← QGrid_DONCHIAN_PCT_ADX_Anti

QGrid_DONCHIAN_PCT_ADX_Anti — metrics

Unguarded: WARN · 7 warnGuarded: WARN · 7 warnQuantGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships WARN · 7 warn

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.06% 0.32%
CAGR 0.00% 0.00% 0.44% 0.78% 3.94%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.88% -21.88% -21.85% -21.82% -21.56%
Volatility (ann.) 0.00% 0.00% 0.36% 0.99% 1.93%
Sharpe 0.00 0.00 1.21 0.79 2.01
Sortino 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.61 1.67
Calmar 0.00 0.00 5.56 3.66 11.47
Omega 0.00 0.00 1.02 1.00 1.01
Max drawdown 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.21% 0.34%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0008 0.0013
Drawdown episodes 0 0 12 81 154
Longest underwater (days) 0.0 0.0 1.3 6.5 8.2
Recovery factor 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.30 0.93
VaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% -0.089% -0.126%
VaR 99% 0.000% 0.000% -0.017% -0.132% -0.204%
CVaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% -0.001% -0.110% -0.165%
Skew 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.80 0.32
Excess kurtosis 0.00 0.00 4.06 2.83 0.65
Best day 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.18% 0.23%
Worst day 0.00% 0.00% -0.02% -0.13% -0.20%
Positive days 0 0 3 8 14
Negative days 0 0 1 11 11
Round trips 0 0 2 8 31
Winning / losing trades 0 / 0 0 / 0 2 / 0 8 / 0 23 / 8
Trades per day 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.27 1.03
Win rate 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 100.00% 74.19%
Profit factor 0.00 0.00 ∞ ∞ 6.41
Payoff ratio 0.00 0.00 ∞ ∞ 2.23
Expectancy 0.0000 0.0000 0.1800 0.2702 0.1714
Average win 0.0000 0.0000 0.1800 0.2702 0.2738
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.1228
Average trade 0.0000 0.0000 0.1800 0.2702 0.1714
Max win streak 0 0 2 8 8
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 2
Time in market 0.00% 0.00% 9.91% 48.64% 68.25%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Realised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.36 2.16 5.31
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.52 -2.13
Fees paid 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.21 1.06
Fee drag 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.11%
Final equity 1000.00 1000.00 1000.36 1000.64 1003.18

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% 0.02% 0.38%
CAGR 0.00% 0.00% 0.61% 0.23% 4.71%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.86% -21.86% -21.81% -21.84% -21.48%
Volatility (ann.) 0.00% 0.00% 0.38% 1.29% 2.49%
Sharpe 0.00 0.00 1.62 0.18 1.86
Sortino 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.15 1.61
Calmar 0.00 0.00 10.04 0.96 9.60
Omega 0.00 0.00 1.04 1.00 1.02
Max drawdown 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.24% 0.49%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0009 0.0017
Drawdown episodes 0 0 16 30 90
Longest underwater (days) 0.0 0.0 14.4 8.0 8.2
Recovery factor 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.08 0.77
VaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% -0.087% -0.220%
VaR 99% 0.000% 0.000% -0.012% -0.129% -0.297%
CVaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% -0.001% -0.108% -0.259%
Skew 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.45 0.17
Excess kurtosis 0.00 0.00 1.01 2.05 2.51
Best day 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.17% 0.38%
Worst day 0.00% 0.00% -0.01% -0.13% -0.30%
Positive days 0 0 5 11 17
Negative days 0 0 1 11 11
Round trips 0 0 4 11 37
Winning / losing trades 0 / 0 0 / 0 4 / 0 8 / 3 27 / 10
Trades per day 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.37 1.23
Win rate 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 72.73% 72.97%
Profit factor 0.00 0.00 ∞ 2.37 2.89
Payoff ratio 0.00 0.00 ∞ 0.89 1.07
Expectancy 0.0000 0.0000 0.1684 0.1044 0.1311
Average win 0.0000 0.0000 0.1684 0.2488 0.2747
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.2804 0.2567
Average trade 0.0000 0.0000 0.1684 0.1044 0.1311
Max win streak 0 0 4 6 11
Max loss streak 0 0 0 2 6
Time in market 0.00% 0.00% 11.50% 58.85% 74.05%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Realised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.67 1.15 4.85
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 -0.17 -0.96 -1.06
Fees paid 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.28 1.23
Fee drag 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.03% 0.12%
Final equity 1000.00 1000.00 1000.50 1000.19 1003.79

