← FILGrid_PercentBand

FILGrid_PercentBand — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: PASSFILGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.66% 1.68% 3.97% 6.33% 2.97%
CAGR 8.27% 22.43% 60.55% 111.09% 42.72%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.23% -20.20% -17.91% -15.55% -18.91%
Volatility (ann.) 1.67% 3.00% 7.04% 10.34% 5.00%
Sharpe 4.77 6.76 6.76 7.28 7.14
Sortino 4.84 7.05 8.34 8.47 7.44
Calmar 21.27 33.34 52.01 57.72 38.29
Omega 1.05 1.07 1.10 1.09 1.07
Max drawdown 0.39% 0.67% 1.16% 1.92% 1.12%
Ulcer index 0.0009 0.0016 0.0049 0.0075 0.0027
Drawdown episodes 127 127 37 39 126
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 23.4 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 1.68 2.49 3.41 3.29 2.66
VaR 95% -0.023% -0.041% -0.070% -0.021% -0.033%
VaR 99% -0.143% -0.247% -0.429% -0.758% -0.411%
CVaR 95% -0.083% -0.144% -0.249% -0.389% -0.222%
Skew 2.98 3.90 4.37 4.21 3.91
Excess kurtosis 9.58 15.80 19.17 18.03 15.89
Best day 0.44% 1.31% 3.31% 5.04% 2.20%
Worst day -0.14% -0.25% -0.43% -0.76% -0.41%
Positive days 16 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 1 1 3 13 1
Winning / losing trades 1 / 0 1 / 0 3 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 0.03 0.03 0.10 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 6.5520 16.7693 13.2271 4.8715 28.0568
Average win 6.5520 16.7693 13.2271 4.8715 28.0568
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 6.5520 16.7693 13.2271 4.8715 28.0568
Max win streak 1 1 3 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 21.70% 21.75% 21.77% 21.78% 99.87%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.03
Realised P&L 6.55 16.77 39.68 63.33 28.06
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.61
Fees paid 0.11 0.19 0.33 0.57 0.31
Fee drag 0.01% 0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1006.55 1016.77 1039.68 1063.33 1029.67

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.69% 1.75% 3.99% 6.67% 3.81%
CAGR 8.70% 23.52% 60.93% 119.35% 57.67%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.17% -20.11% -17.87% -15.19% -18.05%
Volatility (ann.) 1.73% 3.20% 6.00% 10.03% 5.70%
Sharpe 4.83 6.62 7.96 7.88 8.02
Sortino 5.20 7.61 9.79 9.49 9.73
Calmar 23.06 36.03 53.87 65.14 53.17
Omega 1.09 1.13 1.16 1.16 1.13
Max drawdown 0.38% 0.65% 1.13% 1.83% 1.08%
Ulcer index 0.0009 0.0015 0.0027 0.0046 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 70 81 101 25 79
Longest underwater (days) 8.0 8.2 8.2 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 1.82 2.68 3.53 3.64 3.52
VaR 95% -0.079% -0.136% -0.236% -0.166% -0.078%
VaR 99% -0.143% -0.248% -0.430% -0.710% -0.412%
CVaR 95% -0.111% -0.192% -0.333% -0.438% -0.245%
Skew 3.12 3.94 4.30 4.23 4.21
Excess kurtosis 10.64 16.03 18.53 17.93 17.92
Best day 0.53% 1.47% 3.49% 5.44% 3.02%
Worst day -0.14% -0.25% -0.43% -0.71% -0.41%
Positive days 15 15 15 15 15
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 1 1 2 13 1
Winning / losing trades 1 / 0 1 / 0 2 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 6.8787 17.5116 19.9396 5.1297 35.2651
Average win 6.8787 17.5116 19.9396 5.1297 35.2651
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 6.8787 17.5116 19.9396 5.1297 35.2651
Max win streak 1 1 2 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 21.63% 21.68% 21.72% 21.76% 99.80%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.04
Realised P&L 6.88 17.51 39.88 66.69 35.27
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.87
Fees paid 0.11 0.19 0.33 0.57 0.31
Fee drag 0.01% 0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1006.88 1017.51 1039.88 1066.69 1038.13

