← QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_ADX

QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_ADX — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: PASSQuantGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -0.02% -0.37% -2.54% -5.42% -7.65%
CAGR -0.29% -4.45% -26.84% -49.21% -62.01%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.91% -22.26% -24.42% -27.30% -29.53%
Volatility (ann.) 0.46% 1.69% 6.60% 15.55% 27.36%
Sharpe -0.63 -2.68 -4.70 -4.28 -3.40
Sortino -0.49 -2.43 -4.28 -4.10 -3.29
Calmar -2.48 -9.24 -9.48 -7.96 -7.13
Omega 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98
Max drawdown 0.12% 0.48% 2.83% 6.18% 8.70%
Ulcer index 0.0002 0.0019 0.0131 0.0334 0.0432
Drawdown episodes 36 28 2 2 2
Longest underwater (days) 9.7 20.8 30.0 30.0 30.0
Recovery factor -0.20 -0.78 -0.90 -0.88 -0.88
VaR 95% -0.027% -0.126% -0.603% -1.384% -2.133%
VaR 99% -0.045% -0.165% -0.611% -2.248% -3.450%
CVaR 95% -0.036% -0.146% -0.607% -1.816% -2.791%
Skew 1.15 -0.61 -0.54 0.29 0.14
Excess kurtosis 5.77 0.01 -0.24 3.55 2.29
Best day 0.06% 0.09% 0.34% 2.19% 3.36%
Worst day -0.04% -0.17% -0.61% -2.25% -3.45%
Positive days 13 14 11 9 11
Negative days 17 16 19 21 19
Round trips 144 365 1,148 1,949 2,231
Winning / losing trades 65 / 79 138 / 227 351 / 797 573 / 1,376 813 / 1,418
Trades per day 4.80 12.17 38.27 64.97 74.37
Win rate 45.14% 37.81% 30.57% 29.40% 36.44%
Profit factor 0.92 0.89 0.50 0.51 0.79
Payoff ratio 1.12 1.47 1.15 1.22 1.38
Expectancy -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0164 -0.0264 -0.0120
Average win 0.0112 0.0285 0.0548 0.0933 0.1238
Average loss 0.0100 0.0194 0.0478 0.0763 0.0899
Average trade -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0164 -0.0264 -0.0120
Max win streak 11 8 13 21 34
Max loss streak 12 22 66 93 65
Time in market 30.53% 80.44% 87.58% 93.11% 96.80%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.16 0.23
Realised P&L -0.06 -0.47 -18.86 -51.55 -26.85
Unrealised P&L -0.17 -3.26 -6.50 -2.61 -49.62
Fees paid 1.31 4.62 20.75 49.27 80.62
Fee drag 0.13% 0.46% 2.07% 4.93% 8.06%
Final equity 999.76 996.26 974.62 945.82 923.50

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.02% -0.25% -0.64% -1.43% -2.74%
CAGR 0.24% -3.02% -7.48% -16.12% -28.71%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.84% -22.11% -22.50% -23.29% -24.60%
Volatility (ann.) 0.19% 1.53% 3.83% 10.16% 20.73%
Sharpe 1.23 -2.00 -2.01 -1.68 -1.53
Sortino 0.81 -1.77 -1.88 -1.64 -1.53
Calmar 6.39 -7.59 -8.67 -6.73 -5.86
Omega 1.02 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99
Max drawdown 0.04% 0.40% 0.86% 2.40% 4.90%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0012 0.0030 0.0093 0.0183
Drawdown episodes 77 72 30 2 3
Longest underwater (days) 11.4 14.6 14.8 21.5 21.5
Recovery factor 0.52 -0.63 -0.74 -0.60 -0.56
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.091% -0.211% -0.973% -2.053%
VaR 99% -0.027% -0.107% -0.271% -1.405% -2.925%
CVaR 95% -0.015% -0.099% -0.241% -1.189% -2.489%
Skew -0.33 -0.03 0.02 0.53 0.71
Excess kurtosis 8.82 -0.31 -0.08 3.96 4.82
Best day 0.03% 0.09% 0.28% 1.66% 3.66%
Worst day -0.03% -0.11% -0.27% -1.41% -2.93%
Positive days 13 12 13 12 13
Negative days 11 17 16 17 16
Round trips 39 146 488 869 1,308
Winning / losing trades 24 / 15 62 / 84 192 / 296 313 / 556 493 / 815
Trades per day 1.30 4.87 16.27 28.97 43.60
Win rate 61.54% 42.47% 39.34% 36.02% 37.69%
Profit factor 2.52 1.22 0.71 0.68 0.72
Payoff ratio 1.57 1.65 1.10 1.21 1.19
Expectancy 0.0050 0.0043 -0.0113 -0.0153 -0.0195
Average win 0.0136 0.0567 0.0712 0.0903 0.1333
Average loss 0.0086 0.0343 0.0648 0.0747 0.1119
Average trade 0.0050 0.0043 -0.0113 -0.0153 -0.0195
Max win streak 6 6 9 12 21
Max loss streak 5 10 32 49 37
Time in market 13.32% 79.63% 86.76% 89.59% 93.49%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.07 0.16
Realised P&L 0.20 0.63 -5.52 -13.28 -25.47
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -3.15 -0.85 -1.06 -1.96
Fees paid 0.35 1.86 8.83 22.04 47.37
Fee drag 0.04% 0.19% 0.88% 2.20% 4.74%
Final equity 1000.20 997.48 993.61 985.63 972.54

