21.7 21.7 21.7 21.7 18.0
Recovery factor 1.08 2.00 1.68 1.80 1.90
VaR 95% -0.259% -0.507% -1.584% -1.958% -2.129%
VaR 99% -0.424% -0.828% -2.552% -3.141% -3.407%
CVaR 95% -0.342% -0.668% -2.068% -2.549% -2.768%
Skew 1.82 2.42 1.71 1.52 1.50
Excess kurtosis 4.37 5.83 3.07 2.59 2.41
Best day 1.06% 3.18% 5.60% 6.60% 7.56%
Worst day -0.42% -0.83% -2.55% -3.14% -3.41%
Positive days 15 15 15 15 15
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 21 21 18 21 21
Winning / losing trades 21 / 0 21 / 0 18 / 0 21 / 0 21 / 0
Trades per day 0.70 0.70 0.60 0.70 0.70
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.9621 3.1632 8.0475 8.2148 9.1255
Average win 0.9621 3.1632 8.0475 8.2148 9.1255
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.9621 3.1632 8.0475 8.2148 9.1255
Max win streak 21 21 18 21 21
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 96.28% 97.58% 97.87% 97.62% 97.61%
Turnover 0.02 0.07 0.14 0.17 0.19
Realised P&L 20.20 66.43 144.86 172.51 191.63
Unrealised P&L -6.74 -13.81 -46.89 -57.51 -62.37
Fees paid 2.16 4.49 9.10 12.69 13.85
Fee drag 0.22% 0.45% 0.91% 1.27% 1.38%
Final equity 1013.46 1052.62 1097.96 1115.00 1129.27

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 2.96% 4.32% 8.98% 13.18% 14.44%
CAGR 42.54% 67.35% 184.77% 351.08% 416.14%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -18.87% -17.51% -12.85% -8.65% -7.39%
Volatility (ann.) 5.77% 12.26% 29.44% 35.08% 38.04%
Sharpe 6.18 4.26 3.70 4.47 4.50
Sortino 6.73 4.46 3.81 4.61 4.65
Calmar 38.99 23.22 31.11 56.27 61.49
Omega 1.09 1.05 1.04 1.05 1.05
Max drawdown 1.09% 2.90% 5.94% 6.24% 6.77%
Ulcer index 0.0060 0.0139 0.0275 0.0292 0.0317
Drawdown episodes 25 25 33 36 36
Longest underwater (days) 21.7 21.7 18.0 9.8 9.8
Recovery factor 2.71 1.49 1.51 2.11 2.13
VaR 95% -0.252% -0.587% -1.754% -1.909% -2.075%
VaR 99% -0.433% -0.846% -2.952% -3.205% -3.477%
CVaR 95% -0.343% -0.716% -2.353% -2.557% -2.776%
Skew 2.20 2.10 1.18 1.16 1.14
Excess kurtosis 4.93 4.67 1.60 1.11 1.02
Best day 1.50% 2.79% 5.21% 6.27% 6.77%
Worst day -0.43% -0.85% -2.95% -3.21% -3.48%
Positive days 16 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 19 18 15 16 16
Winning / losing trades 19 / 0 18 / 0 15 / 0 16 / 0 16 / 0
Trades per day 0.63 0.60 0.50 0.53 0.53
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 1.7778 3.4734 9.3605 11.6233 12.7576
Average win 1.7778 3.4734 9.3605 11.6233 12.7576
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 1.7778 3.4734 9.3605 11.6233 12.7576
Max win streak 19 18 15 16 16
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 95.69% 96.71% 97.38% 96.94% 96.94%
Turnover 0.03 0.06 0.14 0.19 0.20
Realised P&L 33.78 62.52 140.41 185.97 204.12
Unrealised P&L -4.22 -19.29 -50.58 -54.16 -59.71
Fees paid 2.07 3.85 7.39 9.29 10.07
Fee drag 0.21% 0.38% 0.74% 0.93% 1.01%
Final equity 1029.56 1043.23 1089.82 1131.81 1144.42

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.