← QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_Mart

QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_Mart — metrics

Unguarded: PASSGuarded: WARN · 1 warnQuantGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships PASS

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -0.03% -0.21% -8.89% -3.60% -2.76%
CAGR -0.40% -2.48% -67.78% -35.96% -28.83%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.91% -22.09% -30.77% -25.48% -24.64%
Volatility (ann.) 0.81% 1.88% 20.01% 16.78% 21.28%
Sharpe -0.50 -1.33 -5.56 -2.57 -1.49
Sortino -0.46 -1.24 -5.22 -2.47 -1.43
Calmar -2.53 -6.63 -7.01 -8.29 -6.24
Omega 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.99 0.99
Max drawdown 0.16% 0.37% 9.67% 4.34% 4.62%
Ulcer index 0.0007 0.0016 0.0591 0.0206 0.0200
Drawdown episodes 115 56 2 9 60
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 15.0 30.0 20.8 18.0
Recovery factor -0.21 -0.55 -0.92 -0.83 -0.60
VaR 95% -0.052% -0.122% -1.622% -1.288% -1.548%
VaR 99% -0.090% -0.211% -2.593% -1.917% -2.304%
CVaR 95% -0.071% -0.166% -2.107% -1.602% -1.926%
Skew 0.12 0.03 0.45 -0.11 -0.17
Excess kurtosis 0.91 0.97 2.63 0.94 0.59
Best day 0.09% 0.20% 2.54% 1.70% 2.04%
Worst day -0.09% -0.21% -2.59% -1.92% -2.30%
Positive days 15 15 9 14 15
Negative days 15 15 21 16 15
Round trips 174 312 1,210 598 412
Winning / losing trades 85 / 89 134 / 178 416 / 794 236 / 362 173 / 239
Trades per day 5.80 10.40 40.33 19.93 13.73
Win rate 48.85% 42.95% 34.38% 39.46% 41.99%
Profit factor 2.37 1.35 0.51 0.82 1.22
Payoff ratio 2.48 1.79 0.98 1.26 1.68
Expectancy 0.0056 0.0032 -0.0430 -0.0137 0.0161
Average win 0.0197 0.0285 0.1325 0.1567 0.2150
Average loss 0.0079 0.0159 0.1349 0.1248 0.1278
Average trade 0.0056 0.0032 -0.0430 -0.0137 0.0161
Max win streak 7 7 11 10 10
Max loss streak 14 23 57 20 21
Time in market 92.57% 92.71% 92.94% 96.88% 97.69%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.08 0.07
Realised P&L 0.97 0.99 -52.02 -8.20 6.64
Unrealised P&L -1.30 -3.05 -36.88 -27.76 -34.20
Fees paid 1.28 3.64 73.38 51.93 46.35
Fee drag 0.13% 0.36% 7.34% 5.19% 4.64%
Final equity 999.66 997.92 911.09 964.01 972.41

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return -0.01% -0.07% -2.40% -3.98% -1.44%
CAGR -0.07% -0.88% -25.62% -38.99% -16.16%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.87% -21.93% -24.26% -25.84% -23.30%
Volatility (ann.) 0.76% 1.73% 14.13% 28.12% 19.65%
Sharpe -0.09 -0.50 -2.02 -1.62 -0.80
Sortino -0.08 -0.47 -1.96 -1.55 -0.79
Calmar -0.47 -2.44 -5.75 -6.30 -4.15
Omega 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.99 0.99
Max drawdown 0.15% 0.36% 4.45% 6.19% 3.89%
Ulcer index 0.0006 0.0014 0.0187 0.0241 0.0160
Drawdown episodes 98 98 1 14 45
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 30.0 8.4 8.4
Recovery factor -0.04 -0.20 -0.54 -0.64 -0.37
VaR 95% -0.051% -0.120% -1.529% -2.108% -1.318%
VaR 99% -0.082% -0.193% -2.164% -3.262% -2.131%
CVaR 95% -0.067% -0.157% -1.847% -2.685% -1.725%
Skew 0.15 0.01 0.72 0.06 0.06
Excess kurtosis 0.68 0.86 5.31 1.18 0.94
Best day 0.09% 0.20% 2.65% 3.24% 2.25%
Worst day -0.08% -0.19% -2.16% -3.26% -2.13%
Positive days 14 16 13 15 15
Negative days 15 13 16 14 14
Round trips 96 209 648 411 321
Winning / losing trades 54 / 42 114 / 95 279 / 369 213 / 198 163 / 158
Trades per day 3.20 6.97 21.60 13.70 10.70
Win rate 56.25% 54.55% 43.06% 51.82% 50.78%
Profit factor 3.99 2.11 0.63 1.33 1.84
Payoff ratio 3.10 1.76 0.83 1.23 1.78
Expectancy 0.0124 0.0108 -0.0359 0.0278 0.0585
Average win 0.0295 0.0378 0.1390 0.2171 0.2526
Average loss 0.0095 0.0215 0.1681 0.1758 0.1417
Average trade 0.0124 0.0108 -0.0359 0.0278 0.0585
Max win streak 11 10 11 11 15
Max loss streak 6 13 21 12 11
Time in market 88.23% 88.97% 89.20% 90.20% 95.39%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.08 0.06
Realised P&L 1.19 2.26 -23.25 11.44 18.78
Unrealised P&L -1.25 -2.99 -0.78 -51.23 -33.17
Fees paid 0.70 2.42 35.85 40.40 38.08
Fee drag 0.07% 0.24% 3.59% 4.04% 3.81%
Final equity 999.93 999.26 975.95 960.18 985.58

