← FILGrid_Quadratic

FILGrid_Quadratic — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: PASSFILGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.72% 1.49% 3.59% 16.44% 12.81%
CAGR 9.17% 19.78% 53.56% 537.32% 333.37%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.16% -20.39% -18.29% -5.44% -9.07%
Volatility (ann.) 1.25% 2.38% 4.77% 17.69% 14.70%
Sharpe 7.00 7.58 9.01 10.56 10.05
Sortino 8.64 9.11 10.73 12.08 10.29
Calmar 45.20 56.39 88.15 271.25 134.86
Omega 1.09 1.11 1.11 1.12 1.09
Max drawdown 0.20% 0.35% 0.61% 1.98% 2.47%
Ulcer index 0.0008 0.0009 0.0015 0.0049 0.0054
Drawdown episodes 42 46 88 87 110
Longest underwater (days) 23.4 23.2 8.2 22.0 18.4
Recovery factor 3.57 4.26 5.91 8.30 5.18
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.000% -0.009% -0.000% -0.411%
VaR 99% -0.074% -0.129% -0.223% -0.758% -0.427%
CVaR 95% -0.039% -0.064% -0.116% -0.379% -0.419%
Skew 4.39 4.57 3.98 3.19 2.54
Excess kurtosis 19.31 20.59 16.06 8.91 5.45
Best day 0.58% 1.26% 2.32% 7.81% 4.26%
Worst day -0.07% -0.13% -0.22% -0.76% -0.43%
Positive days 17 17 17 16 17
Negative days 13 13 13 14 13
Round trips 47 48 47 13 1
Winning / losing trades 47 / 0 48 / 0 47 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 1.57 1.60 1.57 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.1510 0.3113 0.7541 12.6446 126.4230
Average win 0.1510 0.3113 0.7541 12.6446 126.4230
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.1510 0.3113 0.7541 12.6446 126.4230
Max win streak 47 48 47 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 22.00% 22.79% 100.00% 26.67% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.16 0.13
Realised P&L 7.10 14.94 35.44 164.38 126.42
Unrealised P&L 0.14 0.00 0.44 0.04 1.64
Fees paid 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.60 0.34
Fee drag 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1007.23 1014.94 1035.88 1164.38 1127.81

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.70% 1.49% 3.59% 16.60% 13.55%
CAGR 8.84% 19.70% 53.66% 547.77% 369.36%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.16% -20.37% -18.27% -5.26% -8.31%
Volatility (ann.) 1.08% 2.11% 4.26% 16.04% 14.51%
Sharpe 7.87 8.53 10.11 11.73 10.73
Sortino 9.58 10.18 12.26 13.69 11.37
Calmar 44.84 57.82 90.87 274.10 149.71
Omega 1.15 1.17 1.19 1.22 1.15
Max drawdown 0.20% 0.34% 0.59% 2.00% 2.47%
Ulcer index 0.0006 0.0009 0.0015 0.0050 0.0053
Drawdown episodes 28 34 42 58 83
Longest underwater (days) 23.4 23.2 22.6 22.0 8.2
Recovery factor 3.54 4.37 6.09 8.30 5.49
VaR 95% -0.004% -0.006% -0.011% -0.108% -0.413%
VaR 99% -0.075% -0.129% -0.224% -0.762% -0.422%
CVaR 95% -0.039% -0.068% -0.117% -0.435% -0.417%
Skew 4.28 4.49 3.74 3.09 2.42
Excess kurtosis 18.32 19.79 14.06 8.15 4.93
Best day 0.57% 1.28% 2.25% 7.57% 4.27%
Worst day -0.07% -0.13% -0.22% -0.76% -0.42%
Positive days 15 14 15 15 17
Negative days 14 15 14 14 12
Round trips 47 48 47 13 1
Winning / losing trades 47 / 0 48 / 0 47 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 1.57 1.60 1.57 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.1453 0.3101 0.7538 12.7635 133.6096
Average win 0.1453 0.3101 0.7538 12.7635 133.6096
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.1453 0.3101 0.7538 12.7635 133.6096
Max win streak 47 48 47 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 22.21% 23.76% 100.00% 26.70% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.17 0.13
Realised P&L 6.83 14.89 35.43 165.93 133.61
Unrealised P&L 0.15 0.00 0.51 0.04 1.86
Fees paid 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.60 0.34
Fee drag 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1006.98 1014.89 1035.93 1165.93 1135.22

