← QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_CHOP

QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_CHOP — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: PASSQuantGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.00% -0.21% -2.39% -5.60% -7.71%
CAGR 0.01% -2.57% -25.47% -50.38% -62.35%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.88% -22.10% -24.27% -27.48% -29.60%
Volatility (ann.) 0.83% 1.89% 7.68% 15.83% 27.35%
Sharpe 0.02 -1.37 -3.79 -4.35 -3.43
Sortino 0.02 -1.30 -3.56 -4.17 -3.31
Calmar 0.07 -6.35 -9.50 -7.92 -7.12
Omega 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98
Max drawdown 0.19% 0.40% 2.68% 6.36% 8.76%
Ulcer index 0.0007 0.0016 0.0140 0.0346 0.0436
Drawdown episodes 199 95 2 2 2
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 30.0 30.0 30.0
Recovery factor 0.01 -0.53 -0.89 -0.88 -0.88
VaR 95% -0.064% -0.133% -0.643% -1.385% -2.132%
VaR 99% -0.098% -0.229% -1.045% -2.246% -3.466%
CVaR 95% -0.081% -0.181% -0.844% -1.815% -2.799%
Skew 0.18 -0.07 0.19 0.29 0.12
Excess kurtosis 1.97 1.87 2.89 3.50 2.28
Best day 0.11% 0.22% 1.01% 2.18% 3.35%
Worst day -0.10% -0.23% -1.05% -2.25% -3.47%
Positive days 16 16 12 10 11
Negative days 14 14 18 20 19
Round trips 186 402 1,195 2,130 2,227
Winning / losing trades 112 / 74 193 / 209 405 / 790 670 / 1,460 815 / 1,412
Trades per day 6.20 13.40 39.83 71.00 74.23
Win rate 60.22% 48.01% 33.89% 31.46% 36.60%
Profit factor 2.55 1.24 0.55 0.55 0.79
Payoff ratio 1.69 1.35 1.06 1.20 1.36
Expectancy 0.0081 0.0029 -0.0168 -0.0256 -0.0124
Average win 0.0221 0.0311 0.0597 0.1004 0.1242
Average loss 0.0131 0.0231 0.0560 0.0834 0.0912
Average trade 0.0081 0.0029 -0.0168 -0.0256 -0.0124
Max win streak 13 7 15 22 34
Max loss streak 8 10 45 54 65
Time in market 81.25% 92.37% 92.91% 93.17% 96.48%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.19 0.23
Realised P&L 1.51 1.18 -20.10 -54.50 -27.56
Unrealised P&L -1.49 -3.32 -3.76 -1.46 -49.58
Fees paid 1.68 5.09 21.60 53.84 80.48
Fee drag 0.17% 0.51% 2.16% 5.38% 8.05%
Final equity 1000.01 997.86 976.12 944.01 922.83

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.09% -0.09% -0.63% -1.67% -2.78%
CAGR 1.09% -1.14% -7.35% -18.55% -29.00%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.77% -21.95% -22.49% -23.53% -24.64%
Volatility (ann.) 0.79% 1.86% 5.37% 10.33% 20.77%
Sharpe 1.38 -0.61 -1.39 -1.93 -1.55
Sortino 1.33 -0.58 -1.34 -1.89 -1.55
Calmar 7.92 -2.93 -6.19 -7.28 -5.91
Omega 1.01 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.99
Max drawdown 0.14% 0.39% 1.19% 2.55% 4.91%
Ulcer index 0.0004 0.0015 0.0044 0.0102 0.0183
Drawdown episodes 127 120 10 1 3
Longest underwater (days) 8.0 8.2 12.0 30.0 21.5
Recovery factor 0.65 -0.24 -0.53 -0.66 -0.57
VaR 95% -0.063% -0.131% -0.501% -0.989% -2.053%
VaR 99% -0.080% -0.193% -0.745% -1.471% -2.925%
CVaR 95% -0.071% -0.162% -0.623% -1.230% -2.489%
Skew 0.53 0.00 0.41 0.43 0.71
Excess kurtosis 2.84 0.69 3.74 3.87 4.79
Best day 0.11% 0.20% 0.85% 1.66% 3.66%
Worst day -0.08% -0.19% -0.75% -1.47% -2.93%
Positive days 17 16 13 12 13
Negative days 12 13 16 17 16
Round trips 86 190 616 1,019 1,316
Winning / losing trades 57 / 29 107 / 83 253 / 363 397 / 622 511 / 805
Trades per day 2.87 6.33 20.53 33.97 43.87
Win rate 66.28% 56.32% 41.07% 38.96% 38.83%
Profit factor 2.97 2.21 0.73 0.70 0.72
Payoff ratio 1.51 1.72 1.05 1.09 1.13
Expectancy 0.0143 0.0122 -0.0094 -0.0155 -0.0196
Average win 0.0325 0.0395 0.0634 0.0912 0.1302
Average loss 0.0216 0.0230 0.0602 0.0836 0.1147
Average trade 0.0143 0.0122 -0.0094 -0.0155 -0.0196
Max win streak 16 8 12 13 21
Max loss streak 6 11 23 32 35
Time in market 78.22% 88.15% 89.20% 89.62% 93.49%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.16
Realised P&L 1.23 2.32 -5.80 -15.80 -25.85
Unrealised P&L -0.34 -3.26 -0.45 -0.92 -1.91
Fees paid 0.78 2.41 11.16 25.83 47.66
Fee drag 0.08% 0.24% 1.12% 2.58% 4.77%
Final equity 1000.89 999.05 993.73 983.26 972.21