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.04% 0.01% -0.58% -2.12% -0.93%
CAGR 0.47% 0.18% -6.80% -22.98% -10.73%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.79% -21.81% -22.41% -23.95% -22.76%
Volatility (ann.) 0.71% 1.58% 9.28% 22.06% 18.61%
Sharpe 0.66 0.12 -0.71 -1.07 -0.52
Sortino 0.63 0.12 -0.68 -1.07 -0.51
Calmar 3.68 0.56 -3.86 -4.49 -2.72
Omega 1.01 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99
Max drawdown 0.13% 0.32% 1.76% 5.12% 3.95%
Ulcer index 0.0005 0.0012 0.0060 0.0179 0.0154
Drawdown episodes 70 80 49 20 59
Longest underwater (days) 8.1 8.5 8.5 15.3 8.5
Recovery factor 0.30 0.05 -0.33 -0.42 -0.23
VaR 95% -0.050% -0.117% -0.772% -2.068% -1.289%
VaR 99% -0.081% -0.188% -1.039% -3.188% -2.095%
CVaR 95% -0.065% -0.153% -0.906% -2.628% -1.692%
Skew 0.19 0.10 0.66 0.23 0.07
Excess kurtosis 1.34 1.66 4.33 4.94 1.33
Best day 0.09% 0.21% 1.35% 3.48% 2.20%
Worst day -0.08% -0.19% -1.04% -3.19% -2.10%
Positive days 16 17 13 14 17
Negative days 14 13 17 16 13
Round trips 76 160 404 343 212
Winning / losing trades 46 / 30 86 / 74 192 / 212 180 / 163 131 / 81
Trades per day 2.53 5.33 13.47 11.43 7.07
Win rate 60.53% 53.75% 47.52% 52.48% 61.79%
Profit factor 3.40 1.64 0.98 0.92 2.15
Payoff ratio 2.22 1.41 1.08 0.83 1.33
Expectancy 0.0165 0.0094 -0.0025 -0.0132 0.1108
Average win 0.0386 0.0452 0.2184 0.2757 0.3347
Average loss 0.0174 0.0321 0.2026 0.3322 0.2512
Average trade 0.0165 0.0094 -0.0025 -0.0132 0.1108
Max win streak 17 19 12 8 11
Max loss streak 5 9 12 8 5
Time in market 84.30% 84.67% 84.89% 86.62% 91.74%
Turnover 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.10 0.06
Realised P&L 1.25 1.51 -1.03 -4.52 23.50
Unrealised P&L -0.87 -1.36 -4.74 -16.71 -32.78
Fees paid 0.55 1.85 19.42 41.12 27.86
Fee drag 0.06% 0.19% 1.94% 4.11% 2.79%
Final equity 1000.38 1000.14 994.22 978.75 990.69

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard WARN · 1 warn

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.02% 0.02% -0.92% 1.95% 0.12%
CAGR 0.27% 0.21% -10.68% 26.42% 1.47%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.86% -21.86% -22.81% -19.94% -21.76%
Volatility (ann.) 0.82% 1.92% 25.74% 30.23% 20.69%
Sharpe 0.33 0.12 -0.31 0.93 0.17
Sortino 0.30 0.11 -0.29 0.88 0.16
Calmar 1.67 0.57 -1.81 4.40 0.38
Omega 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.16% 0.37% 5.91% 6.01% 3.93%
Ulcer index 0.0007 0.0015 0.0227 0.0243 0.0163
Drawdown episodes 169 152 242 171 141
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.14 0.05 -0.16 0.32 0.03
VaR 95% -0.052% -0.122% -1.999% -2.025% -1.344%
VaR 99% -0.090% -0.210% -3.137% -3.410% -2.190%
CVaR 95% -0.071% -0.166% -2.568% -2.718% -1.767%
Skew 0.14 0.10 0.03 0.01 0.09
Excess kurtosis 0.91 0.94 1.50 1.19 0.80
Best day 0.10% 0.23% 3.41% 3.81% 2.38%
Worst day -0.09% -0.21% -3.14% -3.41% -2.19%
Positive days 15 15 17 18 16
Negative days 15 15 13 12 14
Round trips 129 193 550 468 197
Winning / losing trades 129 / 0 193 / 0 550 / 0 468 / 0 197 / 0
Trades per day 4.30 6.43 18.33 15.60 6.57
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0118 0.0167 0.0732 0.1550 0.1757
Average win 0.0118 0.0167 0.0732 0.1550 0.1757
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0118 0.0167 0.0732 0.1550 0.1757
Max win streak 129 193 550 468 197
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 92.94% 93.27% 92.89% 93.44% 95.65%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.03
Realised P&L 1.52 3.23 40.24 72.55 34.62
Unrealised P&L -1.30 -3.05 -49.47 -53.10 -33.41
Fees paid 1.02 2.37 25.28 52.38 23.77
Fee drag 0.10% 0.24% 2.53% 5.24% 2.38%
Final equity 1000.21 1000.16 990.75 1019.43 1001.17

