← QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_ADX_Anti

QGrid_DONCHIAN_ATR_ADX_Anti — metrics

Unguarded: WARN · 1 warnGuarded: WARN · 1 warnQuantGridgunbot-quant

BTCUSDT · 2026-08-13 01:50 → 2026-09-12 01:50 UTC (30 days) · 0.03% fee + 2 bps slippage · 1,000 quote, one figure for every cell

The same document for both runs of the same measurement — first as the strategy ships, then with the break-even guard. Everything else about the two runs is identical.

As it ships WARN · 1 warn

Exits: the strategy's own exits, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.10% 5.05% 9.78% 7.87% 8.81%
CAGR 1.26% 82.20% 211.17% 151.39% 179.25%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.78% -16.83% -12.10% -14.01% -13.07%
Volatility (ann.) 14.12% 24.30% 31.74% 23.00% 27.36%
Sharpe 0.16 2.59 3.73 4.12 3.89
Sortino 0.15 2.51 3.62 4.00 3.78
Calmar 0.41 17.99 37.65 37.26 36.95
Omega 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02
Max drawdown 3.07% 4.57% 5.61% 4.06% 4.85%
Ulcer index 0.0103 0.0188 0.0237 0.0179 0.0215
Drawdown episodes 208 200 191 217 178
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.03 1.11 1.74 1.94 1.82
VaR 95% -0.971% -1.557% -1.892% -1.349% -1.572%
VaR 99% -1.032% -2.640% -3.193% -2.292% -2.664%
CVaR 95% -1.002% -2.099% -2.543% -1.821% -2.118%
Skew 0.11 0.39 0.70 0.73 0.53
Excess kurtosis -0.19 0.65 0.47 0.37 -0.11
Best day 1.26% 3.50% 4.78% 3.51% 3.48%
Worst day -1.03% -2.64% -3.19% -2.29% -2.66%
Positive days 14 18 16 16 16
Negative days 16 12 14 14 14
Round trips 72 116 82 50 39
Winning / losing trades 55 / 17 107 / 9 82 / 0 50 / 0 39 / 0
Trades per day 2.40 3.87 2.73 1.67 1.30
Win rate 76.39% 92.24% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 11.83 24.16 ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 3.66 2.03 ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.3758 0.7897 1.8230 2.2857 3.3088
Average win 0.5374 0.8931 1.8230 2.2857 3.3088
Average loss 0.1470 0.4396 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.3758 0.7897 1.8230 2.2857 3.3088
Max win streak 17 64 82 50 39
Max loss streak 6 8 0 0 0
Time in market 87.91% 98.91% 99.06% 99.07% 99.09%
Turnover 0.03 0.10 0.15 0.11 0.13
Realised P&L 27.06 91.61 149.49 114.29 129.04
Unrealised P&L -26.03 -41.06 -51.70 -35.58 -40.97
Fees paid 10.68 13.50 12.46 7.07 6.29
Fee drag 1.07% 1.35% 1.25% 0.71% 0.63%
Final equity 1001.03 1050.55 1097.79 1078.71 1088.07

