← FILGrid_Geometric

FILGrid_Geometric — metrics

Unguarded: WARN · 1 warnGuarded: WARN · 1 warnFILGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships WARN · 1 warn

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.87% 0.58% 0.14% 0.96% 1.15%
CAGR 11.09% 7.29% 1.73% 12.35% 14.92%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.01% -21.30% -21.74% -20.92% -20.73%
Volatility (ann.) 4.87% 5.07% 5.15% 5.55% 4.29%
Sharpe 2.18 1.41 0.36 2.12 3.27
Sortino 2.18 1.40 0.35 2.10 3.30
Calmar 10.79 6.12 1.26 8.78 13.37
Omega 1.03 1.02 1.00 1.03 1.04
Max drawdown 1.03% 1.19% 1.37% 1.41% 1.12%
Ulcer index 0.0014 0.0017 0.0022 0.0023 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 141 134 54 141 71
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.85 0.49 0.10 0.68 1.03
VaR 95% -0.040% -0.035% -0.050% -0.012% -0.007%
VaR 99% -0.294% -0.381% -0.551% -0.658% -0.411%
CVaR 95% -0.167% -0.208% -0.300% -0.335% -0.209%
Skew 2.27 1.12 -1.58 0.60 2.30
Excess kurtosis 10.08 8.71 10.06 7.97 7.67
Best day 0.59% 0.52% 0.39% 0.80% 0.81%
Worst day -0.29% -0.38% -0.55% -0.66% -0.41%
Positive days 17 17 16 17 17
Negative days 13 13 14 13 13
Round trips 624 566 453 35 1
Winning / losing trades 458 / 166 313 / 253 204 / 249 31 / 4 1 / 0
Trades per day 20.80 18.87 15.10 1.17 0.03
Win rate 73.40% 55.30% 45.03% 88.57% 100.00%
Profit factor 12.09 2.84 1.10 48.02 ∞
Payoff ratio 4.38 2.30 1.34 6.20 ∞
Expectancy 0.0109 0.0074 0.0009 0.2584 11.1707
Average win 0.0162 0.0206 0.0232 0.2979 11.1707
Average loss 0.0037 0.0090 0.0173 0.0481 0.0000
Average trade 0.0109 0.0074 0.0009 0.2584 11.1707
Max win streak 167 132 47 10 1
Max loss streak 33 33 28 2 0
Time in market 99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 99.99%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Realised P&L 6.82 4.18 0.42 9.04 11.17
Unrealised P&L 1.86 1.62 1.00 0.57 0.33
Fees paid 3.47 5.48 7.55 3.50 0.30
Fee drag 0.35% 0.55% 0.76% 0.35% 0.03%
Final equity 1008.68 1005.80 1001.41 1009.61 1011.50

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.78% 0.85% 0.88% 1.58% 1.92%
CAGR 9.90% 10.87% 11.28% 21.01% 26.05%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.08% -21.01% -20.98% -20.28% -19.94%
Volatility (ann.) 6.04% 6.22% 6.23% 6.55% 4.93%
Sharpe 1.59 1.69 1.75 2.94 4.72
Sortino 1.62 1.71 1.77 3.00 4.98
Calmar 6.27 6.75 6.97 12.41 24.00
Omega 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.05 1.07
Max drawdown 1.58% 1.61% 1.62% 1.69% 1.09%
Ulcer index 0.0034 0.0034 0.0034 0.0036 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 72 75 76 83 82
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.49 0.53 0.55 0.93 1.77
VaR 95% -0.175% -0.115% -0.056% -0.029% -0.031%
VaR 99% -0.676% -0.661% -0.667% -0.672% -0.413%
CVaR 95% -0.425% -0.388% -0.362% -0.351% -0.222%
Skew 2.23 2.27 1.99 2.51 2.69
Excess kurtosis 11.73 11.97 11.34 11.39 8.02
Best day 1.17% 1.15% 1.09% 1.36% 1.16%
Worst day -0.68% -0.66% -0.67% -0.67% -0.41%
Positive days 15 15 15 16 15
Negative days 14 14 14 13 14
Round trips 469 380 245 8 1
Winning / losing trades 265 / 204 211 / 169 148 / 97 8 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 15.63 12.67 8.17 0.27 0.03
Win rate 56.50% 55.53% 60.41% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 3.32 2.88 3.21 ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 2.56 2.31 2.10 ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0137 0.0188 0.0311 1.7956 17.6378
Average win 0.0347 0.0518 0.0749 1.7956 17.6378
Average loss 0.0136 0.0225 0.0356 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0137 0.0188 0.0311 1.7956 17.6378
Max win streak 102 77 58 8 1
Max loss streak 71 57 39 0 0
Time in market 99.87% 99.87% 99.87% 99.87% 99.87%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
Realised P&L 6.43 7.13 7.63 14.37 17.64
Unrealised P&L 1.36 1.38 1.19 1.43 1.57
Fees paid 2.61 3.68 4.09 0.80 0.30
Fee drag 0.26% 0.37% 0.41% 0.08% 0.03%
Final equity 1007.79 1008.51 1008.82 1015.80 1019.21