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.11% 0.20%
CAGR 0.00% 0.00% 0.98% 1.33% 2.49%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.83% -21.83% -21.75% -21.72% -21.63%
Volatility (ann.) 0.00% 0.00% 0.33% 1.29% 2.51%
Sharpe 0.00 0.00 2.97 1.03 0.99
Sortino 0.00 0.00 2.65 0.85 0.92
Calmar 0.00 0.00 20.40 5.30 5.09
Omega 0.00 0.00 1.11 1.01 1.01
Max drawdown 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% 0.25% 0.49%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0009 0.0017
Drawdown episodes 0 0 31 54 68
Longest underwater (days) 0.0 0.0 8.2 8.1 8.1
Recovery factor 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.43 0.41
VaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% -0.011% -0.085% -0.215%
VaR 99% 0.000% 0.000% -0.019% -0.123% -0.306%
CVaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% -0.015% -0.104% -0.260%
Skew 0.00 0.00 1.85 0.50 0.51
Excess kurtosis 0.00 0.00 3.85 1.39 3.24
Best day 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.17% 0.41%
Worst day 0.00% 0.00% -0.02% -0.12% -0.31%
Positive days 0 0 11 14 15
Negative days 0 0 11 10 13
Round trips 0 0 4 14 29
Winning / losing trades 0 / 0 0 / 0 3 / 1 12 / 2 20 / 9
Trades per day 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.47 0.97
Win rate 0.00% 0.00% 75.00% 85.71% 68.97%
Profit factor 0.00 0.00 185.60 7.27 1.86
Payoff ratio 0.00 0.00 61.87 1.21 0.84
Expectancy 0.0000 0.0000 0.2493 0.2146 0.1049
Average win 0.0000 0.0000 0.3341 0.2903 0.3297
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0054 0.2395 0.3948
Average trade 0.0000 0.0000 0.2493 0.2146 0.1049
Max win streak 0 0 2 6 11
Max loss streak 0 0 1 1 4
Time in market 0.00% 0.00% 8.52% 62.61% 78.39%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Realised P&L 0.00 0.00 1.00 3.01 3.04
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 -0.19 -1.92 -1.02
Fees paid 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.36 0.96
Fee drag 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.04% 0.10%
Final equity 1000.00 1000.00 1000.80 1001.09 1002.02

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard WARN · 7 warn

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.06% 0.10%
CAGR 0.00% 0.00% 0.44% 0.78% 1.27%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.88% -21.88% -21.85% -21.82% -21.78%
Volatility (ann.) 0.00% 0.00% 0.36% 0.99% 2.40%
Sharpe 0.00 0.00 1.21 0.79 0.54
Sortino 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.61 0.45
Calmar 0.00 0.00 5.56 3.66 2.19
Omega 0.00 0.00 1.02 1.00 1.00
Max drawdown 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.21% 0.58%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0008 0.0018
Drawdown episodes 0 0 12 81 153
Longest underwater (days) 0.0 0.0 1.3 6.5 8.2
Recovery factor 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.30 0.18
VaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% -0.089% -0.155%
VaR 99% 0.000% 0.000% -0.017% -0.132% -0.204%
CVaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% -0.001% -0.110% -0.179%
Skew 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.80 0.14
Excess kurtosis 0.00 0.00 4.06 2.83 0.10
Best day 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.18% 0.23%
Worst day 0.00% 0.00% -0.02% -0.13% -0.20%
Positive days 0 0 3 8 14
Negative days 0 0 1 11 11
Round trips 0 0 2 8 24
Winning / losing trades 0 / 0 0 / 0 2 / 0 8 / 0 24 / 0
Trades per day 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.27 0.80
Win rate 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 0.00 0.00 ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 0.00 0.00 ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0000 0.0000 0.1800 0.2702 0.2357
Average win 0.0000 0.0000 0.1800 0.2702 0.2357
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0000 0.0000 0.1800 0.2702 0.2357
Max win streak 0 0 2 8 24
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 0.00% 0.00% 9.91% 48.64% 69.43%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Realised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.36 2.16 5.66
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.52 -4.62
Fees paid 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.21 0.88
Fee drag 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.09%
Final equity 1000.00 1000.00 1000.36 1000.64 1001.04