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.22% 2.56% 5.77% 6.14% 7.40%
CAGR 2.68% 35.99% 97.83% 106.40% 138.28%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.64% -19.30% -16.09% -15.72% -14.46%
Volatility (ann.) 12.26% 22.70% 30.81% 22.63% 26.78%
Sharpe 0.28 1.47 2.37 3.32 3.38
Sortino 0.27 1.41 2.30 3.26 3.33
Calmar 0.92 7.85 17.58 26.46 28.06
Omega 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.03
Max drawdown 2.91% 4.59% 5.57% 4.02% 4.93%
Ulcer index 0.0088 0.0152 0.0244 0.0181 0.0219
Drawdown episodes 139 138 110 107 100
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.07 0.56 1.04 1.53 1.50
VaR 95% -0.633% -1.048% -1.910% -1.334% -1.559%
VaR 99% -0.815% -1.253% -3.013% -2.156% -2.513%
CVaR 95% -0.724% -1.151% -2.462% -1.745% -2.036%
Skew -0.29 0.57 0.61 0.68 0.79
Excess kurtosis -0.45 -0.42 0.45 0.54 0.73
Best day 0.66% 2.06% 3.85% 3.05% 3.87%
Worst day -0.82% -1.25% -3.01% -2.16% -2.51%
Positive days 16 16 16 15 15
Negative days 13 13 13 14 14
Round trips 40 73 44 27 20
Winning / losing trades 31 / 9 61 / 12 44 / 0 27 / 0 20 / 0
Trades per day 1.33 2.43 1.47 0.90 0.67
Win rate 77.50% 83.56% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 7.44 8.11 ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 2.16 1.60 ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.6688 0.8953 2.4683 3.5792 5.2066
Average win 0.9970 1.2221 2.4683 3.5792 5.2066
Average loss 0.4619 0.7657 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.6688 0.8953 2.4683 3.5792 5.2066
Max win streak 9 29 44 27 20
Max loss streak 2 4 0 0 0
Time in market 97.70% 98.94% 98.97% 98.51% 98.49%
Turnover 0.04 0.08 0.11 0.10 0.10
Realised P&L 26.75 65.36 108.60 96.64 104.13
Unrealised P&L -24.57 -39.77 -50.93 -35.27 -30.17
Fees paid 5.75 8.56 6.64 3.80 3.30
Fee drag 0.57% 0.86% 0.66% 0.38% 0.33%
Final equity 1002.18 1025.58 1057.67 1061.36 1073.97

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.07% 3.95% 9.97% 7.32% 6.89%
CAGR 0.82% 60.30% 217.77% 136.24% 124.94%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.76% -17.87% -11.86% -14.51% -14.94%
Volatility (ann.) 12.35% 21.52% 29.50% 22.29% 26.70%
Sharpe 0.13 2.30 4.07 3.97 3.17
Sortino 0.12 2.29 4.11 4.05 3.21
Calmar 0.29 13.75 41.35 36.18 27.39
Omega 1.00 1.02 1.04 1.04 1.03
Max drawdown 2.83% 4.39% 5.27% 3.77% 4.56%
Ulcer index 0.0096 0.0145 0.0199 0.0152 0.0203
Drawdown episodes 82 121 98 82 81
Longest underwater (days) 8.1 8.1 8.4 8.1 8.2
Recovery factor 0.02 0.90 1.89 1.94 1.51
VaR 95% -0.985% -1.255% -1.821% -1.302% -1.571%
VaR 99% -1.076% -1.521% -2.513% -1.973% -2.576%
CVaR 95% -1.030% -1.388% -2.167% -1.638% -2.074%
Skew 0.46 0.35 0.84 1.05 1.02
Excess kurtosis 1.37 -0.14 0.35 1.42 1.51
Best day 1.62% 2.35% 3.94% 3.58% 4.40%
Worst day -1.08% -1.52% -2.51% -1.97% -2.58%
Positive days 14 18 18 17 16
Negative days 14 12 12 13 14
Round trips 17 55 45 23 18
Winning / losing trades 16 / 1 46 / 9 45 / 0 23 / 0 18 / 0
Trades per day 0.57 1.83 1.50 0.77 0.60
Win rate 94.12% 83.64% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor 12627.39 11.71 ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio 789.21 2.29 ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 1.4208 1.4027 3.2761 4.6381 5.5718
Average win 1.5097 1.8336 3.2761 4.6381 5.5718
Average loss 0.0019 0.8002 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 1.4208 1.4027 3.2761 4.6381 5.5718
Max win streak 16 32 45 23 18
Max loss streak 1 4 0 0 0
Time in market 78.94% 97.60% 99.04% 98.26% 98.48%
Turnover 0.02 0.09 0.15 0.11 0.10
Realised P&L 24.15 77.15 147.43 106.68 100.29
Unrealised P&L -23.48 -37.60 -47.74 -33.46 -31.39
Fees paid 2.62 6.54 7.04 3.33 2.86
Fee drag 0.26% 0.65% 0.70% 0.33% 0.29%
Final equity 1000.67 1039.55 1099.69 1073.21 1068.90

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

With the break-even guard WARN · 1 warn

Exits: no exit below average entry plus fees, stops included

The metric set the portfolio dashboard reports, computed per cell so a backtested configuration and a running one read on the same axes. Portfolio-level measures (concentration, pairwise correlation, beta against a benchmark) are omitted: one strategy on one pair has no cross-sectional structure to measure, and printing a null would imply the number exists.