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.78% 2.00% 3.86% 17.57% 13.78%
CAGR 9.86% 27.22% 58.60% 616.74% 381.03%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.05% -19.83% -17.97% -4.26% -8.05%
Volatility (ann.) 1.16% 2.51% 4.80% 16.85% 16.71%
Sharpe 8.09 9.59 9.63 11.78 9.48
Sortino 10.61 12.78 12.27 15.23 10.26
Calmar 50.78 81.03 100.64 312.61 161.47
Omega 1.19 1.25 1.22 1.29 1.14
Max drawdown 0.19% 0.34% 0.58% 1.97% 2.36%
Ulcer index 0.0005 0.0009 0.0014 0.0048 0.0068
Drawdown episodes 40 33 37 45 57
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 22.6 22.3 21.8 8.2
Recovery factor 4.00 5.95 6.64 8.91 5.84
VaR 95% -0.019% -0.033% -0.057% -0.000% -0.437%
VaR 99% -0.073% -0.126% -0.218% -0.742% -0.567%
CVaR 95% -0.046% -0.079% -0.137% -0.371% -0.502%
Skew 4.47 3.89 3.52 3.15 2.28
Excess kurtosis 19.89 15.34 12.10 8.54 4.42
Best day 0.65% 1.30% 2.25% 7.58% 4.25%
Worst day -0.07% -0.13% -0.22% -0.74% -0.57%
Positive days 16 16 16 17 17
Negative days 14 14 14 13 13
Round trips 47 48 47 13 1
Winning / losing trades 47 / 0 48 / 0 47 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 1.57 1.60 1.57 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.1585 0.4163 0.8010 13.5134 134.3186
Average win 0.1585 0.4163 0.8010 13.5134 134.3186
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.1585 0.4163 0.8010 13.5134 134.3186
Max win streak 47 48 47 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 100.00% 24.75% 100.00% 27.49% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.18 0.13
Realised P&L 7.45 19.98 37.64 175.67 134.32
Unrealised P&L 0.31 0.00 0.99 0.04 3.45
Fees paid 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.61 0.34
Fee drag 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1007.76 1019.98 1038.63 1175.67 1137.52

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard PASS

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.72% 1.49% 3.59% 16.44% 12.81%
CAGR 9.17% 19.78% 53.56% 537.32% 333.37%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.16% -20.39% -18.29% -5.44% -9.07%
Volatility (ann.) 1.25% 2.38% 4.77% 17.69% 14.70%
Sharpe 7.00 7.58 9.01 10.56 10.05
Sortino 8.64 9.11 10.73 12.08 10.29
Calmar 45.20 56.39 88.15 271.25 134.86
Omega 1.09 1.11 1.11 1.12 1.09
Max drawdown 0.20% 0.35% 0.61% 1.98% 2.47%
Ulcer index 0.0008 0.0009 0.0015 0.0049 0.0054
Drawdown episodes 42 46 88 87 110
Longest underwater (days) 23.4 23.2 8.2 22.0 18.4
Recovery factor 3.57 4.26 5.91 8.30 5.18
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.000% -0.009% -0.000% -0.411%
VaR 99% -0.074% -0.129% -0.223% -0.758% -0.427%
CVaR 95% -0.039% -0.064% -0.116% -0.379% -0.419%
Skew 4.39 4.57 3.98 3.19 2.54
Excess kurtosis 19.31 20.59 16.06 8.91 5.45
Best day 0.58% 1.26% 2.32% 7.81% 4.26%
Worst day -0.07% -0.13% -0.22% -0.76% -0.43%
Positive days 17 17 17 16 17
Negative days 13 13 13 14 13
Round trips 47 48 47 13 1
Winning / losing trades 47 / 0 48 / 0 47 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 1.57 1.60 1.57 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.1510 0.3113 0.7541 12.6446 126.4230
Average win 0.1510 0.3113 0.7541 12.6446 126.4230
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.1510 0.3113 0.7541 12.6446 126.4230
Max win streak 47 48 47 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 22.00% 22.79% 100.00% 26.67% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.16 0.13
Realised P&L 7.10 14.94 35.44 164.38 126.42
Unrealised P&L 0.14 0.00 0.44 0.04 1.64
Fees paid 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.60 0.34
Fee drag 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1007.23 1014.94 1035.88 1164.38 1127.81