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% 0.02% 0.20%
CAGR 0.00% 0.00% 0.61% 0.22% 2.48%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.86% -21.86% -21.81% -21.84% -21.66%
Volatility (ann.) 0.00% 0.00% 0.38% 1.35% 3.52%
Sharpe 0.00 0.00 1.62 0.17 0.71
Sortino 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.14 0.63
Calmar 0.00 0.00 10.04 1.06 3.60
Omega 0.00 0.00 1.04 1.00 1.01
Max drawdown 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.21% 0.69%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0008 0.0022
Drawdown episodes 0 0 16 33 109
Longest underwater (days) 0.0 0.0 14.4 6.5 8.2
Recovery factor 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.09 0.29
VaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% 0.000% -0.087% -0.296%
VaR 99% 0.000% 0.000% -0.012% -0.129% -0.296%
CVaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% -0.001% -0.108% -0.296%
Skew 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.43 0.47
Excess kurtosis 0.00 0.00 1.01 2.02 1.95
Best day 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.17% 0.47%
Worst day 0.00% 0.00% -0.01% -0.13% -0.30%
Positive days 0 0 5 12 17
Negative days 0 0 1 10 11
Round trips 0 0 4 9 30
Winning / losing trades 0 / 0 0 / 0 4 / 0 9 / 0 30 / 0
Trades per day 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.30 1.00
Win rate 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 0.00 0.00 ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 0.00 0.00 ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0000 0.0000 0.1684 0.2016 0.2514
Average win 0.0000 0.0000 0.1684 0.2016 0.2514
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0000 0.0000 0.1684 0.2016 0.2514
Max win streak 0 0 4 9 30
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 0.00% 0.00% 11.50% 58.83% 74.05%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Realised P&L 0.00 0.00 0.67 1.81 7.54
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 -0.17 -1.64 -5.53
Fees paid 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.26 1.10
Fee drag 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.03% 0.11%
Final equity 1000.00 1000.00 1000.50 1000.18 1002.02

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.00% 0.00% 0.09% 0.15% 0.45%
CAGR 0.00% 0.00% 1.11% 1.80% 5.64%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.83% -21.83% -21.74% -21.68% -21.38%
Volatility (ann.) 0.00% 0.00% 0.39% 1.31% 3.21%
Sharpe 0.00 0.00 2.82 1.37 1.73
Sortino 0.00 0.00 2.06 1.13 1.62
Calmar 0.00 0.00 16.38 7.17 10.38
Omega 0.00 0.00 1.08 1.02 1.02
Max drawdown 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.25% 0.54%
Ulcer index 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0009 0.0016
Drawdown episodes 0 0 36 56 77
Longest underwater (days) 0.0 0.0 5.7 8.1 6.5
Recovery factor 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.58 0.83
VaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% -0.011% -0.085% -0.289%
VaR 99% 0.000% 0.000% -0.019% -0.123% -0.298%
CVaR 95% 0.000% 0.000% -0.015% -0.104% -0.293%
Skew 0.00 0.00 1.68 0.44 0.72
Excess kurtosis 0.00 0.00 3.14 1.34 3.04
Best day 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.17% 0.51%
Worst day 0.00% 0.00% -0.02% -0.12% -0.30%
Positive days 0 0 9 14 17
Negative days 0 0 8 10 11
Round trips 0 0 4 13 26
Winning / losing trades 0 / 0 0 / 0 4 / 0 13 / 0 26 / 0
Trades per day 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.43 0.87
Win rate 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 0.00 0.00 ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 0.00 0.00 ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.0000 0.0000 0.2755 0.2605 0.2412
Average win 0.0000 0.0000 0.2755 0.2605 0.2412
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.0000 0.0000 0.2755 0.2605 0.2412
Max win streak 0 0 4 13 26
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 0.00% 0.00% 12.71% 62.81% 78.39%
Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Realised P&L 0.00 0.00 1.10 3.39 6.27
Unrealised P&L 0.00 0.00 -0.19 -1.92 -1.75
Fees paid 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.34 0.88
Fee drag 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.03% 0.09%
Final equity 1000.00 1000.00 1000.91 1001.47 1004.52

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.