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.04% 0.12% 3.78% 0.58% 0.80%
CAGR 0.51% 1.50% 56.97% 7.29% 10.19%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.82% -21.74% -18.08% -21.28% -21.06%
Volatility (ann.) 0.77% 1.76% 19.41% 28.68% 19.10%
Sharpe 0.66 0.86 2.42 0.39 0.60
Sortino 0.61 0.80 2.33 0.36 0.58
Calmar 3.33 4.19 13.05 1.24 2.74
Omega 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.15% 0.36% 4.37% 5.88% 3.72%
Ulcer index 0.0006 0.0014 0.0123 0.0231 0.0150
Drawdown episodes 92 147 159 91 70
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 6.5 8.4 8.2
Recovery factor 0.27 0.34 0.86 0.10 0.22
VaR 95% -0.051% -0.120% -1.986% -2.017% -1.261%
VaR 99% -0.082% -0.193% -2.667% -3.125% -2.039%
CVaR 95% -0.067% -0.156% -2.327% -2.571% -1.650%
Skew 0.07 -0.03 0.35 -0.13 -0.08
Excess kurtosis 0.44 0.57 4.53 0.59 0.62
Best day 0.09% 0.20% 3.48% 3.27% 2.19%
Worst day -0.08% -0.19% -2.67% -3.13% -2.04%
Positive days 17 18 21 18 18
Negative days 12 11 8 11 11
Round trips 67 157 367 279 198
Winning / losing trades 67 / 0 157 / 0 367 / 0 279 / 0 198 / 0
Trades per day 2.23 5.23 12.23 9.30 6.60
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0249 0.0269 0.1117 0.2043 0.2040
Average win 0.0249 0.0269 0.1117 0.2043 0.2040
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0249 0.0269 0.1117 0.2043 0.2040
Max win streak 67 157 367 279 198
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 88.67% 86.36% 86.31% 89.76% 89.53%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.04
Realised P&L 1.67 4.22 40.98 57.00 40.40
Unrealised P&L -1.25 -2.99 -3.23 -51.20 -32.40
Fees paid 0.53 1.93 17.72 29.98 22.84
Fee drag 0.05% 0.19% 1.77% 3.00% 2.28%
Final equity 1000.41 1001.22 1037.74 1005.78 1007.97

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.07% 0.15% 1.87% 1.60% 1.53%
CAGR 0.83% 1.82% 25.29% 21.31% 20.22%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.76% -21.68% -19.96% -20.23% -20.30%
Volatility (ann.) 0.72% 1.64% 17.74% 26.44% 18.16%
Sharpe 1.15 1.11 1.36 0.86 1.10
Sortino 1.09 1.08 1.32 0.85 1.09
Calmar 6.38 6.30 6.08 4.51 5.38
Omega 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.01
Max drawdown 0.13% 0.29% 4.16% 4.73% 3.76%
Ulcer index 0.0005 0.0011 0.0117 0.0169 0.0145
Drawdown episodes 93 122 133 89 100
Longest underwater (days) 8.1 6.5 6.7 6.5 8.5
Recovery factor 0.52 0.51 0.45 0.34 0.41
VaR 95% -0.050% -0.117% -1.945% -1.990% -1.220%
VaR 99% -0.080% -0.188% -2.519% -3.070% -1.982%
CVaR 95% -0.065% -0.153% -2.232% -2.530% -1.601%
Skew 0.17 0.08 0.99 0.32 -0.06
Excess kurtosis 1.23 1.75 6.54 3.12 0.56
Best day 0.09% 0.21% 3.81% 3.90% 2.06%
Worst day -0.08% -0.19% -2.52% -3.07% -1.98%
Positive days 18 19 18 20 19
Negative days 12 11 12 10 11
Round trips 59 98 252 194 137
Winning / losing trades 59 / 0 98 / 0 252 / 0 194 / 0 137 / 0
Trades per day 1.97 3.27 8.40 6.47 4.57
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0292 0.0350 0.1294 0.2499 0.3434
Average win 0.0292 0.0350 0.1294 0.2499 0.3434
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0292 0.0350 0.1294 0.2499 0.3434
Max win streak 59 98 252 194 137
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 84.41% 83.60% 83.31% 85.75% 87.06%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.05
Realised P&L 1.72 3.43 32.60 48.48 47.05
Unrealised P&L -1.04 -1.95 -13.89 -32.47 -31.80
Fees paid 0.46 1.30 10.44 21.82 17.90
Fee drag 0.05% 0.13% 1.04% 2.18% 1.79%
Final equity 1000.67 1001.47 1018.69 1015.99 1015.22

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.