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.08% 0.04% -0.12% -1.03% -1.76%
CAGR 0.98% 0.45% -1.47% -11.82% -19.46%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.75% -21.79% -21.95% -22.86% -23.59%
Volatility (ann.) 0.79% 1.69% 4.36% 8.34% 16.95%
Sharpe 1.25 0.27 -0.32 -1.47 -1.19
Sortino 1.27 0.26 -0.31 -1.45 -1.21
Calmar 6.81 1.36 -1.73 -7.05 -5.51
Omega 1.01 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.99
Max drawdown 0.14% 0.33% 0.85% 1.68% 3.53%
Ulcer index 0.0005 0.0012 0.0031 0.0066 0.0132
Drawdown episodes 145 91 57 24 37
Longest underwater (days) 8.1 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5
Recovery factor 0.56 0.11 -0.14 -0.61 -0.50
VaR 95% -0.061% -0.127% -0.363% -0.729% -1.409%
VaR 99% -0.083% -0.198% -0.543% -1.034% -2.008%
CVaR 95% -0.072% -0.163% -0.453% -0.882% -1.709%
Skew 0.30 0.11 0.24 0.36 0.49
Excess kurtosis 1.69 1.80 3.35 3.67 3.40
Best day 0.11% 0.23% 0.63% 1.19% 2.46%
Worst day -0.08% -0.20% -0.54% -1.03% -2.01%
Positive days 19 18 16 13 15
Negative days 11 12 14 17 15
Round trips 53 139 398 666 840
Winning / losing trades 40 / 13 79 / 60 178 / 220 260 / 406 351 / 489
Trades per day 1.77 4.63 13.27 22.20 28.00
Win rate 75.47% 56.83% 44.72% 39.04% 41.79%
Profit factor 5.34 1.92 1.07 0.85 0.86
Payoff ratio 1.74 1.46 1.32 1.33 1.20
Expectancy 0.0263 0.0131 0.0029 -0.0101 -0.0148
Average win 0.0430 0.0478 0.1056 0.1487 0.2268
Average loss 0.0247 0.0327 0.0801 0.1117 0.1883
Average trade 0.0263 0.0131 0.0029 -0.0101 -0.0148
Max win streak 11 13 12 11 16
Max loss streak 4 9 20 32 29
Time in market 76.00% 84.15% 84.89% 85.22% 91.18%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.17
Realised P&L 1.40 1.82 1.17 -6.70 -12.45
Unrealised P&L -0.59 -1.45 -2.39 -3.58 -5.17
Fees paid 0.49 1.77 7.25 16.94 30.54
Fee drag 0.05% 0.18% 0.72% 1.69% 3.05%
Final equity 1000.80 1000.36 998.77 989.69 982.34

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard PASS

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.08% 0.10% 0.04% 0.34% 0.92%
CAGR 0.99% 1.23% 0.52% 4.23% 11.82%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.80% -21.78% -21.84% -21.54% -20.96%
Volatility (ann.) 0.86% 1.99% 8.30% 18.73% 28.52%
Sharpe 1.15 0.63 0.10 0.31 0.53
Sortino 1.09 0.59 0.10 0.30 0.51
Calmar 5.38 3.07 0.28 1.01 1.96
Omega 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.18% 0.40% 1.86% 4.20% 6.03%
Ulcer index 0.0007 0.0016 0.0072 0.0161 0.0237
Drawdown episodes 333 186 194 229 169
Longest underwater (days) 8.0 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.2
Recovery factor 0.44 0.25 0.02 0.08 0.15
VaR 95% -0.063% -0.132% -0.628% -1.478% -2.083%
VaR 99% -0.097% -0.228% -1.023% -2.343% -3.355%
CVaR 95% -0.080% -0.180% -0.825% -1.911% -2.719%
Skew 0.19 -0.08 -0.03 0.05 0.05
Excess kurtosis 1.91 1.12 1.59 1.89 1.38
Best day 0.12% 0.24% 1.10% 2.65% 3.74%
Worst day -0.10% -0.23% -1.02% -2.34% -3.35%
Positive days 18 18 18 18 18
Negative days 12 12 12 12 12
Round trips 139 228 487 708 805
Winning / losing trades 139 / 0 228 / 0 487 / 0 708 / 0 805 / 0
Trades per day 4.63 7.60 16.23 23.60 26.83
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0165 0.0190 0.0326 0.0544 0.0764
Average win 0.0165 0.0190 0.0326 0.0544 0.0764
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0165 0.0190 0.0326 0.0544 0.0764
Max win streak 139 228 487 708 805
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 83.09% 92.68% 93.24% 93.89% 93.83%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06
Realised P&L 2.30 4.33 15.90 38.54 61.47
Unrealised P&L -1.48 -3.32 -15.47 -35.14 -52.24
Fees paid 1.29 2.98 9.26 18.55 33.82
Fee drag 0.13% 0.30% 0.93% 1.86% 3.38%
Final equity 1000.81 1001.01 1000.41 1003.39 1009.20