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.70% 1.49% 3.59% 16.60% 13.55%
CAGR 8.84% 19.70% 53.66% 547.77% 369.36%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.16% -20.37% -18.27% -5.26% -8.31%
Volatility (ann.) 1.08% 2.11% 4.26% 16.04% 14.51%
Sharpe 7.87 8.53 10.11 11.73 10.73
Sortino 9.58 10.18 12.26 13.69 11.37
Calmar 44.84 57.82 90.87 274.10 149.71
Omega 1.15 1.17 1.19 1.22 1.15
Max drawdown 0.20% 0.34% 0.59% 2.00% 2.47%
Ulcer index 0.0006 0.0009 0.0015 0.0050 0.0053
Drawdown episodes 28 34 42 58 83
Longest underwater (days) 23.4 23.2 22.6 22.0 8.2
Recovery factor 3.54 4.37 6.09 8.30 5.49
VaR 95% -0.004% -0.006% -0.011% -0.108% -0.413%
VaR 99% -0.075% -0.129% -0.224% -0.762% -0.422%
CVaR 95% -0.039% -0.068% -0.117% -0.435% -0.417%
Skew 4.28 4.49 3.74 3.09 2.42
Excess kurtosis 18.32 19.79 14.06 8.15 4.93
Best day 0.57% 1.28% 2.25% 7.57% 4.27%
Worst day -0.07% -0.13% -0.22% -0.76% -0.42%
Positive days 15 14 15 15 17
Negative days 14 15 14 14 12
Round trips 47 48 47 13 1
Winning / losing trades 47 / 0 48 / 0 47 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 1.57 1.60 1.57 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.1453 0.3101 0.7538 12.7635 133.6096
Average win 0.1453 0.3101 0.7538 12.7635 133.6096
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.1453 0.3101 0.7538 12.7635 133.6096
Max win streak 47 48 47 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 22.21% 23.76% 100.00% 26.70% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.17 0.13
Realised P&L 6.83 14.89 35.43 165.93 133.61
Unrealised P&L 0.15 0.00 0.51 0.04 1.86
Fees paid 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.60 0.34
Fee drag 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1006.98 1014.89 1035.93 1165.93 1135.22

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.78% 2.00% 3.86% 17.57% 13.78%
CAGR 9.86% 27.22% 58.60% 616.74% 381.03%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.05% -19.83% -17.97% -4.26% -8.05%
Volatility (ann.) 1.16% 2.51% 4.80% 16.85% 16.71%
Sharpe 8.09 9.59 9.63 11.78 9.48
Sortino 10.61 12.78 12.27 15.23 10.26
Calmar 50.78 81.03 100.64 312.61 161.47
Omega 1.19 1.25 1.22 1.29 1.14
Max drawdown 0.19% 0.34% 0.58% 1.97% 2.36%
Ulcer index 0.0005 0.0009 0.0014 0.0048 0.0068
Drawdown episodes 40 33 37 45 57
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 22.6 22.3 21.8 8.2
Recovery factor 4.00 5.95 6.64 8.91 5.84
VaR 95% -0.019% -0.033% -0.057% -0.000% -0.437%
VaR 99% -0.073% -0.126% -0.218% -0.742% -0.567%
CVaR 95% -0.046% -0.079% -0.137% -0.371% -0.502%
Skew 4.47 3.89 3.52 3.15 2.28
Excess kurtosis 19.89 15.34 12.10 8.54 4.42
Best day 0.65% 1.30% 2.25% 7.58% 4.25%
Worst day -0.07% -0.13% -0.22% -0.74% -0.57%
Positive days 16 16 16 17 17
Negative days 14 14 14 13 13
Round trips 47 48 47 13 1
Winning / losing trades 47 / 0 48 / 0 47 / 0 13 / 0 1 / 0
Trades per day 1.57 1.60 1.57 0.43 0.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.1585 0.4163 0.8010 13.5134 134.3186
Average win 0.1585 0.4163 0.8010 13.5134 134.3186
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.1585 0.4163 0.8010 13.5134 134.3186
Max win streak 47 48 47 13 1
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 100.00% 24.75% 100.00% 27.49% 100.00%
Turnover 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.18 0.13
Realised P&L 7.45 19.98 37.64 175.67 134.32
Unrealised P&L 0.31 0.00 0.99 0.04 3.45
Fees paid 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.61 0.34
Fee drag 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.06% 0.03%
Final equity 1007.76 1019.98 1038.63 1175.67 1137.52

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.