← FILGrid_Fibonacci

FILGrid_Fibonacci — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: WARN · 1 warnFILGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.62% 1.24% 1.58% 9.36% 3.38%
CAGR 7.76% 16.14% 20.96% 196.91% 49.89%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.27% -20.64% -20.30% -12.52% -18.50%
Volatility (ann.) 4.06% 6.49% 7.65% 15.25% 8.41%
Sharpe 1.86 2.34 2.52 7.21 4.85
Sortino 1.86 2.34 2.53 8.45 4.88
Calmar 6.84 9.33 10.06 91.87 22.92
Omega 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.08 1.04
Max drawdown 1.14% 1.73% 2.08% 2.14% 2.18%
Ulcer index 0.0029 0.0041 0.0051 0.0065 0.0062
Drawdown episodes 22 90 88 49 97
Longest underwater (days) 25.3 8.2 8.2 23.2 21.7
Recovery factor 0.54 0.72 0.76 4.37 1.55
VaR 95% -0.096% -0.064% -0.100% -0.079% -0.125%
VaR 99% -0.341% -0.836% -0.786% -0.801% -0.809%
CVaR 95% -0.218% -0.450% -0.443% -0.440% -0.467%
Skew 3.24 1.81 3.39 4.54 2.14
Excess kurtosis 14.63 11.18 15.84 20.38 6.39
Best day 0.83% 1.31% 1.90% 7.70% 1.86%
Worst day -0.34% -0.84% -0.79% -0.80% -0.81%
Positive days 14 17 16 17 16
Negative days 16 13 14 13 14
Round trips 4 12 44 78 75
Winning / losing trades 2 / 2 5 / 7 22 / 22 40 / 38 75 / 0
Trades per day 0.13 0.40 1.47 2.60 2.50
Win rate 50.00% 41.67% 50.00% 51.28% 100.00%
Profit factor 1.56 2.21 2.90 15.39 ∞
Payoff ratio 1.56 3.09 2.90 14.62 ∞
Expectancy 0.8506 0.7638 0.2840 1.1464 0.4269
Average win 4.7378 3.3522 0.8668 2.3909 0.4269
Average loss 3.0366 1.0851 0.2987 0.1636 0.0000
Average trade 0.8506 0.7638 0.2840 1.1464 0.4269
Max win streak 1 5 22 40 75
Max loss streak 1 7 22 38 0
Time in market 99.42% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Turnover 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.10 0.03
Realised P&L 3.40 9.17 12.50 89.42 32.02
Unrealised P&L 2.76 3.21 3.27 4.15 1.81
Fees paid 1.20 1.44 1.15 1.19 0.66
Fee drag 0.12% 0.14% 0.11% 0.12% 0.07%
Final equity 1005.91 1012.27 1015.74 1093.56 1033.82

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 3.74% 5.93% 12.81% 20.88% 25.05%
CAGR 56.40% 101.52% 333.36% 904.37% 1418.33%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -18.12% -15.93% -9.05% -0.98% 3.19%
Volatility (ann.) 5.72% 8.62% 14.65% 23.73% 29.65%
Sharpe 7.85 8.17 10.09 9.84 9.32
Sortino 9.58 9.00 12.12 10.48 9.70
Calmar 51.97 58.58 163.77 213.17 322.91
Omega 1.14 1.13 1.18 1.14 1.11
Max drawdown 1.09% 1.73% 2.04% 4.24% 4.39%
Ulcer index 0.0026 0.0040 0.0054 0.0213 0.0163
Drawdown episodes 82 55 43 68 75
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 22.6 21.7 18.0
Recovery factor 3.45 3.42 6.29 4.92 5.70
VaR 95% -0.022% -0.048% -0.095% -0.731% -0.813%
VaR 99% -0.413% -0.660% -0.789% -0.805% -0.977%
CVaR 95% -0.217% -0.354% -0.442% -0.768% -0.895%
Skew 4.24 3.10 3.73 2.75 2.42
Excess kurtosis 18.04 10.00 13.99 6.41 5.03
Best day 3.03% 3.30% 7.84% 7.99% 8.08%
Worst day -0.41% -0.66% -0.79% -0.80% -0.98%
Positive days 15 15 15 15 15
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 2 6 22 39 68
Winning / losing trades 1 / 1 6 / 0 22 / 0 39 / 0 68 / 0
Trades per day 0.07 0.20 0.73 1.30 2.27
Win rate 50.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 10.99 ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 10.99 ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 18.1236 9.6761 5.6667 5.2254 3.5840
Average win 39.8749 9.6761 5.6667 5.2254 3.5840
Average loss 3.6277 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 18.1236 9.6761 5.6667 5.2254 3.5840
Max win streak 1 6 22 39 68
Max loss streak 1 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.87% 99.87% 99.87% 99.87% 99.87%
Turnover 0.04 0.06 0.12 0.20 0.24
Realised P&L 36.25 58.06 124.67 203.79 243.71
Unrealised P&L 1.20 1.22 3.41 4.97 6.81
Fees paid 0.61 0.74 0.61 0.64 0.66
Fee drag 0.06% 0.07% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07%
Final equity 1037.44 1059.28 1128.08 1208.76 1250.52