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.07% 0.08% 0.10% 0.51% 0.24%
CAGR 0.84% 1.01% 1.18% 6.39% 2.99%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.79% -21.78% -21.76% -21.35% -21.62%
Volatility (ann.) 0.84% 1.88% 7.35% 15.54% 26.22%
Sharpe 1.00 0.54 0.20 0.48 0.24
Sortino 0.96 0.51 0.18 0.46 0.23
Calmar 6.11 2.61 0.81 1.93 0.55
Omega 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.14% 0.39% 1.46% 3.32% 5.42%
Ulcer index 0.0005 0.0015 0.0056 0.0119 0.0201
Drawdown episodes 143 159 140 152 134
Longest underwater (days) 6.5 8.2 8.4 8.4 8.4
Recovery factor 0.50 0.21 0.07 0.15 0.04
VaR 95% -0.063% -0.131% -0.622% -1.476% -2.084%
VaR 99% -0.080% -0.193% -0.884% -2.044% -2.972%
CVaR 95% -0.071% -0.162% -0.753% -1.760% -2.528%
Skew 0.47 -0.08 0.27 0.50 0.31
Excess kurtosis 2.42 0.32 2.38 3.66 2.24
Best day 0.12% 0.19% 1.07% 2.68% 3.74%
Worst day -0.08% -0.19% -0.88% -2.04% -2.97%
Positive days 18 17 18 18 18
Negative days 11 12 11 11 11
Round trips 62 148 291 378 475
Winning / losing trades 62 / 0 148 / 0 291 / 0 378 / 0 475 / 0
Trades per day 2.07 4.93 9.70 12.60 15.83
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0267 0.0276 0.0431 0.0732 0.1003
Average win 0.0267 0.0276 0.0431 0.0732 0.1003
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0267 0.0276 0.0431 0.0732 0.1003
Max win streak 62 148 291 378 475
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 78.27% 85.49% 87.12% 87.27% 88.23%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05
Realised P&L 1.66 4.08 12.55 27.67 47.64
Unrealised P&L -0.97 -3.25 -11.58 -22.57 -45.22
Fees paid 0.58 2.01 5.90 10.86 19.44
Fee drag 0.06% 0.20% 0.59% 1.09% 1.94%
Final equity 1000.69 1000.81 1000.95 1005.08 1002.40

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.08% 0.18% 0.68% 1.48% 2.25%
CAGR 0.92% 2.16% 8.56% 19.52% 31.12%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.75% -21.65% -21.15% -20.35% -19.58%
Volatility (ann.) 0.81% 1.74% 6.23% 12.90% 22.64%
Sharpe 1.14 1.24 1.35 1.45 1.31
Sortino 1.12 1.19 1.30 1.42 1.31
Calmar 6.85 6.98 6.24 6.94 6.89
Omega 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.01
Max drawdown 0.13% 0.31% 1.37% 2.81% 4.52%
Ulcer index 0.0005 0.0011 0.0042 0.0086 0.0146
Drawdown episodes 128 119 122 128 102
Longest underwater (days) 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7
Recovery factor 0.56 0.57 0.49 0.53 0.50
VaR 95% -0.061% -0.127% -0.607% -1.271% -2.040%
VaR 99% -0.083% -0.198% -0.850% -1.735% -2.792%
CVaR 95% -0.072% -0.163% -0.728% -1.503% -2.416%
Skew 0.28 0.06 0.54 0.80 0.76
Excess kurtosis 1.89 1.77 4.70 5.25 4.47
Best day 0.11% 0.23% 1.15% 2.53% 4.09%
Worst day -0.08% -0.20% -0.85% -1.73% -2.79%
Positive days 20 19 20 19 20
Negative days 10 11 10 11 10
Round trips 47 100 239 295 367
Winning / losing trades 47 / 0 100 / 0 239 / 0 295 / 0 367 / 0
Trades per day 1.57 3.33 7.97 9.83 12.23
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0376 0.0381 0.0534 0.0918 0.1314
Average win 0.0376 0.0381 0.0534 0.0918 0.1314
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0376 0.0381 0.0534 0.0918 0.1314
Max win streak 47 100 239 295 367
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 75.86% 84.03% 83.52% 86.15% 86.89%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05
Realised P&L 1.77 3.81 12.77 27.09 48.23
Unrealised P&L -1.01 -2.05 -6.00 -12.33 -25.72
Fees paid 0.45 1.29 4.74 7.89 16.13
Fee drag 0.05% 0.13% 0.47% 0.79% 1.61%
Final equity 1000.75 1001.75 1006.75 1014.74 1022.49

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.