← FILGrid_Logarithmic

FILGrid_Logarithmic — metrics

Unguarded: WARN · 1 warnGuarded: WARN · 1 warnFILGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships WARN · 1 warn

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.40% 0.49% 0.53% 0.97% -0.26%
CAGR 4.96% 6.08% 6.59% 12.53% -3.14%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.48% -21.39% -21.36% -20.91% -22.14%
Volatility (ann.) 3.21% 5.02% 6.18% 6.56% 4.36%
Sharpe 1.52 1.20 1.07 1.83 -0.71
Sortino 0.69 0.52 0.46 0.77 -0.71
Calmar 5.81 4.74 4.13 7.75 -2.55
Omega 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.02 0.99
Max drawdown 0.85% 1.28% 1.60% 1.62% 1.23%
Ulcer index 0.0019 0.0025 0.0030 0.0033 0.0103
Drawdown episodes 26 33 31 41 24
Longest underwater (days) 25.4 25.4 25.4 25.3 25.3
Recovery factor 0.47 0.38 0.33 0.60 -0.21
VaR 95% -0.015% -0.013% -0.006% -0.071% -0.411%
VaR 99% -0.363% -0.600% -0.745% -0.736% -0.571%
CVaR 95% -0.189% -0.306% -0.376% -0.404% -0.491%
Skew 2.08 0.96 0.49 1.83 -0.23
Excess kurtosis 12.31 10.37 9.93 10.54 6.14
Best day 0.59% 0.76% 0.85% 1.16% 0.58%
Worst day -0.36% -0.60% -0.75% -0.74% -0.57%
Positive days 5 5 5 5 15
Negative days 2 2 2 2 15
Round trips 1,151 1,384 1,255 74 33
Winning / losing trades 624 / 527 777 / 607 708 / 547 38 / 36 3 / 30
Trades per day 38.37 46.13 41.83 2.47 1.10
Win rate 54.21% 56.14% 56.41% 51.35% 9.09%
Profit factor 4.33 2.82 2.02 4.80 0.67
Payoff ratio 3.66 2.21 1.56 4.55 6.75
Expectancy 0.0035 0.0035 0.0042 0.1311 -0.1219
Average win 0.0083 0.0097 0.0147 0.3224 2.7818
Average loss 0.0023 0.0044 0.0094 0.0709 0.4123
Average trade 0.0035 0.0035 0.0042 0.1311 -0.1219
Max win streak 197 208 152 13 1
Max loss streak 80 98 117 15 23
Time in market 19.88% 19.85% 19.83% 19.81% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02
Realised P&L 3.98 4.86 5.26 9.70 -4.02
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.40
Fees paid 1.74 3.63 5.71 3.99 9.90
Fee drag 0.17% 0.36% 0.57% 0.40% 0.99%
Final equity 1003.98 1004.86 1005.26 1009.70 997.13

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.49% 0.58% 0.73% 1.10% 0.46%
CAGR 6.16% 7.28% 9.20% 14.25% 5.70%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.37% -21.28% -21.13% -20.76% -21.40%
Volatility (ann.) 3.18% 4.55% 5.71% 6.51% 4.49%
Sharpe 1.89 1.57 1.57 2.08 1.26
Sortino 1.94 0.72 0.72 0.91 1.28
Calmar 7.54 6.17 6.58 9.37 5.25
Omega 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.02
Max drawdown 0.82% 1.18% 1.40% 1.52% 1.09%
Ulcer index 0.0017 0.0021 0.0023 0.0028 0.0041
Drawdown episodes 24 27 31 30 20
Longest underwater (days) 25.3 24.5 24.5 24.0 25.3
Recovery factor 0.60 0.49 0.52 0.72 0.42
VaR 95% -0.001% -0.000% 0.000% -0.035% -0.138%
VaR 99% -0.365% -0.581% -0.646% -0.706% -0.413%
CVaR 95% -0.183% -0.291% -0.028% -0.370% -0.275%
Skew 2.63 1.33 1.43 1.77 1.72
Excess kurtosis 13.29 10.33 10.29 9.66 9.91
Best day 0.68% 0.80% 0.92% 1.13% 0.65%
Worst day -0.36% -0.58% -0.65% -0.71% -0.41%
Positive days 15 5 6 5 15
Negative days 14 2 1 2 14
Round trips 565 664 599 51 19
Winning / losing trades 402 / 163 438 / 226 380 / 219 31 / 20 4 / 15
Trades per day 18.83 22.13 19.97 1.70 0.63
Win rate 71.15% 65.96% 63.44% 60.78% 21.05%
Profit factor 11.76 7.05 4.83 7.36 1.42
Payoff ratio 4.77 3.64 2.79 4.75 5.34
Expectancy 0.0086 0.0087 0.0121 0.2150 0.1558
Average win 0.0133 0.0154 0.0241 0.4093 2.4864
Average loss 0.0028 0.0042 0.0086 0.0862 0.4657
Average trade 0.0086 0.0087 0.0121 0.2150 0.1558
Max win streak 229 108 134 15 1
Max loss streak 49 40 40 12 12
Time in market 20.16% 20.03% 19.99% 19.91% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
Realised P&L 4.88 5.79 7.26 10.96 2.96
Unrealised P&L 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.60
Fees paid 0.86 1.74 2.73 2.73 5.70
Fee drag 0.09% 0.17% 0.27% 0.27% 0.57%
Final equity 1004.92 1005.79 1007.26 1010.96 1004.31

