← QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_ADX_Mart

QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_ADX_Mart — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: WARN · 1 warnQuantGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -0.02% -0.34% -8.71% -4.39% -2.74%
CAGR -0.19% -4.08% -66.99% -42.12% -28.67%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.90% -22.22% -30.59% -26.28% -24.62%
Volatility (ann.) 0.40% 1.57% 21.53% 16.53% 21.28%
Sharpe -0.48 -2.64 -5.04 -3.22 -1.48
Sortino -0.38 -2.41 -4.56 -3.09 -1.42
Calmar -1.91 -9.20 -6.87 -8.49 -6.25
Omega 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.99 0.99
Max drawdown 0.10% 0.44% 9.75% 4.96% 4.59%
Ulcer index 0.0002 0.0017 0.0438 0.0253 0.0199
Drawdown episodes 40 28 2 1 60
Longest underwater (days) 9.7 20.8 30.0 30.0 18.0
Recovery factor -0.16 -0.77 -0.89 -0.89 -0.60
VaR 95% -0.022% -0.116% -1.693% -1.294% -1.548%
VaR 99% -0.037% -0.151% -1.964% -1.929% -2.303%
CVaR 95% -0.029% -0.134% -1.828% -1.612% -1.926%
Skew 1.22 -0.58 -0.72 0.01 -0.15
Excess kurtosis 5.74 -0.05 -0.24 1.22 0.61
Best day 0.05% 0.09% 0.80% 1.75% 2.05%
Worst day -0.04% -0.15% -1.96% -1.93% -2.30%
Positive days 14 14 10 13 15
Negative days 16 16 20 17 15
Round trips 144 365 1,101 662 410
Winning / losing trades 61 / 83 132 / 233 385 / 716 246 / 416 173 / 237
Trades per day 4.80 12.17 36.70 22.07 13.67
Win rate 42.36% 36.16% 34.97% 37.16% 42.20%
Profit factor 0.99 0.90 0.56 0.68 1.22
Payoff ratio 1.34 1.59 1.04 1.16 1.68
Expectancy -0.0001 -0.0011 -0.0343 -0.0245 0.0166
Average win 0.0105 0.0283 0.1238 0.1424 0.2142
Average loss 0.0078 0.0178 0.1194 0.1232 0.1277
Average trade -0.0001 -0.0011 -0.0343 -0.0245 0.0166
Max win streak 9 8 8 9 11
Max loss streak 12 22 59 25 21
Time in market 30.53% 80.44% 87.58% 94.27% 97.69%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.09 0.07
Realised P&L -0.01 -0.40 -37.81 -16.24 6.80
Unrealised P&L -0.15 -3.01 -49.27 -27.71 -34.18
Fees paid 1.15 4.29 52.51 58.36 46.34
Fee drag 0.11% 0.43% 5.25% 5.84% 4.63%
Final equity 999.84 996.59 912.91 956.03 972.58

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.02% -0.23% -1.45% -3.96% -1.44%
CAGR 0.24% -2.73% -16.31% -38.83% -16.16%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.84% -22.09% -23.31% -25.82% -23.30%
Volatility (ann.) 0.19% 1.42% 6.68% 27.84% 19.65%
Sharpe 1.26 -1.94 -2.63 -1.63 -0.80
Sortino 0.88 -1.71 -2.47 -1.55 -0.79
Calmar 6.52 -7.44 -10.04 -6.27 -4.15
Omega 1.02 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99
Max drawdown 0.04% 0.37% 1.62% 6.19% 3.89%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0011 0.0062 0.0239 0.0160
Drawdown episodes 78 74 1 15 45
Longest underwater (days) 11.4 14.6 30.0 8.4 8.4
Recovery factor 0.54 -0.62 -0.89 -0.64 -0.37
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.088% -0.353% -2.112% -1.318%
VaR 99% -0.027% -0.099% -0.433% -3.197% -2.131%
CVaR 95% -0.015% -0.093% -0.393% -2.654% -1.725%
Skew -0.31 -0.01 0.22 0.18 0.06
Excess kurtosis 8.78 -0.32 0.02 1.29 0.94
Best day 0.03% 0.09% 0.47% 3.39% 2.25%
Worst day -0.03% -0.10% -0.43% -3.20% -2.13%
Positive days 13 12 13 14 15
Negative days 12 17 16 15 14
Round trips 39 146 488 396 321
Winning / losing trades 24 / 15 62 / 84 217 / 271 210 / 186 163 / 158
Trades per day 1.30 4.87 16.27 13.20 10.70
Win rate 61.54% 42.47% 44.47% 53.03% 50.78%
Profit factor 2.71 1.23 0.65 1.37 1.84
Payoff ratio 1.70 1.67 0.81 1.22 1.78
Expectancy 0.0051 0.0044 -0.0276 0.0295 0.0585
Average win 0.0131 0.0541 0.1151 0.2050 0.2526
Average loss 0.0077 0.0324 0.1419 0.1685 0.1417
Average trade 0.0051 0.0044 -0.0276 0.0295 0.0585
Max win streak 6 6 9 11 15
Max loss streak 5 10 21 12 11
Time in market 13.32% 79.63% 86.76% 91.06% 95.39%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.07 0.06
Realised P&L 0.20 0.64 -13.47 11.70 18.78
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -2.91 -1.05 -51.29 -33.17
Fees paid 0.33 1.72 19.81 38.00 38.08
Fee drag 0.03% 0.17% 1.98% 3.80% 3.81%
Final equity 1000.20 997.73 985.46 960.39 985.58

