← FILGrid_Bollinger_Log

FILGrid_Bollinger_Log — metrics

Unguarded: WARN · 1 warnGuarded: WARN · 1 warnFILGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships WARN · 1 warn

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.37% 0.64% 2.52% 3.09% 5.69%
CAGR 4.58% 8.09% 35.43% 44.90% 95.98%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.51% -21.24% -19.36% -18.79% -16.20%
Volatility (ann.) 2.05% 3.49% 6.31% 8.32% 8.37%
Sharpe 2.20 2.25 4.84 4.50 8.08
Sortino 2.18 2.27 5.04 4.68 9.50
Calmar 7.65 8.89 26.35 25.52 85.98
Omega 1.02 1.02 1.05 1.05 1.10
Max drawdown 0.60% 0.91% 1.34% 1.76% 1.12%
Ulcer index 0.0014 0.0021 0.0029 0.0041 0.0028
Drawdown episodes 116 52 49 34 127
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 23.4 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 0.62 0.70 1.88 1.76 5.09
VaR 95% -0.039% -0.035% -0.072% -0.022% -0.013%
VaR 99% -0.224% -0.512% -0.673% -0.753% -0.411%
CVaR 95% -0.132% -0.274% -0.372% -0.387% -0.212%
Skew 1.26 1.96 2.36 2.48 4.49
Excess kurtosis 8.93 11.95 6.71 7.02 20.09
Best day 0.32% 0.81% 1.43% 1.69% 4.27%
Worst day -0.22% -0.51% -0.67% -0.75% -0.41%
Positive days 17 16 16 17 17
Negative days 13 14 14 13 13
Round trips 510 366 285 22 2
Winning / losing trades 179 / 331 135 / 231 163 / 122 11 / 11 1 / 1
Trades per day 17.00 12.20 9.50 0.73 0.07
Win rate 35.10% 36.89% 57.19% 50.00% 50.00%
Profit factor 1.84 2.37 9.31 9.31 54.53
Payoff ratio 3.40 4.06 6.97 9.31 54.53
Expectancy 0.0036 0.0128 0.0844 1.3563 27.9762
Average win 0.0225 0.0601 0.1653 3.0391 56.9976
Average loss 0.0066 0.0148 0.0237 0.3264 1.0452
Average trade 0.0036 0.0128 0.0844 1.3563 27.9762
Max win streak 144 122 163 11 1
Max loss streak 211 200 122 11 1
Time in market 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06
Realised P&L 1.84 4.69 24.05 29.84 55.95
Unrealised P&L 1.85 1.72 1.19 1.11 0.89
Fees paid 0.68 0.85 1.15 1.11 0.62
Fee drag 0.07% 0.09% 0.12% 0.11% 0.06%
Final equity 1003.69 1006.41 1025.24 1030.91 1056.59

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.86% 0.64% 5.44% 7.35% 5.94%
CAGR 25.16% 8.06% 90.43% 137.12% 101.85%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -20.00% -21.22% -16.42% -14.51% -15.92%
Volatility (ann.) 3.03% 3.38% 8.20% 10.17% 7.46%
Sharpe 7.42 2.31 7.89 8.54 9.46
Sortino 8.69 2.39 9.48 10.69 11.47
Calmar 44.97 10.26 74.37 87.46 93.81
Omega 1.13 1.04 1.15 1.17 1.18
Max drawdown 0.56% 0.79% 1.22% 1.57% 1.09%
Ulcer index 0.0016 0.0018 0.0043 0.0037 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 32 26 43 31 83
Longest underwater (days) 23.4 25.3 23.4 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 3.33 0.81 4.47 4.69 5.47
VaR 95% -0.017% -0.005% -0.006% -0.005% -0.006%
VaR 99% -0.225% -0.391% -0.578% -0.757% -0.413%
CVaR 95% -0.121% -0.198% -0.292% -0.381% -0.209%
Skew 4.09 2.67 4.01 4.25 4.17
Excess kurtosis 17.02 13.25 16.38 18.19 17.56
Best day 1.46% 0.76% 3.94% 5.71% 4.13%
Worst day -0.23% -0.39% -0.58% -0.76% -0.41%
Positive days 15 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 13 13 13 13
Round trips 244 124 122 11 1
Winning / losing trades 123 / 121 124 / 0 122 / 0 11 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 8.13 4.13 4.07 0.37 0.03
Win rate 50.41% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 11.34 ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 11.16 ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0726 0.0496 0.4430 6.6551 58.8275
Average win 0.1581 0.0496 0.4430 6.6551 58.8275
Average loss 0.0142 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0726 0.0496 0.4430 6.6551 58.8275
Max win streak 122 124 122 11 1
Max loss streak 85 0 0 0 0
Time in market 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Turnover 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.06
Realised P&L 17.73 6.14 54.04 73.21 58.83
Unrealised P&L 0.89 0.25 0.32 0.33 0.58
Fees paid 0.33 0.29 0.51 0.57 0.32
Fee drag 0.03% 0.03% 0.05% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1018.61 1006.39 1054.36 1073.49 1059.15