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.44% 10.87% 20.08% 22.42% 24.37%
CAGR 5.51% 251.13% 826.45% 1071.38% 1320.08%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.39% -10.95% -1.75% 0.59% 2.54%
Volatility (ann.) 4.56% 12.76% 18.14% 30.53% 36.47%
Sharpe 1.20 9.91 12.36 8.21 7.46
Sortino 1.26 13.03 16.00 8.86 7.81
Calmar 5.14 146.81 404.41 238.33 229.47
Omega 1.03 1.24 1.28 1.11 1.08
Max drawdown 1.07% 1.71% 2.04% 4.50% 5.75%
Ulcer index 0.0060 0.0041 0.0055 0.0253 0.0262
Drawdown episodes 13 59 48 55 60
Longest underwater (days) 24.5 8.2 21.7 15.0 8.2
Recovery factor 0.41 6.36 9.82 4.99 4.24
VaR 95% -0.182% -0.144% -0.244% -0.847% -2.050%
VaR 99% -0.402% -0.643% -0.769% -3.148% -3.437%
CVaR 95% -0.292% -0.394% -0.506% -1.998% -2.744%
Skew 2.63 3.72 2.98 2.05 1.52
Excess kurtosis 12.05 13.88 7.69 4.30 2.27
Best day 0.81% 6.58% 7.85% 8.00% 8.09%
Worst day -0.40% -0.64% -0.77% -3.15% -3.44%
Positive days 15 16 16 17 16
Negative days 15 14 14 13 14
Round trips 1 4 22 39 68
Winning / losing trades 1 / 0 4 / 0 22 / 0 39 / 0 68 / 0
Trades per day 0.03 0.13 0.73 1.30 2.27
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 4.1809 26.8262 8.9473 5.6039 3.4652
Average win 4.1809 26.8262 8.9473 5.6039 3.4652
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 4.1809 26.8262 8.9473 5.6039 3.4652
Max win streak 1 4 22 39 68
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.79% 99.79% 99.79% 99.79% 99.79%
Turnover 0.00 0.11 0.20 0.22 0.24
Realised P&L 4.18 107.30 196.84 218.55 235.64
Unrealised P&L 0.24 1.44 3.94 5.61 8.05
Fees paid 0.30 0.51 0.63 0.64 0.65
Fee drag 0.03% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07%
Final equity 1004.42 1108.75 1200.78 1224.16 1243.69

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard WARN · 1 warn

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.52% 1.35% 7.45% 14.03% 3.38%
CAGR 6.49% 17.67% 139.72% 394.12% 49.89%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.36% -20.54% -14.43% -7.85% -18.50%
Volatility (ann.) 4.15% 6.84% 13.24% 17.95% 8.41%
Sharpe 1.54 2.41 6.67 8.99 4.85
Sortino 0.62 2.42 8.03 10.29 4.88
Calmar 5.81 10.97 67.03 183.87 22.92
Omega 1.02 1.03 1.09 1.10 1.04
Max drawdown 1.12% 1.61% 2.08% 2.14% 2.18%
Ulcer index 0.0041 0.0060 0.0083 0.0061 0.0062
Drawdown episodes 24 29 42 70 97
Longest underwater (days) 25.3 24.5 23.4 22.3 21.7
Recovery factor 0.46 0.84 3.57 6.55 1.55
VaR 95% -0.071% -0.011% -0.029% -0.044% -0.125%
VaR 99% -0.411% -0.657% -0.786% -0.801% -0.809%
CVaR 95% -0.241% -0.334% -0.407% -0.422% -0.467%
Skew 2.77 2.49 4.41 3.70 2.14
Excess kurtosis 13.90 11.92 19.48 13.66 6.39
Best day 0.79% 1.27% 6.04% 8.29% 1.86%
Worst day -0.41% -0.66% -0.79% -0.80% -0.81%
Positive days 4 17 17 17 16
Negative days 2 13 13 13 14
Round trips 2 8 44 78 75
Winning / losing trades 2 / 0 8 / 0 44 / 0 78 / 0 75 / 0
Trades per day 0.07 0.27 1.47 2.60 2.50
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 2.4634 1.6062 1.6595 1.7688 0.4269
Average win 2.4634 1.6062 1.6595 1.7688 0.4269
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 2.4634 1.6062 1.6595 1.7688 0.4269
Max win streak 2 8 44 78 75
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 17.73% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.14 0.03
Realised P&L 4.93 12.85 73.02 137.97 32.02
Unrealised P&L 0.25 0.61 1.48 2.35 1.81
Fees paid 0.60 0.96 1.17 1.21 0.66
Fee drag 0.06% 0.10% 0.12% 0.12% 0.07%
Final equity 1004.93 1013.36 1074.48 1140.31 1033.82