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.04% -0.06% -0.75% -2.32% -0.93%
CAGR 0.48% -0.76% -8.70% -24.83% -10.73%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.79% -21.89% -22.57% -24.15% -22.76%
Volatility (ann.) 0.17% 1.13% 5.75% 24.67% 18.61%
Sharpe 2.82 -0.67 -1.55 -1.03 -0.52
Sortino 2.82 -0.62 -1.45 -1.04 -0.51
Calmar 15.21 -2.40 -6.19 -4.78 -2.72
Omega 1.08 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99
Max drawdown 0.03% 0.32% 1.41% 5.19% 3.95%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0009 0.0036 0.0190 0.0154
Drawdown episodes 101 73 46 24 59
Longest underwater (days) 6.6 8.1 8.1 8.5 8.5
Recovery factor 1.25 -0.20 -0.53 -0.45 -0.23
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.065% -0.239% -2.063% -1.289%
VaR 99% -0.021% -0.075% -0.354% -2.941% -2.095%
CVaR 95% -0.012% -0.070% -0.296% -2.502% -1.692%
Skew 1.04 -0.12 -0.50 0.29 0.07
Excess kurtosis 8.58 -0.53 -0.56 2.82 1.33
Best day 0.03% 0.07% 0.21% 3.35% 2.20%
Worst day -0.02% -0.08% -0.35% -2.94% -2.10%
Positive days 18 16 15 14 17
Negative days 11 14 15 16 13
Round trips 29 97 347 343 212
Winning / losing trades 20 / 9 50 / 47 174 / 173 179 / 164 131 / 81
Trades per day 0.97 3.23 11.57 11.43 7.07
Win rate 68.97% 51.55% 50.14% 52.19% 61.79%
Profit factor 8.85 1.41 1.07 0.86 2.15
Payoff ratio 3.98 1.33 1.06 0.79 1.33
Expectancy 0.0136 0.0099 0.0033 -0.0263 0.1108
Average win 0.0223 0.0655 0.1050 0.3029 0.3347
Average loss 0.0056 0.0493 0.0990 0.3856 0.2512
Average trade 0.0136 0.0099 0.0033 -0.0263 0.1108
Max win streak 7 7 11 10 11
Max loss streak 5 5 9 8 5
Time in market 11.48% 73.85% 83.38% 88.01% 91.74%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.06
Realised P&L 0.40 0.96 1.14 -9.02 23.50
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -1.59 -8.59 -14.17 -32.78
Fees paid 0.24 1.14 12.02 43.65 27.86
Fee drag 0.02% 0.11% 1.20% 4.37% 2.79%
Final equity 1000.40 999.36 992.53 976.79 990.69

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard WARN · 1 warn

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.01% -0.01% -0.92% 1.98% 0.14%
CAGR 0.13% -0.16% -10.63% 26.97% 1.73%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.87% -21.89% -22.80% -19.90% -21.74%
Volatility (ann.) 0.46% 1.73% 23.51% 29.45% 20.69%
Sharpe 0.28 -0.08 -0.36 0.96 0.19
Sortino 0.20 -0.08 -0.33 0.91 0.18
Calmar 1.23 -0.43 -1.84 4.48 0.44
Omega 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.10% 0.37% 5.78% 6.02% 3.93%
Ulcer index 0.0002 0.0013 0.0181 0.0243 0.0163
Drawdown episodes 176 239 255 235 141
Longest underwater (days) 5.4 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.10 -0.04 -0.16 0.33 0.04
VaR 95% -0.025% -0.118% -1.525% -2.024% -1.344%
VaR 99% -0.037% -0.124% -2.320% -3.409% -2.190%
CVaR 95% -0.031% -0.121% -1.923% -2.717% -1.767%
Skew -1.48 -0.12 -0.54 -0.00 0.09
Excess kurtosis 2.33 -0.11 -0.09 1.23 0.80
Best day 0.02% 0.14% 1.48% 3.82% 2.39%
Worst day -0.04% -0.12% -2.32% -3.41% -2.19%
Positive days 22 19 18 18 16
Negative days 8 11 12 12 14
Round trips 115 190 571 458 197
Winning / losing trades 115 / 0 190 / 0 571 / 0 458 / 0 197 / 0
Trades per day 3.83 6.33 19.03 15.27 6.57
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0074 0.0152 0.0706 0.1592 0.1768
Average win 0.0074 0.0152 0.0706 0.1592 0.1768
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0074 0.0152 0.0706 0.1592 0.1768
Max win streak 115 190 571 458 197
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 33.17% 86.88% 89.32% 93.95% 95.65%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.03
Realised P&L 0.86 2.88 40.33 72.93 34.83
Unrealised P&L -0.75 -3.01 -49.52 -53.11 -33.41
Fees paid 0.94 2.30 23.76 57.60 23.74
Fee drag 0.09% 0.23% 2.38% 5.76% 2.37%
Final equity 1000.10 999.87 990.79 1019.80 1001.38