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.04% -0.07% -0.23% -0.84% -1.73%
CAGR 0.48% -0.83% -2.75% -9.79% -19.17%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.79% -21.90% -22.06% -22.67% -23.56%
Volatility (ann.) 0.17% 1.20% 3.14% 8.70% 16.93%
Sharpe 2.77 -0.69 -0.87 -1.14 -1.17
Sortino 2.76 -0.63 -0.84 -1.14 -1.19
Calmar 15.14 -2.42 -3.59 -5.51 -5.41
Omega 1.07 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99
Max drawdown 0.03% 0.34% 0.77% 1.78% 3.54%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0009 0.0021 0.0068 0.0132
Drawdown episodes 102 46 76 27 37
Longest underwater (days) 6.6 8.1 7.6 8.5 8.5
Recovery factor 1.24 -0.20 -0.30 -0.47 -0.49
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.068% -0.146% -0.772% -1.367%
VaR 99% -0.021% -0.082% -0.195% -1.104% -2.008%
CVaR 95% -0.012% -0.075% -0.170% -0.938% -1.688%
Skew 1.03 -0.08 -0.30 0.60 0.51
Excess kurtosis 8.49 -0.36 -1.06 4.33 3.44
Best day 0.03% 0.08% 0.13% 1.37% 2.46%
Worst day -0.02% -0.08% -0.19% -1.10% -2.01%
Positive days 18 16 15 13 14
Negative days 11 14 15 17 16
Round trips 29 97 348 578 824
Winning / losing trades 20 / 9 50 / 47 157 / 191 234 / 344 338 / 486
Trades per day 0.97 3.23 11.60 19.27 27.47
Win rate 68.97% 51.55% 45.11% 40.48% 41.02%
Profit factor 7.70 1.38 1.21 0.84 0.87
Payoff ratio 3.46 1.29 1.47 1.23 1.24
Expectancy 0.0136 0.0097 0.0058 -0.0090 -0.0148
Average win 0.0226 0.0692 0.0736 0.1142 0.2309
Average loss 0.0065 0.0535 0.0499 0.0929 0.1856
Average trade 0.0136 0.0097 0.0058 -0.0090 -0.0148
Max win streak 7 7 11 14 16
Max loss streak 5 5 13 40 29
Time in market 11.48% 73.85% 83.38% 85.12% 91.18%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.17
Realised P&L 0.39 0.94 2.01 -5.22 -12.17
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -1.63 -4.30 -3.21 -5.18
Fees paid 0.26 1.24 6.34 14.72 29.96
Fee drag 0.03% 0.12% 0.63% 1.47% 3.00%
Final equity 1000.39 999.31 997.70 991.55 982.63

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard PASS

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.00% -0.01% -0.16% 0.02% 1.19%
CAGR 0.04% -0.12% -1.87% 0.27% 15.43%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.88% -21.89% -22.04% -21.86% -20.70%
Volatility (ann.) 0.54% 1.87% 8.01% 18.62% 28.72%
Sharpe 0.08 -0.06 -0.20 0.11 0.64
Sortino 0.06 -0.05 -0.18 0.10 0.61
Calmar 0.34 -0.31 -1.00 0.06 2.57
Omega 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.13% 0.40% 1.86% 4.36% 6.01%
Ulcer index 0.0003 0.0014 0.0063 0.0164 0.0236
Drawdown episodes 169 264 176 210 172
Longest underwater (days) 5.4 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.2
Recovery factor 0.03 -0.03 -0.08 0.01 0.20
VaR 95% -0.030% -0.128% -0.635% -1.484% -2.078%
VaR 99% -0.044% -0.134% -0.651% -2.224% -3.347%
CVaR 95% -0.037% -0.131% -0.643% -1.854% -2.712%
Skew -1.49 -0.14 -0.19 0.03 0.05
Excess kurtosis 2.34 -0.13 -0.14 1.67 1.33
Best day 0.02% 0.15% 0.71% 2.53% 3.73%
Worst day -0.04% -0.13% -0.65% -2.22% -3.35%
Positive days 21 19 18 18 18
Negative days 9 11 12 12 12
Round trips 115 194 477 706 876
Winning / losing trades 115 / 0 194 / 0 477 / 0 706 / 0 876 / 0
Trades per day 3.83 6.47 15.90 23.53 29.20
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0082 0.0163 0.0294 0.0523 0.0732
Average win 0.0082 0.0163 0.0294 0.0523 0.0732
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0082 0.0163 0.0294 0.0523 0.0732
Max win streak 115 194 477 706 876
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 33.16% 86.87% 89.73% 93.34% 93.18%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.06
Realised P&L 0.95 3.16 14.03 36.89 64.10
Unrealised P&L -0.91 -3.27 -15.59 -36.67 -52.24
Fees paid 1.06 2.49 9.06 19.16 36.59
Fee drag 0.11% 0.25% 0.91% 1.92% 3.66%
Final equity 1000.04 999.90 998.43 1000.20 1011.83