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.31% 1.41% 1.14% 1.90% 1.83%
CAGR 17.15% 18.63% 14.77% 25.77% 24.64%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -20.52% -20.42% -20.69% -19.93% -20.00%
Volatility (ann.) 3.65% 5.23% 6.10% 7.00% 4.92%
Sharpe 4.35 3.29 2.29 3.31 4.50
Sortino 4.66 3.45 2.38 3.44 4.84
Calmar 18.50 13.70 9.47 15.10 22.99
Omega 1.10 1.06 1.04 1.07 1.08
Max drawdown 0.93% 1.36% 1.56% 1.71% 1.07%
Ulcer index 0.0022 0.0028 0.0029 0.0034 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 23 59 64 22 61
Longest underwater (days) 23.4 8.2 8.2 23.5 8.2
Recovery factor 1.41 1.04 0.73 1.11 1.70
VaR 95% -0.136% -0.046% -0.037% -0.000% -0.065%
VaR 99% -0.355% -0.604% -0.699% -0.738% -0.402%
CVaR 95% -0.245% -0.325% -0.368% -0.369% -0.233%
Skew 2.45 2.02 1.93 2.08 2.34
Excess kurtosis 6.64 8.46 11.20 9.38 6.36
Best day 0.80% 1.08% 1.14% 1.37% 0.91%
Worst day -0.35% -0.60% -0.70% -0.74% -0.40%
Positive days 16 16 17 17 17
Negative days 14 14 13 13 13
Round trips 399 497 462 23 2
Winning / losing trades 363 / 36 362 / 135 316 / 146 21 / 2 2 / 0
Trades per day 13.30 16.57 15.40 0.77 0.07
Win rate 90.98% 72.84% 68.40% 91.30% 100.00%
Profit factor 158.61 17.84 6.63 240.75 ∞
Payoff ratio 15.73 6.65 3.06 22.93 ∞
Expectancy 0.0328 0.0251 0.0209 0.8251 7.6113
Average win 0.0363 0.0365 0.0360 0.9074 7.6113
Average loss 0.0023 0.0055 0.0117 0.0396 0.0000
Average trade 0.0328 0.0251 0.0209 0.8251 7.6113
Max win streak 261 181 86 14 2
Max loss streak 27 33 34 1 0
Time in market 22.37% 100.00% 100.00% 21.80% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02
Realised P&L 13.09 12.48 9.65 18.98 15.22
Unrealised P&L 0.00 1.66 1.73 0.05 3.04
Fees paid 0.61 1.30 2.10 1.21 0.60
Fee drag 0.06% 0.13% 0.21% 0.12% 0.06%
Final equity 1013.09 1014.14 1011.38 1018.98 1018.01

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard WARN · 1 warn

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.74% 0.63% 0.86% 1.21% 1.13%
CAGR 9.43% 7.96% 10.95% 15.72% 14.60%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.14% -21.25% -21.02% -20.67% -20.76%
Volatility (ann.) 3.19% 5.00% 6.36% 6.64% 4.35%
Sharpe 2.84 1.56 1.66 2.23 3.15
Sortino 1.28 0.67 0.74 2.17 3.17
Calmar 12.00 6.42 7.20 9.73 13.08
Omega 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.03
Max drawdown 0.79% 1.24% 1.52% 1.62% 1.12%
Ulcer index 0.0016 0.0023 0.0027 0.0030 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 42 38 41 158 134
Longest underwater (days) 24.5 23.7 23.6 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.95 0.51 0.56 0.75 1.01
VaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% -0.000% -0.035%
VaR 99% -0.364% -0.608% -0.712% -0.751% -0.411%
CVaR 95% -0.015% -0.025% -0.030% -0.376% -0.223%
Skew 2.58 0.12 0.97 2.01 2.51
Excess kurtosis 12.64 8.31 9.03 11.19 11.56
Best day 0.71% 0.65% 0.92% 1.25% 0.85%
Worst day -0.36% -0.61% -0.71% -0.75% -0.41%
Positive days 6 6 6 17 17
Negative days 1 1 1 13 13
Round trips 722 654 646 41 5
Winning / losing trades 722 / 0 654 / 0 646 / 0 41 / 0 5 / 0
Trades per day 24.07 21.80 21.53 1.37 0.17
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0103 0.0097 0.0133 0.2932 1.8936
Average win 0.0103 0.0097 0.0133 0.2932 1.8936
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0103 0.0097 0.0133 0.2932 1.8936
Max win streak 722 654 646 41 5
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 20.08% 20.03% 19.97% 19.98% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Realised P&L 7.43 6.31 8.57 12.02 9.47
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.79
Fees paid 1.36 2.96 3.64 2.68 1.50
Fee drag 0.14% 0.30% 0.36% 0.27% 0.15%
Final equity 1007.43 1006.31 1008.57 1012.03 1011.01