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.04% -0.02% 1.38% 0.45% 0.80%
CAGR 0.49% -0.19% 18.17% 5.64% 10.19%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.82% -21.88% -20.48% -21.41% -21.06%
Volatility (ann.) 0.20% 1.55% 10.52% 28.69% 19.10%
Sharpe 2.48 -0.12 1.64 0.33 0.60
Sortino 1.77 -0.11 1.56 0.32 0.58
Calmar 13.69 -0.56 11.76 0.95 2.74
Omega 1.05 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.04% 0.35% 1.55% 5.93% 3.72%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0011 0.0043 0.0230 0.0150
Drawdown episodes 107 129 177 94 70
Longest underwater (days) 3.5 8.0 5.1 8.4 8.2
Recovery factor 1.12 -0.05 0.89 0.08 0.22
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.091% -0.495% -2.021% -1.261%
VaR 99% -0.025% -0.099% -0.648% -3.061% -2.039%
CVaR 95% -0.014% -0.095% -0.572% -2.541% -1.650%
Skew -0.21 0.16 0.05 -0.12 -0.08
Excess kurtosis 8.48 -0.14 -0.06 0.55 0.62
Best day 0.03% 0.13% 0.85% 3.24% 2.19%
Worst day -0.02% -0.10% -0.65% -3.06% -2.04%
Positive days 19 16 19 18 18
Negative days 6 13 10 11 11
Round trips 38 88 310 270 198
Winning / losing trades 38 / 0 88 / 0 310 / 0 270 / 0 198 / 0
Trades per day 1.27 2.93 10.33 9.00 6.60
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0105 0.0312 0.0831 0.2066 0.2040
Average win 0.0105 0.0312 0.0831 0.2066 0.2040
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0105 0.0312 0.0831 0.2066 0.2040
Max win streak 38 88 310 270 198
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 14.33% 81.42% 87.28% 91.15% 89.53%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.04
Realised P&L 0.40 2.75 25.77 55.79 40.40
Unrealised P&L 0.00 -2.91 -11.96 -51.26 -32.40
Fees paid 0.32 1.14 11.69 29.03 22.84
Fee drag 0.03% 0.11% 1.17% 2.90% 2.28%
Final equity 1000.40 999.84 1013.80 1004.50 1007.97

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.04% 0.04% 0.47% 1.47% 1.53%
CAGR 0.53% 0.44% 5.90% 19.44% 20.22%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.79% -21.79% -21.36% -20.36% -20.30%
Volatility (ann.) 0.20% 1.32% 7.52% 26.37% 18.16%
Sharpe 2.63 0.34 0.80 0.81 1.10
Sortino 2.38 0.30 0.73 0.79 1.09
Calmar 16.70 1.40 3.70 4.31 5.38
Omega 1.06 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01
Max drawdown 0.03% 0.31% 1.59% 4.51% 3.76%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0009 0.0036 0.0161 0.0145
Drawdown episodes 123 121 130 94 100
Longest underwater (days) 2.4 8.1 5.1 6.5 8.5
Recovery factor 1.37 0.11 0.30 0.33 0.41
VaR 95% -0.003% -0.062% -0.409% -1.992% -1.220%
VaR 99% -0.021% -0.075% -0.495% -2.843% -1.982%
CVaR 95% -0.012% -0.069% -0.452% -2.418% -1.601%
Skew 0.97 -0.09 -0.26 0.27 -0.06
Excess kurtosis 8.20 -0.51 0.04 2.64 0.56
Best day 0.03% 0.08% 0.53% 3.64% 2.06%
Worst day -0.02% -0.08% -0.50% -2.84% -1.98%
Positive days 18 19 21 20 19
Negative days 8 11 9 10 11
Round trips 25 73 245 186 137
Winning / losing trades 25 / 0 73 / 0 245 / 0 186 / 0 137 / 0
Trades per day 0.83 2.43 8.17 6.20 4.57
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0174 0.0393 0.0725 0.2537 0.3434
Average win 0.0174 0.0393 0.0725 0.2537 0.3434
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0174 0.0393 0.0725 0.2537 0.3434
Max win streak 25 73 245 186 137
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 14.23% 74.11% 79.81% 86.51% 87.06%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.05
Realised P&L 0.43 2.87 17.76 47.18 47.05
Unrealised P&L -0.00 -2.51 -13.04 -32.47 -31.80
Fees paid 0.22 0.90 8.83 21.33 17.90
Fee drag 0.02% 0.09% 0.88% 2.13% 1.79%
Final equity 1000.43 1000.35 1004.71 1014.69 1015.22

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.