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.72% 2.09% 3.93% 6.64% 3.72%
CAGR 9.12% 28.57% 59.85% 118.55% 55.95%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.11% -19.74% -17.90% -15.19% -18.11%
Volatility (ann.) 1.72% 3.55% 6.21% 10.82% 6.00%
Sharpe 5.10 7.10 7.58 7.28 7.44
Sortino 5.74 9.55 10.30 9.50 9.82
Calmar 25.10 45.42 54.91 62.01 52.30
Omega 1.12 1.19 1.21 1.19 1.16
Max drawdown 0.36% 0.63% 1.09% 1.91% 1.07%
Ulcer index 0.0008 0.0015 0.0025 0.0046 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 52 68 16 16 56
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 23.4 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 1.98 3.32 3.61 3.47 3.48
VaR 95% -0.083% -0.143% -0.248% -0.423% -0.173%
VaR 99% -0.139% -0.241% -0.419% -0.742% -0.401%
CVaR 95% -0.111% -0.192% -0.333% -0.582% -0.287%
Skew 3.30 4.27 4.37 4.31 4.28
Excess kurtosis 11.78 18.50 19.18 18.74 18.54
Best day 0.56% 1.80% 3.43% 5.72% 3.02%
Worst day -0.14% -0.24% -0.42% -0.74% -0.40%
Positive days 16 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 1 1 2 13 1
Winning / losing trades 1 / 0 1 / 0 2 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 7.1999 20.8672 19.6534 5.1053 34.3909
Average win 7.1999 20.8672 19.6534 5.1053 34.3909
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 7.1999 20.8672 19.6534 5.1053 34.3909
Max win streak 1 1 2 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 21.43% 21.48% 21.51% 21.61% 99.59%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.03
Realised P&L 7.20 20.87 39.31 66.37 34.39
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.81
Fees paid 0.11 0.19 0.33 0.57 0.31
Fee drag 0.01% 0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1007.20 1020.87 1039.31 1066.37 1037.20

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard PASS

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.66% 1.68% 3.97% 6.33% 2.97%
CAGR 8.27% 22.43% 60.55% 111.09% 42.72%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.23% -20.20% -17.91% -15.55% -18.91%
Volatility (ann.) 1.67% 3.00% 7.04% 10.34% 5.00%
Sharpe 4.77 6.76 6.76 7.28 7.14
Sortino 4.84 7.05 8.34 8.47 7.44
Calmar 21.27 33.34 52.01 57.72 38.29
Omega 1.05 1.07 1.10 1.09 1.07
Max drawdown 0.39% 0.67% 1.16% 1.92% 1.12%
Ulcer index 0.0009 0.0016 0.0049 0.0075 0.0027
Drawdown episodes 127 127 37 39 126
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 23.4 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 1.68 2.49 3.41 3.29 2.66
VaR 95% -0.023% -0.041% -0.070% -0.021% -0.033%
VaR 99% -0.143% -0.247% -0.429% -0.758% -0.411%
CVaR 95% -0.083% -0.144% -0.249% -0.389% -0.222%
Skew 2.98 3.90 4.37 4.21 3.91
Excess kurtosis 9.58 15.80 19.17 18.03 15.89
Best day 0.44% 1.31% 3.31% 5.04% 2.20%
Worst day -0.14% -0.25% -0.43% -0.76% -0.41%
Positive days 16 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 1 1 3 13 1
Winning / losing trades 1 / 0 1 / 0 3 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 0.03 0.03 0.10 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 6.5520 16.7693 13.2271 4.8715 28.0568
Average win 6.5520 16.7693 13.2271 4.8715 28.0568
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 6.5520 16.7693 13.2271 4.8715 28.0568
Max win streak 1 1 3 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 21.70% 21.75% 21.77% 21.78% 99.87%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.03
Realised P&L 6.55 16.77 39.68 63.33 28.06
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.61
Fees paid 0.11 0.19 0.33 0.57 0.31
Fee drag 0.01% 0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1006.55 1016.77 1039.68 1063.33 1029.67