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.89% 0.65% 0.73% 1.28% 1.91%
CAGR 11.36% 8.16% 9.25% 16.75% 25.87%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -20.94% -21.18% -21.10% -20.55% -19.92%
Volatility (ann.) 5.82% 5.96% 6.15% 6.00% 4.93%
Sharpe 1.88 1.34 1.47 2.61 4.69
Sortino 1.96 1.39 1.51 2.69 5.11
Calmar 7.55 5.22 5.72 9.95 24.15
Omega 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.05 1.09
Max drawdown 1.51% 1.56% 1.62% 1.68% 1.07%
Ulcer index 0.0032 0.0034 0.0036 0.0037 0.0025
Drawdown episodes 48 48 54 59 59
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.59 0.41 0.45 0.76 1.78
VaR 95% -0.235% -0.255% -0.179% -0.121% -0.067%
VaR 99% -0.683% -0.680% -0.681% -0.670% -0.402%
CVaR 95% -0.459% -0.467% -0.430% -0.395% -0.234%
Skew 2.69 2.36 2.32 2.29 2.82
Excess kurtosis 13.24 12.42 12.55 10.80 8.62
Best day 1.33% 1.20% 1.18% 1.24% 1.18%
Worst day -0.68% -0.68% -0.68% -0.67% -0.40%
Positive days 16 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 329 295 209 6 1
Winning / losing trades 199 / 130 161 / 134 118 / 91 5 / 1 1 / 0
Trades per day 10.97 9.83 6.97 0.20 0.03
Win rate 60.49% 54.58% 56.46% 83.33% 100.00%
Profit factor 4.94 2.49 2.70 1969.52 ∞
Payoff ratio 3.23 2.07 2.08 393.90 ∞
Expectancy 0.0232 0.0182 0.0299 1.9544 17.6004
Average win 0.0482 0.0558 0.0841 2.3465 17.6004
Average loss 0.0149 0.0269 0.0405 0.0060 0.0000
Average trade 0.0232 0.0182 0.0299 1.9544 17.6004
Max win streak 101 60 44 5 1
Max loss streak 48 40 30 1 0
Time in market 99.80% 99.80% 99.80% 99.80% 99.80%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
Realised P&L 7.65 5.38 6.25 11.73 17.60
Unrealised P&L 1.24 1.09 1.05 1.09 1.49
Fees paid 1.83 2.86 3.48 0.60 0.30
Fee drag 0.18% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1008.88 1006.47 1007.29 1012.81 1019.09

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard WARN · 1 warn

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.45% 0.65% 0.99% 1.00% 1.15%
CAGR 5.64% 8.16% 12.67% 12.92% 14.92%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.43% -21.23% -20.90% -20.88% -20.73%
Volatility (ann.) 5.03% 5.29% 5.16% 5.56% 4.29%
Sharpe 1.12 1.51 2.34 2.21 3.27
Sortino 1.10 1.50 2.33 2.19 3.30
Calmar 4.34 6.09 12.25 9.19 13.37
Omega 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.04
Max drawdown 1.30% 1.34% 1.03% 1.41% 1.12%
Ulcer index 0.0020 0.0021 0.0013 0.0023 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 93 145 146 142 71
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.35 0.48 0.95 0.71 1.03
VaR 95% -0.011% -0.017% -0.035% -0.012% -0.007%
VaR 99% -0.458% -0.532% -0.235% -0.657% -0.411%
CVaR 95% -0.235% -0.275% -0.135% -0.335% -0.209%
Skew -0.15 0.55 2.66 0.76 2.30
Excess kurtosis 8.10 8.47 10.31 8.10 7.67
Best day 0.46% 0.63% 0.60% 0.83% 0.81%
Worst day -0.46% -0.53% -0.24% -0.66% -0.41%
Positive days 17 17 17 17 17
Negative days 13 13 13 13 13
Round trips 372 329 257 35 1
Winning / losing trades 372 / 0 329 / 0 257 / 0 35 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 12.40 10.97 8.57 1.17 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0107 0.0172 0.0320 0.2705 11.1707
Average win 0.0107 0.0172 0.0320 0.2705 11.1707
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0107 0.0172 0.0320 0.2705 11.1707
Max win streak 372 329 257 35 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 99.99%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Realised P&L 4.00 5.66 8.22 9.47 11.17
Unrealised P&L 0.52 0.81 1.64 0.57 0.33
Fees paid 3.27 4.13 4.60 3.50 0.30
Fee drag 0.33% 0.41% 0.46% 0.35% 0.03%
Final equity 1004.52 1006.47 1009.86 1010.04 1011.50