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.23% 3.88% 7.11% 7.59% 6.16%
CAGR 15.97% 58.89% 130.67% 143.58% 107.04%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -20.60% -17.95% -14.72% -14.24% -15.66%
Volatility (ann.) 2.61% 5.72% 9.66% 10.68% 7.79%
Sharpe 5.70 8.13 8.70 8.39 9.38
Sortino 6.46 10.84 11.99 11.71 12.49
Calmar 27.33 71.01 116.52 97.07 99.88
Omega 1.12 1.20 1.23 1.22 1.23
Max drawdown 0.58% 0.83% 1.12% 1.48% 1.07%
Ulcer index 0.0014 0.0019 0.0027 0.0031 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 25 29 36 25 61
Longest underwater (days) 23.4 23.2 23.2 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 2.10 4.68 6.34 5.13 5.75
VaR 95% -0.083% -0.012% -0.010% -0.011% -0.020%
VaR 99% -0.219% -0.357% -0.427% -0.737% -0.402%
CVaR 95% -0.151% -0.185% -0.219% -0.374% -0.211%
Skew 3.30 4.43 4.50 4.37 4.14
Excess kurtosis 11.68 19.58 19.96 19.17 17.41
Best day 0.87% 3.16% 5.55% 5.90% 4.13%
Worst day -0.22% -0.36% -0.43% -0.74% -0.40%
Positive days 16 16 17 17 17
Negative days 14 14 13 13 13
Round trips 186 122 122 11 1
Winning / losing trades 186 / 0 122 / 0 122 / 0 11 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 6.20 4.07 4.07 0.37 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0626 0.3140 0.5784 6.8432 60.3114
Average win 0.0626 0.3140 0.5784 6.8432 60.3114
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0626 0.3140 0.5784 6.8432 60.3114
Max win streak 186 122 122 11 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.06
Realised P&L 11.64 38.31 70.57 75.28 60.31
Unrealised P&L 0.62 0.48 0.55 0.64 1.31
Fees paid 0.25 0.29 0.51 0.57 0.32
Fee drag 0.03% 0.03% 0.05% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1012.25 1038.79 1071.11 1075.87 1061.38

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard WARN · 1 warn

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.32% 0.94% 1.43% 7.42% 5.65%
CAGR 3.99% 12.00% 18.79% 138.96% 95.09%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.56% -20.95% -20.46% -14.46% -16.24%
Volatility (ann.) 2.14% 3.90% 6.37% 11.80% 8.35%
Sharpe 1.84 2.93 2.73 7.44 8.04
Sortino 1.83 2.96 2.76 9.44 9.46
Calmar 6.69 14.27 13.98 78.99 85.18
Omega 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.11 1.10
Max drawdown 0.60% 0.84% 1.34% 1.76% 1.12%
Ulcer index 0.0015 0.0028 0.0047 0.0071 0.0028
Drawdown episodes 29 34 39 47 127
Longest underwater (days) 25.3 24.5 24.5 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 0.54 1.11 1.06 4.22 5.06
VaR 95% -0.005% -0.006% -0.008% -0.002% -0.007%
VaR 99% -0.224% -0.389% -0.673% -0.753% -0.411%
CVaR 95% -0.115% -0.198% -0.340% -0.378% -0.209%
Skew 2.29 2.30 2.04 4.38 4.50
Excess kurtosis 12.69 10.24 10.80 19.21 20.14
Best day 0.39% 0.75% 1.17% 5.91% 4.26%
Worst day -0.22% -0.39% -0.67% -0.75% -0.41%
Positive days 17 17 17 17 17
Negative days 13 13 13 13 13
Round trips 233 244 227 22 2
Winning / losing trades 233 / 0 244 / 0 227 / 0 22 / 0 2 / 0
Trades per day 7.77 8.13 7.57 0.73 0.07
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0128 0.0371 0.0611 3.3667 27.9364
Average win 0.0128 0.0371 0.0611 3.3667 27.9364
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0128 0.0371 0.0611 3.3667 27.9364
Max win streak 233 244 227 22 2
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 21.92% 100.00%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.06
Realised P&L 2.99 9.05 13.88 74.07 55.87
Unrealised P&L 0.23 0.31 0.38 0.15 0.58
Fees paid 0.31 0.57 0.92 1.12 0.62
Fee drag 0.03% 0.06% 0.09% 0.11% 0.06%
Final equity 1003.22 1009.35 1014.25 1074.18 1056.20

