← Heikin_Ashi_Trend

Heikin_Ashi_Trend — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: FAIL · 1 failDirectionalgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -36.40% -56.55% -84.61% -96.25% -97.17%
CAGR -99.59% -100.00% -100.00% -100.00% -100.00%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -58.28% -78.43% -106.49% -118.14% -119.06%
Volatility (ann.) 3.72% 7.34% 17.04% 25.93% 28.55%
Sharpe -147.91 -138.19 -133.55 -153.97 -151.82
Sortino -135.70 -133.78 -134.24 -149.41 -148.98
Calmar -2.74 -1.77 -1.18 -1.04 -1.03
Omega 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.40
Max drawdown 36.40% 56.55% 84.61% 96.25% 97.17%
Ulcer index 0.2162 0.3517 0.5840 0.7368 0.7565
Drawdown episodes 1 1 1 1 1
Longest underwater (days) 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
Recovery factor -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00
VaR 95% -1.742% -3.133% -7.017% -11.972% -13.141%
VaR 99% -1.789% -3.237% -7.332% -12.482% -13.466%
CVaR 95% -1.765% -3.185% -7.175% -12.227% -13.304%
Skew 2.46 2.47 1.78 1.14 1.04
Excess kurtosis 7.98 7.99 4.02 1.06 0.85
Best day -0.46% -0.92% -2.59% -5.34% -5.60%
Worst day -1.79% -3.24% -7.33% -12.48% -13.47%
Positive days 0 0 0 0 0
Negative days 30 30 30 30 30
Round trips 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000
Winning / losing trades 271 / 4,729 243 / 4,757 210 / 4,790 368 / 4,632 373 / 4,627
Trades per day 166.67 166.67 166.67 166.67 166.67
Win rate 5.42% 4.86% 4.20% 7.36% 7.46%
Profit factor 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.14
Payoff ratio 1.84 2.03 2.61 1.70 1.68
Expectancy -0.0728 -0.1131 -0.1692 -0.1925 -0.1943
Average win 0.1582 0.2693 0.5215 0.4071 0.4073
Average loss 0.0860 0.1326 0.1995 0.2401 0.2428
Average trade -0.0728 -0.1131 -0.1692 -0.1925 -0.1943
Max win streak 3 3 3 4 4
Max loss streak 370 432 249 139 139
Time in market 47.73% 48.97% 49.53% 49.70% 49.72%
Turnover 0.45 0.70 1.07 1.26 1.28
Realised P&L -364.00 -565.50 -846.05 -962.53 -971.73
Unrealised P&L -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01
Fees paid 235.53 362.33 538.24 611.10 614.26
Fee drag 23.55% 36.23% 53.82% 61.11% 61.43%
Final equity 635.99 434.48 153.92 37.46 28.27

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -13.97% -23.85% -44.90% -67.10% -70.37%
CAGR -83.97% -96.37% -99.93% -100.00% -100.00%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -35.83% -45.71% -66.76% -88.96% -92.23%
Volatility (ann.) 3.61% 6.96% 15.41% 23.20% 25.57%
Sharpe -50.64 -47.60 -46.99 -58.17 -57.75
Sortino -51.89 -51.09 -51.33 -60.99 -60.86
Calmar -6.01 -4.04 -2.23 -1.49 -1.42
Omega 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.55 0.55
Max drawdown 13.97% 23.85% 44.90% 67.10% 70.37%
Ulcer index 0.0784 0.1354 0.2675 0.4257 0.4517
Drawdown episodes 1 1 1 1 1
Longest underwater (days) 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
Recovery factor -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00
VaR 95% -0.743% -1.382% -2.878% -5.206% -5.954%
VaR 99% -0.770% -1.385% -2.990% -5.541% -6.299%
CVaR 95% -0.756% -1.384% -2.934% -5.374% -6.127%
Skew 2.30 2.58 2.25 1.48 1.37
Excess kurtosis 6.02 7.51 4.97 1.70 1.55
Best day 0.44% 0.98% 1.84% 0.48% 0.51%
Worst day -0.77% -1.39% -2.99% -5.54% -6.30%
Positive days 1 1 2 1 1
Negative days 28 28 27 28 28
Round trips 1,761 1,761 1,761 1,761 1,761
Winning / losing trades 193 / 1,568 176 / 1,585 118 / 1,643 177 / 1,584 180 / 1,581
Trades per day 58.70 58.70 58.70 58.70 58.70
Win rate 10.96% 9.99% 6.70% 10.05% 10.22%
Profit factor 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28
Payoff ratio 1.96 2.14 3.58 2.44 2.43
Expectancy -0.0793 -0.1354 -0.2550 -0.3811 -0.3997
Average win 0.2298 0.4222 1.3176 1.4242 1.4913
Average loss 0.1174 0.1974 0.3680 0.5828 0.6150
Average trade -0.0793 -0.1354 -0.2550 -0.3811 -0.3997
Max win streak 5 5 3 2 2
Max loss streak 124 126 66 66 66
Time in market 48.38% 49.64% 49.97% 50.07% 50.07%
Turnover 0.23 0.39 0.76 1.18 1.24
Realised P&L -139.71 -238.52 -449.10 -671.08 -703.81
Unrealised P&L 0.04 0.07 0.13 0.25 0.25
Fees paid 92.31 157.27 297.29 430.94 450.20
Fee drag 9.23% 15.73% 29.73% 43.10% 45.03%
Final equity 860.29 761.48 550.90 328.92 296.19