1m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.45% 5.03% 9.78% 7.87% 8.81%
CAGR 5.56% 81.62% 211.17% 151.39% 179.25%
Buy and hold 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88% 21.88%
Edge vs B&H -21.44% -16.85% -12.10% -14.01% -13.07%
Volatility (ann.) 13.86% 24.46% 31.74% 23.00% 27.36%
Sharpe 0.46 2.56 3.73 4.12 3.89
Sortino 0.43 2.48 3.62 4.00 3.78
Calmar 1.86 17.88 37.65 37.26 36.95
Omega 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02
Max drawdown 2.98% 4.56% 5.61% 4.06% 4.85%
Ulcer index 0.0099 0.0188 0.0237 0.0179 0.0215
Drawdown episodes 216 198 191 217 178
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.15 1.10 1.74 1.94 1.82
VaR 95% -0.854% -1.556% -1.892% -1.349% -1.572%
VaR 99% -1.006% -2.637% -3.193% -2.292% -2.664%
CVaR 95% -0.930% -2.097% -2.543% -1.821% -2.118%
Skew 0.07 0.39 0.70 0.73 0.53
Excess kurtosis -0.22 0.65 0.47 0.37 -0.11
Best day 1.24% 3.50% 4.78% 3.51% 3.48%
Worst day -1.01% -2.64% -3.19% -2.29% -2.66%
Positive days 18 18 16 16 16
Negative days 12 12 14 14 14
Round trips 69 102 82 50 39
Winning / losing trades 69 / 0 102 / 0 82 / 0 50 / 0 39 / 0
Trades per day 2.30 3.40 2.73 1.67 1.30
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.4337 0.8950 1.8230 2.2857 3.3088
Average win 0.4337 0.8950 1.8230 2.2857 3.3088
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.4337 0.8950 1.8230 2.2857 3.3088
Max win streak 69 102 82 50 39
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 83.96% 98.91% 99.06% 99.07% 99.09%
Turnover 0.03 0.09 0.15 0.11 0.13
Realised P&L 29.92 91.29 149.49 114.29 129.04
Unrealised P&L -25.47 -41.02 -51.70 -35.58 -40.97
Fees paid 10.57 11.95 12.46 7.07 6.29
Fee drag 1.06% 1.19% 1.25% 0.71% 0.63%
Final equity 1004.46 1050.27 1097.79 1078.71 1088.07

3m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.48% 3.13% 5.77% 6.14% 7.40%
CAGR 5.97% 45.48% 97.83% 106.40% 138.28%
Buy and hold 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86% 21.86%
Edge vs B&H -21.38% -18.73% -16.09% -15.72% -14.46%
Volatility (ann.) 12.16% 22.73% 30.81% 22.63% 26.78%
Sharpe 0.54 1.76 2.37 3.32 3.38
Sortino 0.50 1.70 2.30 3.26 3.33
Calmar 2.10 9.97 17.58 26.46 28.06
Omega 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.03
Max drawdown 2.84% 4.56% 5.57% 4.02% 4.93%
Ulcer index 0.0086 0.0151 0.0244 0.0181 0.0219
Drawdown episodes 153 149 110 107 100
Longest underwater (days) 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
Recovery factor 0.17 0.69 1.04 1.53 1.50
VaR 95% -0.619% -1.044% -1.910% -1.334% -1.559%
VaR 99% -0.797% -1.247% -3.013% -2.156% -2.513%
CVaR 95% -0.708% -1.145% -2.462% -1.745% -2.036%
Skew -0.37 0.54 0.61 0.68 0.79
Excess kurtosis -0.54 -0.48 0.45 0.54 0.73
Best day 0.63% 2.06% 3.85% 3.05% 3.87%
Worst day -0.80% -1.25% -3.01% -2.16% -2.51%
Positive days 16 16 16 15 15
Negative days 13 13 13 14 14
Round trips 38 63 44 27 20
Winning / losing trades 38 / 0 63 / 0 44 / 0 27 / 0 20 / 0
Trades per day 1.27 2.10 1.47 0.90 0.67
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 0.7700 1.1294 2.4683 3.5792 5.2066
Average win 0.7700 1.1294 2.4683 3.5792 5.2066
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 0.7700 1.1294 2.4683 3.5792 5.2066
Max win streak 38 63 44 27 20
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 88.10% 98.94% 98.97% 98.51% 98.49%
Turnover 0.03 0.07 0.11 0.10 0.10
Realised P&L 29.26 71.15 108.60 96.64 104.13
Unrealised P&L -24.48 -39.86 -50.93 -35.27 -30.17
Fees paid 5.81 7.44 6.64 3.80 3.30
Fee drag 0.58% 0.74% 0.66% 0.38% 0.33%
Final equity 1004.78 1031.29 1057.67 1061.36 1073.97