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.38% 0.64% 5.44% 7.35% 5.94%
CAGR 4.67% 8.06% 90.43% 137.12% 101.85%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.48% -21.22% -16.42% -14.51% -15.92%
Volatility (ann.) 1.96% 3.38% 8.20% 10.17% 7.46%
Sharpe 2.34 2.31 7.89 8.54 9.46
Sortino 2.31 2.39 9.48 10.69 11.47
Calmar 8.35 10.26 74.37 87.46 93.81
Omega 1.04 1.04 1.15 1.17 1.18
Max drawdown 0.56% 0.79% 1.22% 1.57% 1.09%
Ulcer index 0.0012 0.0018 0.0043 0.0037 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 62 26 43 31 83
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 25.3 23.4 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 0.67 0.81 4.47 4.69 5.47
VaR 95% -0.012% -0.005% -0.006% -0.005% -0.006%
VaR 99% -0.225% -0.391% -0.578% -0.757% -0.413%
CVaR 95% -0.118% -0.198% -0.292% -0.381% -0.209%
Skew 1.13 2.67 4.01 4.25 4.17
Excess kurtosis 5.69 13.25 16.38 18.19 17.56
Best day 0.28% 0.76% 3.94% 5.71% 4.13%
Worst day -0.23% -0.39% -0.58% -0.76% -0.41%
Positive days 15 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 13 13 13 13
Round trips 144 124 122 11 1
Winning / losing trades 144 / 0 124 / 0 122 / 0 11 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 4.80 4.13 4.07 0.37 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0248 0.0496 0.4430 6.6551 58.8275
Average win 0.0248 0.0496 0.4430 6.6551 58.8275
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0248 0.0496 0.4430 6.6551 58.8275
Max win streak 144 124 122 11 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.57% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.07 0.06
Realised P&L 3.57 6.14 54.04 73.21 58.83
Unrealised P&L 0.19 0.25 0.32 0.33 0.58
Fees paid 0.19 0.29 0.51 0.57 0.32
Fee drag 0.02% 0.03% 0.05% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1003.76 1006.39 1054.36 1073.49 1059.15

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.23% 3.88% 7.11% 7.59% 6.16%
CAGR 15.97% 58.89% 130.67% 143.58% 107.04%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -20.60% -17.95% -14.72% -14.24% -15.66%
Volatility (ann.) 2.61% 5.72% 9.66% 10.68% 7.79%
Sharpe 5.70 8.13 8.70 8.39 9.38
Sortino 6.46 10.84 11.99 11.71 12.49
Calmar 27.33 71.01 116.52 97.07 99.88
Omega 1.12 1.20 1.23 1.22 1.23
Max drawdown 0.58% 0.83% 1.12% 1.48% 1.07%
Ulcer index 0.0014 0.0019 0.0027 0.0031 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 25 29 36 25 61
Longest underwater (days) 23.4 23.2 23.2 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 2.10 4.68 6.34 5.13 5.75
VaR 95% -0.083% -0.012% -0.010% -0.011% -0.020%
VaR 99% -0.219% -0.357% -0.427% -0.737% -0.402%
CVaR 95% -0.151% -0.185% -0.219% -0.374% -0.211%
Skew 3.30 4.43 4.50 4.37 4.14
Excess kurtosis 11.68 19.58 19.96 19.17 17.41
Best day 0.87% 3.16% 5.55% 5.90% 4.13%
Worst day -0.22% -0.36% -0.43% -0.74% -0.40%
Positive days 16 16 17 17 17
Negative days 14 14 13 13 13
Round trips 186 122 122 11 1
Winning / losing trades 186 / 0 122 / 0 122 / 0 11 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 6.20 4.07 4.07 0.37 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0626 0.3140 0.5784 6.8432 60.3114
Average win 0.0626 0.3140 0.5784 6.8432 60.3114
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0626 0.3140 0.5784 6.8432 60.3114
Max win streak 186 122 122 11 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.08 0.06
Realised P&L 11.64 38.31 70.57 75.28 60.31
Unrealised P&L 0.62 0.48 0.55 0.64 1.31
Fees paid 0.25 0.29 0.51 0.57 0.32
Fee drag 0.03% 0.03% 0.05% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1012.25 1038.79 1071.11 1075.87 1061.38

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.