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.04% -0.04% 0.09% 0.18% 0.25%
CAGR 0.54% -0.51% 1.10% 2.25% 3.13%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.82% -21.90% -21.77% -21.68% -21.61%
Volatility (ann.) 0.20% 1.67% 5.52% 15.59% 26.20%
Sharpe 2.66 -0.30 0.23 0.22 0.25
Sortino 1.80 -0.27 0.21 0.21 0.24
Calmar 15.00 -1.36 0.89 0.69 0.58
Omega 1.05 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.04% 0.38% 1.23% 3.27% 5.42%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0012 0.0037 0.0119 0.0201
Drawdown episodes 101 129 167 136 134
Longest underwater (days) 3.5 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.4
Recovery factor 1.23 -0.11 0.07 0.06 0.05
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.095% -0.331% -1.482% -2.083%
VaR 99% -0.025% -0.107% -0.346% -2.006% -2.972%
CVaR 95% -0.014% -0.101% -0.338% -1.744% -2.528%
Skew -0.18 0.10 0.01 0.53 0.31
Excess kurtosis 8.06 -0.32 0.01 3.51 2.24
Best day 0.03% 0.13% 0.46% 2.65% 3.74%
Worst day -0.02% -0.11% -0.35% -2.01% -2.97%
Positive days 19 16 18 18 18
Negative days 5 13 11 11 11
Round trips 38 86 284 335 475
Winning / losing trades 38 / 0 86 / 0 284 / 0 335 / 0 475 / 0
Trades per day 1.27 2.87 9.47 11.17 15.83
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0116 0.0317 0.0401 0.0725 0.1005
Average win 0.0116 0.0317 0.0401 0.0725 0.1005
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0116 0.0317 0.0401 0.0725 0.1005
Max win streak 38 86 284 335 475
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 14.33% 81.35% 86.15% 88.46% 88.23%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05
Realised P&L 0.44 2.73 11.37 24.29 47.75
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -3.15 -10.47 -22.46 -45.22
Fees paid 0.34 1.22 5.50 9.74 19.44
Fee drag 0.03% 0.12% 0.55% 0.97% 1.94%
Final equity 1000.44 999.58 1000.89 1001.81 1002.50

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.04% 0.04% 0.38% 0.90% 2.22%
CAGR 0.52% 0.46% 4.67% 11.51% 30.66%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.79% -21.79% -21.45% -20.93% -19.61%
Volatility (ann.) 0.20% 1.41% 4.04% 11.34% 22.61%
Sharpe 2.53 0.33 1.15 1.02 1.30
Sortino 2.29 0.30 1.07 0.99 1.30
Calmar 16.30 1.37 6.01 5.09 6.79
Omega 1.06 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01
Max drawdown 0.03% 0.34% 0.78% 2.26% 4.52%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0009 0.0020 0.0073 0.0144
Drawdown episodes 123 121 110 104 99
Longest underwater (days) 2.4 8.1 5.0 6.7 6.7
Recovery factor 1.34 0.11 0.48 0.40 0.49
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.068% -0.233% -1.017% -2.040%
VaR 99% -0.021% -0.082% -0.264% -1.398% -2.793%
CVaR 95% -0.012% -0.075% -0.249% -1.207% -2.416%
Skew 0.98 -0.11 -0.08 0.63 0.76
Excess kurtosis 8.26 -0.48 -0.02 4.30 4.54
Best day 0.03% 0.08% 0.34% 1.95% 4.09%
Worst day -0.02% -0.08% -0.26% -1.40% -2.79%
Positive days 18 18 19 19 20
Negative days 8 12 11 11 10
Round trips 25 73 166 253 342
Winning / losing trades 25 / 0 73 / 0 166 / 0 253 / 0 342 / 0
Trades per day 0.83 2.43 5.53 8.43 11.40
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0169 0.0421 0.0587 0.0866 0.1385
Average win 0.0169 0.0421 0.0587 0.0866 0.1385
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0169 0.0421 0.0587 0.0866 0.1385
Max win streak 25 73 166 253 342
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 14.22% 74.11% 81.95% 85.78% 86.89%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.05
Realised P&L 0.42 3.08 9.74 21.90 47.36
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -2.70 -5.98 -12.91 -25.13
Fees paid 0.23 0.97 3.50 7.08 14.83
Fee drag 0.02% 0.10% 0.35% 0.71% 1.48%
Final equity 1000.42 1000.37 1003.74 1008.97 1022.20

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.