5m

Metric calm cautious medium bold aggressive
Return 0.07% 3.63% 9.97% 7.32% 6.89%
CAGR 0.89% 54.27% 217.77% 136.24% 124.94%
Buy and hold 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83% 21.83%
Edge vs B&H -21.76% -18.20% -11.86% -14.51% -14.94%
Volatility (ann.) 12.35% 21.60% 29.50% 22.29% 26.70%
Sharpe 0.13 2.12 4.07 3.97 3.17
Sortino 0.13 2.10 4.11 4.05 3.21
Calmar 0.32 12.69 41.35 36.18 27.39
Omega 1.00 1.02 1.04 1.04 1.03
Max drawdown 2.83% 4.28% 5.27% 3.77% 4.56%
Ulcer index 0.0096 0.0148 0.0199 0.0152 0.0203
Drawdown episodes 83 118 98 82 81
Longest underwater (days) 8.1 8.1 8.4 8.1 8.2
Recovery factor 0.03 0.85 1.89 1.94 1.51
VaR 95% -0.985% -1.520% -1.821% -1.302% -1.571%
VaR 99% -1.076% -1.601% -2.513% -1.973% -2.576%
CVaR 95% -1.030% -1.560% -2.167% -1.638% -2.074%
Skew 0.46 0.09 0.84 1.05 1.02
Excess kurtosis 1.37 -0.36 0.35 1.42 1.51
Best day 1.62% 2.02% 3.94% 3.58% 4.40%
Worst day -1.08% -1.60% -2.51% -1.97% -2.58%
Positive days 15 18 18 17 16
Negative days 13 12 12 13 14
Round trips 17 45 45 23 18
Winning / losing trades 17 / 0 45 / 0 45 / 0 23 / 0 18 / 0
Trades per day 0.57 1.50 1.50 0.77 0.60
Win rate 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Profit factor ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Payoff ratio ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞ ∞
Expectancy 1.4243 1.6323 3.2761 4.6381 5.5718
Average win 1.4243 1.6323 3.2761 4.6381 5.5718
Average loss 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Average trade 1.4243 1.6323 3.2761 4.6381 5.5718
Max win streak 17 45 45 23 18
Max loss streak 0 0 0 0 0
Time in market 78.95% 96.53% 99.04% 98.26% 98.48%
Turnover 0.02 0.07 0.15 0.11 0.10
Realised P&L 24.21 73.45 147.43 106.68 100.29
Unrealised P&L -23.48 -37.18 -47.74 -33.46 -31.39
Fees paid 2.62 5.78 7.04 3.33 2.86
Fee drag 0.26% 0.58% 0.70% 0.33% 0.29%
Final equity 1000.73 1036.28 1099.69 1073.21 1068.90

Every number on this page is read from the run record that produced it — the audit pipeline writes the page and the record together, so the two cannot drift apart.

What the guard is, and what a better number under it means. The break-even guard refuses any exit below average entry plus fees. It cannot improve a strategy's judgement — it can only stop it selling at a loss, which means holding the position instead. Across the pack that turns a strategy that churned into one that buys and waits: trade counts collapse and time in market rises towards 100%. In a window where the asset itself rose, that reads as a much better return while being strictly less of a strategy.

So read the return next to round trips, time in market and edge vs buy and hold. The last of those is the one that matters: not one strategy in this matrix beat simply holding the asset, in either run.

Ignore the win rate and the profit factor under the guard. Both count closed trades only, and the guard closes nothing at a loss — in all 101 guarded runs the number of losing closed trades is exactly zero. So the win rate goes to 100% and the profit factor becomes undefined for arithmetic reasons, while the losses sit in the position that is still open. The unrealised row is where they went.