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 3.63% 5.93% 12.81% 20.88% 25.05%
CAGR 54.39% 101.52% 333.36% 904.37% 1418.33%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -18.23% -15.93% -9.05% -0.98% 3.19%
Volatility (ann.) 5.68% 8.62% 14.65% 23.73% 29.65%
Sharpe 7.67 8.17 10.09 9.84 9.32
Sortino 9.35 9.00 12.12 10.48 9.70
Calmar 50.12 58.58 163.77 213.17 322.91
Omega 1.15 1.13 1.18 1.14 1.11
Max drawdown 1.09% 1.73% 2.04% 4.24% 4.39%
Ulcer index 0.0026 0.0040 0.0054 0.0213 0.0163
Drawdown episodes 81 55 43 68 75
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 22.6 21.7 18.0
Recovery factor 3.35 3.42 6.29 4.92 5.70
VaR 95% -0.022% -0.048% -0.095% -0.731% -0.813%
VaR 99% -0.413% -0.660% -0.789% -0.805% -0.977%
CVaR 95% -0.217% -0.354% -0.442% -0.768% -0.895%
Skew 4.29 3.10 3.73 2.75 2.42
Excess kurtosis 18.45 10.00 13.99 6.41 5.03
Best day 3.00% 3.30% 7.84% 7.99% 8.08%
Worst day -0.41% -0.66% -0.79% -0.80% -0.98%
Positive days 15 15 15 15 15
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 2 6 22 39 68
Winning / losing trades 2 / 0 6 / 0 22 / 0 39 / 0 68 / 0
Trades per day 0.07 0.20 0.73 1.30 2.27
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 18.0362 9.6761 5.6667 5.2254 3.5840
Average win 18.0362 9.6761 5.6667 5.2254 3.5840
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 18.0362 9.6761 5.6667 5.2254 3.5840
Max win streak 2 6 22 39 68
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.87% 99.87% 99.87% 99.87% 99.87%
Turnover 0.04 0.06 0.12 0.20 0.24
Realised P&L 36.07 58.06 124.67 203.79 243.71
Unrealised P&L 0.26 1.22 3.41 4.97 6.81
Fees paid 0.61 0.74 0.61 0.64 0.66
Fee drag 0.06% 0.07% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07%
Final equity 1036.34 1059.28 1128.08 1208.76 1250.52

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.44% 10.87% 20.08% 22.42% 24.37%
CAGR 5.51% 251.13% 826.45% 1071.38% 1320.08%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.39% -10.95% -1.75% 0.59% 2.54%
Volatility (ann.) 4.56% 12.76% 18.14% 30.53% 36.47%
Sharpe 1.20 9.91 12.36 8.21 7.46
Sortino 1.26 13.03 16.00 8.86 7.81
Calmar 5.14 146.81 404.41 238.33 229.47
Omega 1.03 1.24 1.28 1.11 1.08
Max drawdown 1.07% 1.71% 2.04% 4.50% 5.75%
Ulcer index 0.0060 0.0041 0.0055 0.0253 0.0262
Drawdown episodes 13 59 48 55 60
Longest underwater (days) 24.5 8.2 21.7 15.0 8.2
Recovery factor 0.41 6.36 9.82 4.99 4.24
VaR 95% -0.182% -0.144% -0.244% -0.847% -2.050%
VaR 99% -0.402% -0.643% -0.769% -3.148% -3.437%
CVaR 95% -0.292% -0.394% -0.506% -1.998% -2.744%
Skew 2.63 3.72 2.98 2.05 1.52
Excess kurtosis 12.05 13.88 7.69 4.30 2.27
Best day 0.81% 6.58% 7.85% 8.00% 8.09%
Worst day -0.40% -0.64% -0.77% -3.15% -3.44%
Positive days 15 16 16 17 16
Negative days 15 14 14 13 14
Round trips 1 4 22 39 68
Winning / losing trades 1 / 0 4 / 0 22 / 0 39 / 0 68 / 0
Trades per day 0.03 0.13 0.73 1.30 2.27
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 4.1809 26.8262 8.9473 5.6039 3.4652
Average win 4.1809 26.8262 8.9473 5.6039 3.4652
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 4.1809 26.8262 8.9473 5.6039 3.4652
Max win streak 1 4 22 39 68
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.79% 99.79% 99.79% 99.79% 99.79%
Turnover 0.00 0.11 0.20 0.22 0.24
Realised P&L 4.18 107.30 196.84 218.55 235.64
Unrealised P&L 0.24 1.44 3.94 5.61 8.05
Fees paid 0.30 0.51 0.63 0.64 0.65
Fee drag 0.03% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07%
Final equity 1004.42 1108.75 1200.78 1224.16 1243.69

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.