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -8.88% -15.21% -31.17% -49.59% -53.32%
CAGR -67.75% -86.56% -98.94% -99.98% -99.99%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -30.71% -37.04% -53.00% -71.42% -75.15%
Volatility (ann.) 3.51% 6.92% 15.29% 23.51% 26.01%
Sharpe -32.20 -28.95 -29.65 -35.33 -35.50
Sortino -36.79 -34.05 -33.24 -39.34 -39.38
Calmar -7.63 -5.69 -3.17 -2.02 -1.88
Omega 0.62 0.63 0.62 0.61 0.61
Max drawdown 8.88% 15.21% 31.17% 49.59% 53.32%
Ulcer index 0.0481 0.0831 0.1745 0.2918 0.3155
Drawdown episodes 1 1 1 1 1
Longest underwater (days) 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
Recovery factor -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00
VaR 95% -0.540% -0.963% -1.923% -3.545% -3.814%
VaR 99% -0.555% -0.966% -2.181% -4.296% -5.026%
CVaR 95% -0.547% -0.964% -2.052% -3.921% -4.420%
Skew 1.83 2.49 2.32 1.64 1.51
Excess kurtosis 3.43 6.90 5.56 2.46 2.03
Best day 0.37% 1.05% 1.87% 2.00% 1.99%
Worst day -0.56% -0.97% -2.18% -4.30% -5.03%
Positive days 2 2 2 2 3
Negative days 28 28 28 28 27
Round trips 1,089 1,089 1,089 1,089 1,089
Winning / losing trades 133 / 956 123 / 966 82 / 1,007 118 / 971 122 / 967
Trades per day 36.30 36.30 36.30 36.30 36.30
Win rate 12.21% 11.29% 7.53% 10.84% 11.20%
Profit factor 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.33 0.33
Payoff ratio 2.15 2.34 3.56 2.72 2.64
Expectancy -0.0816 -0.1397 -0.2863 -0.4555 -0.4897
Average win 0.2852 0.5241 1.5552 2.0735 2.1841
Average loss 0.1326 0.2242 0.4363 0.7628 0.8270
Average trade -0.0816 -0.1397 -0.2863 -0.4555 -0.4897
Max win streak 4 4 3 3 4
Max loss streak 60 64 81 46 46
Time in market 48.86% 49.87% 50.45% 50.60% 50.61%
Turnover 0.16 0.28 0.57 0.99 1.07
Realised P&L -88.85 -152.12 -311.82 -496.00 -533.28
Unrealised P&L 0.04 0.07 0.12 0.25 0.25
Fees paid 57.50 99.16 199.79 321.29 339.81
Fee drag 5.75% 9.92% 19.98% 32.14% 33.99%
Final equity 911.15 847.88 688.18 504.00 466.72

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard FAIL · 1 fail

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.11% 2.23% 6.47% 9.51% 10.72%
CAGR 14.39% 30.81% 114.43% 201.98% 245.31%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -20.77% -19.65% -15.41% -12.37% -11.16%
Volatility (ann.) 4.40% 8.67% 21.75% 32.76% 35.78%
Sharpe 3.07 3.14 3.62 3.54 3.64
Sortino 3.07 3.15 3.62 3.50 3.61
Calmar 17.01 18.82 33.72 33.19 37.13
Omega 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02
Max drawdown 0.85% 1.64% 3.39% 6.09% 6.61%
Ulcer index 0.0034 0.0066 0.0150 0.0233 0.0250
Drawdown episodes 52 40 48 58 62
Longest underwater (days) 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.6 9.6
Recovery factor 1.31 1.36 1.91 1.56 1.62
VaR 95% -0.237% -0.500% -0.905% -1.523% -1.653%
VaR 99% -0.301% -0.517% -1.505% -1.818% -1.818%
CVaR 95% -0.269% -0.509% -1.205% -1.670% -1.735%
Skew 1.98 2.01 1.23 1.22 1.31
Excess kurtosis 5.70 5.71 1.30 1.09 1.36
Best day 0.99% 1.93% 3.29% 4.99% 5.35%
Worst day -0.30% -0.52% -1.51% -1.82% -1.82%
Positive days 16 16 16 16 16
Negative days 14 14 14 14 14
Round trips 63 57 46 57 60
Winning / losing trades 63 / 0 57 / 0 46 / 0 57 / 0 60 / 0
Trades per day 2.10 1.90 1.53 1.90 2.00
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.2825 0.6251 2.0346 2.6502 2.8161
Average win 0.2825 0.6251 2.0346 2.6502 2.8161
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.2825 0.6251 2.0346 2.6502 2.8161
Max win streak 63 57 46 57 60
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.31% 99.44% 99.54% 99.45% 99.40%
Turnover 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.15 0.17
Realised P&L 17.80 35.63 93.59 151.06 168.97
Unrealised P&L -6.68 -13.31 -28.89 -55.97 -61.74
Fees paid 5.39 9.95 22.07 34.10 39.31
Fee drag 0.54% 1.00% 2.21% 3.41% 3.93%
Final equity 1011.11 1022.32 1064.70 1095.09 1107.23