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.69% 1.75% 3.99% 6.67% 3.81%
CAGR 8.70% 23.52% 60.93% 119.35% 57.67%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.17% -20.11% -17.87% -15.19% -18.05%
Volatility (ann.) 1.73% 3.20% 6.00% 10.03% 5.70%
Sharpe 4.83 6.62 7.96 7.88 8.02
Sortino 5.20 7.61 9.79 9.49 9.73
Calmar 23.06 36.03 53.87 65.14 53.17
Omega 1.09 1.13 1.16 1.16 1.13
Max drawdown 0.38% 0.65% 1.13% 1.83% 1.08%
Ulcer index 0.0009 0.0015 0.0027 0.0046 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 70 81 101 25 79
Longest underwater (days) 8.0 8.2 8.2 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 1.82 2.68 3.53 3.64 3.52
VaR 95% -0.079% -0.136% -0.236% -0.166% -0.078%
VaR 99% -0.143% -0.248% -0.430% -0.710% -0.412%
CVaR 95% -0.111% -0.192% -0.333% -0.438% -0.245%
Skew 3.12 3.94 4.30 4.23 4.21
Excess kurtosis 10.64 16.03 18.53 17.93 17.92
Best day 0.53% 1.47% 3.49% 5.44% 3.02%
Worst day -0.14% -0.25% -0.43% -0.71% -0.41%
Positive days 15 15 15 15 15
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 1 1 2 13 1
Winning / losing trades 1 / 0 1 / 0 2 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 6.8787 17.5116 19.9396 5.1297 35.2651
Average win 6.8787 17.5116 19.9396 5.1297 35.2651
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 6.8787 17.5116 19.9396 5.1297 35.2651
Max win streak 1 1 2 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 21.63% 21.68% 21.72% 21.76% 99.80%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.04
Realised P&L 6.88 17.51 39.88 66.69 35.27
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.87
Fees paid 0.11 0.19 0.33 0.57 0.31
Fee drag 0.01% 0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1006.88 1017.51 1039.88 1066.69 1038.13

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.72% 2.09% 3.93% 6.64% 3.72%
CAGR 9.12% 28.57% 59.85% 118.55% 55.95%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.11% -19.74% -17.90% -15.19% -18.11%
Volatility (ann.) 1.72% 3.55% 6.21% 10.82% 6.00%
Sharpe 5.10 7.10 7.58 7.28 7.44
Sortino 5.74 9.55 10.30 9.50 9.82
Calmar 25.10 45.42 54.91 62.01 52.30
Omega 1.12 1.19 1.21 1.19 1.16
Max drawdown 0.36% 0.63% 1.09% 1.91% 1.07%
Ulcer index 0.0008 0.0015 0.0025 0.0046 0.0026
Drawdown episodes 52 68 16 16 56
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 23.4 23.4 8.2
Recovery factor 1.98 3.32 3.61 3.47 3.48
VaR 95% -0.083% -0.143% -0.248% -0.423% -0.173%
VaR 99% -0.139% -0.241% -0.419% -0.742% -0.401%
CVaR 95% -0.111% -0.192% -0.333% -0.582% -0.287%
Skew 3.30 4.27 4.37 4.31 4.28
Excess kurtosis 11.78 18.50 19.18 18.74 18.54
Best day 0.56% 1.80% 3.43% 5.72% 3.02%
Worst day -0.14% -0.24% -0.42% -0.74% -0.40%
Positive days 16 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 1 1 2 13 1
Winning / losing trades 1 / 0 1 / 0 2 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 7.1999 20.8672 19.6534 5.1053 34.3909
Average win 7.1999 20.8672 19.6534 5.1053 34.3909
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 7.1999 20.8672 19.6534 5.1053 34.3909
Max win streak 1 1 2 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 21.43% 21.48% 21.51% 21.61% 99.59%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.03
Realised P&L 7.20 20.87 39.31 66.37 34.39
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.81
Fees paid 0.11 0.19 0.33 0.57 0.31
Fee drag 0.01% 0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1007.20 1020.87 1039.31 1066.37 1037.20

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.