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.97% 0.58% 0.83% 1.58% 1.92%
CAGR 12.49% 7.24% 10.52% 21.01% 26.05%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -20.89% -21.28% -21.03% -20.28% -19.94%
Volatility (ann.) 6.07% 6.43% 6.55% 6.55% 4.93%
Sharpe 1.97 1.12 1.56 2.94 4.72
Sortino 2.01 0.52 1.57 3.00 4.98
Calmar 7.45 4.16 5.96 12.41 24.00
Omega 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.05 1.07
Max drawdown 1.68% 1.74% 1.77% 1.69% 1.09%
Ulcer index 0.0034 0.0036 0.0037 0.0036 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 78 17 80 83 82
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 24.5 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.58 0.33 0.47 0.93 1.77
VaR 95% -0.097% -0.051% -0.031% -0.029% -0.031%
VaR 99% -0.732% -0.745% -0.754% -0.672% -0.413%
CVaR 95% -0.414% -0.398% -0.393% -0.351% -0.222%
Skew 2.25 0.83 2.08 2.51 2.69
Excess kurtosis 11.93 9.45 11.90 11.39 8.02
Best day 1.27% 0.92% 1.23% 1.36% 1.16%
Worst day -0.73% -0.74% -0.75% -0.67% -0.41%
Positive days 15 5 15 16 15
Negative days 14 2 14 13 14
Round trips 241 153 125 8 1
Winning / losing trades 241 / 0 153 / 0 125 / 0 8 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 8.03 5.10 4.17 0.27 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0350 0.0377 0.0657 1.7956 17.6378
Average win 0.0350 0.0377 0.0657 1.7956 17.6378
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0350 0.0377 0.0657 1.7956 17.6378
Max win streak 241 153 125 8 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.87% 18.93% 21.49% 99.87% 99.87%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
Realised P&L 8.44 5.76 8.21 14.37 17.64
Unrealised P&L 1.28 0.00 0.04 1.43 1.57
Fees paid 1.91 1.95 2.25 0.80 0.30
Fee drag 0.19% 0.19% 0.23% 0.08% 0.03%
Final equity 1009.72 1005.76 1008.26 1015.80 1019.21

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.56% 0.83% 0.86% 1.08% 1.91%
CAGR 7.08% 10.63% 10.96% 14.02% 25.87%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.27% -20.99% -20.97% -20.74% -19.92%
Volatility (ann.) 4.91% 5.94% 6.43% 5.98% 4.93%
Sharpe 1.42 1.73 1.65 2.22 4.69
Sortino 1.49 1.81 0.78 2.28 5.11
Calmar 5.75 6.70 6.51 8.32 24.15
Omega 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.09
Max drawdown 1.23% 1.59% 1.68% 1.68% 1.07%
Ulcer index 0.0024 0.0034 0.0037 0.0037 0.0025
Drawdown episodes 22 17 14 58 59
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 24.5 24.5 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.46 0.53 0.51 0.64 1.78
VaR 95% -0.122% -0.184% -0.167% -0.121% -0.067%
VaR 99% -0.577% -0.718% -0.715% -0.670% -0.402%
CVaR 95% -0.349% -0.451% -0.441% -0.395% -0.234%
Skew 1.27 2.38 2.32 1.85 2.82
Excess kurtosis 9.59 12.24 12.00 9.65 8.62
Best day 0.79% 1.28% 1.26% 1.10% 1.18%
Worst day -0.58% -0.72% -0.72% -0.67% -0.40%
Positive days 16 16 5 16 16
Negative days 14 14 2 14 14
Round trips 140 138 106 5 1
Winning / losing trades 140 / 0 138 / 0 106 / 0 5 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 4.67 4.60 3.53 0.17 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0362 0.0604 0.0810 2.0514 17.6004
Average win 0.0362 0.0604 0.0810 2.0514 17.6004
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0362 0.0604 0.0810 2.0514 17.6004
Max win streak 140 138 106 5 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.80% 20.03% 21.42% 99.80% 99.80%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
Realised P&L 5.07 8.33 8.58 10.26 17.60
Unrealised P&L 0.56 0.01 -0.00 0.58 1.49
Fees paid 2.28 1.90 1.85 0.90 0.30
Fee drag 0.23% 0.19% 0.19% 0.09% 0.03%
Final equity 1005.64 1008.34 1008.58 1010.84 1019.09

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.