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.41% 2.63% 4.83% 10.01% 14.12%
CAGR 18.55% 37.22% 77.53% 219.32% 398.62%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -20.45% -19.23% -17.03% -11.85% -7.74%
Volatility (ann.) 4.52% 8.91% 22.25% 34.89% 34.46%
Sharpe 3.79 3.60 2.69 3.50 4.83
Sortino 3.84 3.63 2.66 3.50 4.93
Calmar 21.67 19.62 13.42 35.76 65.93
Omega 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.04
Max drawdown 0.86% 1.90% 5.78% 6.13% 6.05%
Ulcer index 0.0041 0.0098 0.0259 0.0291 0.0267
Drawdown episodes 27 25 34 45 46
Longest underwater (days) 21.7 21.7 21.7 9.6 9.6
Recovery factor 1.65 1.39 0.84 1.63 2.33
VaR 95% -0.259% -0.506% -1.281% -1.958% -2.129%
VaR 99% -0.424% -0.827% -1.698% -3.139% -3.407%
CVaR 95% -0.341% -0.667% -1.490% -2.549% -2.768%
Skew 1.42 1.76 1.68 1.01 1.06
Excess kurtosis 2.92 4.62 4.23 0.99 1.23
Best day 0.94% 2.05% 4.61% 5.83% 6.29%
Worst day -0.42% -0.83% -1.70% -3.14% -3.41%
Positive days 15 16 15 15 15
Negative days 14 13 14 14 14
Round trips 43 43 34 35 35
Winning / losing trades 43 / 0 43 / 0 34 / 0 35 / 0 35 / 0
Trades per day 1.43 1.43 1.13 1.17 1.17
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.4835 0.9243 2.7331 4.4732 4.9269
Average win 0.4835 0.9243 2.7331 4.4732 4.9269
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.4835 0.9243 2.7331 4.4732 4.9269
Max win streak 43 43 34 35 35
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 99.07% 99.00% 99.20% 99.24% 99.22%
Turnover 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.16 0.17
Realised P&L 20.79 39.75 92.92 156.56 172.44
Unrealised P&L -6.71 -13.40 -44.63 -56.47 -31.31
Fees paid 3.38 6.79 14.90 21.23 23.05
Fee drag 0.34% 0.68% 1.49% 2.12% 2.31%
Final equity 1014.04 1026.27 1048.17 1099.84 1140.87

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 1.62% 2.48% 5.23% 9.24% 10.93%
CAGR 21.59% 34.79% 85.86% 192.94% 253.08%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -20.21% -19.34% -16.60% -12.59% -10.90%
Volatility (ann.) 4.17% 8.74% 23.65% 33.37% 36.54%
Sharpe 4.71 3.46 2.74 3.39 3.64
Sortino 5.18 3.71 2.81 3.48 3.76
Calmar 28.24 20.73 15.84 30.82 37.29
Omega 1.05 1.04 1.03 1.04 1.04
Max drawdown 0.76% 1.68% 5.42% 6.26% 6.79%
Ulcer index 0.0034 0.0079 0.0256 0.0288 0.0312
Drawdown episodes 29 21 22 29 31
Longest underwater (days) 9.7 21.7 21.7 9.7 9.7
Recovery factor 2.12 1.48 0.96 1.48 1.61
VaR 95% -0.252% -0.494% -1.544% -1.908% -2.075%
VaR 99% -0.433% -0.845% -2.605% -3.204% -3.477%
CVaR 95% -0.343% -0.669% -2.074% -2.556% -2.776%
Skew 1.53 1.90 1.20 1.15 1.22
Excess kurtosis 3.15 5.01 2.20 1.45 1.70
Best day 0.92% 2.06% 4.17% 5.26% 6.03%
Worst day -0.43% -0.85% -2.60% -3.20% -3.48%
Positive days 16 16 17 17 17
Negative days 14 14 13 13 13
Round trips 30 29 22 30 31
Winning / losing trades 30 / 0 29 / 0 22 / 0 30 / 0 31 / 0
Trades per day 1.00 0.97 0.73 1.00 1.03
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.6943 1.3364 4.4497 4.9681 5.5524
Average win 0.6943 1.3364 4.4497 4.9681 5.5524
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.6943 1.3364 4.4497 4.9681 5.5524
Max win streak 30 29 22 30 31
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 98.90% 99.02% 99.33% 99.10% 99.04%
Turnover 0.02 0.04 0.10 0.15 0.17
Realised P&L 20.83 38.76 97.89 149.04 172.13
Unrealised P&L -4.63 -13.91 -45.63 -56.71 -62.90
Fees paid 2.48 4.82 11.04 17.90 20.21
Fee drag 0.25% 0.48% 1.10% 1.79% 2.02%
Final equity 1016.15 1024.77 1052.13 1092.08 1108.98

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.