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.54% 0.86% 0.88% 0.99% 1.06%
CAGR 6.73% 11.00% 11.24% 12.72% 13.71%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.32% -21.00% -20.98% -20.87% -20.80%
Volatility (ann.) 2.95% 4.57% 5.65% 6.55% 4.48%
Sharpe 2.23 2.31 1.91 1.86 2.89
Sortino 2.34 1.10 1.97 0.82 2.97
Calmar 9.37 10.82 7.95 8.67 12.63
Omega 1.04 1.05 1.04 1.04 1.04
Max drawdown 0.72% 1.02% 1.41% 1.47% 1.09%
Ulcer index 0.0014 0.0016 0.0023 0.0025 0.0025
Drawdown episodes 27 34 90 28 85
Longest underwater (days) 25.3 24.5 8.2 3.6 8.2
Recovery factor 0.75 0.85 0.62 0.67 0.98
VaR 95% -0.000% 0.000% -0.013% 0.000% -0.030%
VaR 99% -0.365% -0.336% -0.663% -0.715% -0.413%
CVaR 95% -0.183% -0.015% -0.338% -0.031% -0.221%
Skew 2.60 3.18 0.74 1.24 2.04
Excess kurtosis 13.16 14.26 8.36 8.71 9.22
Best day 0.68% 0.82% 0.83% 1.00% 0.77%
Worst day -0.36% -0.34% -0.66% -0.71% -0.41%
Positive days 16 6 16 6 16
Negative days 13 1 13 1 13
Round trips 347 454 372 31 3
Winning / losing trades 347 / 0 454 / 0 372 / 0 31 / 0 3 / 0
Trades per day 11.57 15.13 12.40 1.03 0.10
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0154 0.0190 0.0220 0.3175 2.9850
Average win 0.0154 0.0190 0.0220 0.3175 2.9850
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0154 0.0190 0.0220 0.3175 2.9850
Max win streak 347 454 372 31 3
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 20.10% 20.19% 100.00% 20.03% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Realised P&L 5.35 8.61 8.19 9.84 8.95
Unrealised P&L 0.02 0.00 0.60 0.05 1.66
Fees paid 0.77 1.55 2.27 2.46 0.90
Fee drag 0.08% 0.16% 0.23% 0.25% 0.09%
Final equity 1005.37 1008.61 1008.79 1009.84 1010.36

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.82% 2.36% 1.27% 1.91% 1.83%
CAGR 10.39% 32.82% 16.60% 25.93% 24.64%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.01% -19.47% -20.56% -19.92% -20.00%
Volatility (ann.) 3.52% 4.52% 5.78% 7.02% 4.92%
Sharpe 2.82 6.30 2.69 3.32 4.50
Sortino 2.94 7.04 2.84 3.45 4.84
Calmar 11.21 43.71 11.25 15.22 22.99
Omega 1.06 1.11 1.06 1.07 1.08
Max drawdown 0.93% 0.75% 1.48% 1.70% 1.07%
Ulcer index 0.0021 0.0011 0.0026 0.0033 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 50 78 38 23 61
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 23.5 8.2
Recovery factor 0.88 3.14 0.86 1.12 1.70
VaR 95% -0.136% -0.036% -0.094% -0.000% -0.065%
VaR 99% -0.355% -0.062% -0.703% -0.738% -0.402%
CVaR 95% -0.245% -0.049% -0.398% -0.369% -0.233%
Skew 2.44 3.25 1.79 2.10 2.34
Excess kurtosis 9.97 9.82 7.84 9.43 6.36
Best day 0.75% 1.09% 1.13% 1.38% 0.91%
Worst day -0.35% -0.06% -0.70% -0.74% -0.40%
Positive days 16 17 16 17 17
Negative days 14 13 14 13 13
Round trips 310 392 201 23 2
Winning / losing trades 310 / 0 392 / 0 201 / 0 23 / 0 2 / 0
Trades per day 10.33 13.07 6.70 0.77 0.07
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0256 0.0528 0.0627 0.8298 7.6113
Average win 0.0256 0.0528 0.0627 0.8298 7.6113
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0256 0.0528 0.0627 0.8298 7.6113
Max win streak 310 392 201 23 2
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 100.00% 100.00% 21.94% 21.80% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02
Realised P&L 7.94 20.71 12.59 19.08 15.22
Unrealised P&L 0.21 2.89 0.11 0.05 3.04
Fees paid 0.63 1.80 2.34 1.21 0.60
Fee drag 0.06% 0.18% 0.23% 0.12% 0.06%
Final equity 1008.15 1023.60 1012.70 1019.08 1018.01

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.